Copa Chile· Chile · Quarter-finals

Colo Colo

0-0

ABD

D. Puerto Montt

Colo Colo vs D. Puerto Montt prediction

📅 Wed 7 Oct 2026 🏟️ Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago de Chile

Prediction

● Live data

50%

Colo Colo

35%

Draw

15%

D. Puerto Montt

Colo Colo 50% · draw 35% · D. Puerto Montt 15%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 1-0, over 2.5 at 44%, BTTS at 46%.

🎯 Our pick

Double Chance · 1X

1X @ 1.15 Confidence 73%

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All prediction categories

1X2

Value

150%

Fair 2.00Odds 5.00

Home win

Value

Home win50%

Fair 2.00Odds 5.00

Away win

Away win15%

Fair 6.69Odds 1.22

Double chance

1X85%

Fair 1.18Odds 1.15

Draw no bet

Home DNB77%

Fair 1.30Odds —

Win either half

Home WEH66%

Fair 1.52Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.570%

Fair 1.42Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.556%

Fair 1.80Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.577%

Fair 1.30Odds —

Both teams to score

Value

NG (No)54%

Fair 1.84Odds 2.15

Correct score

Value

1-014%

Fair 7.24Odds 8.50

Banker tip

1X85%

Fair 1.18Odds 1.15

Super single

Home WEH66%

Fair 1.52Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

11.55

X4.00

25.00

Double chance

1X1.15

121.22

X22.30

Both teams to score

Yes1.62

No2.15

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	50%	2.00	5.00	Value
Home win	Home win	50%	2.00	5.00	Value
Away win	Away win	15%	6.69	1.22
Double chance	1X	85%	1.18	1.15
Draw no bet	Home DNB	77%	1.30	—
Win either half	Home WEH	66%	1.52	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	70%	1.42	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	56%	1.80	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	77%	1.30	—
BTTS	NG (No)	54%	1.84	2.15	Value
Correct score	1-0	14%	7.24	8.50	Value
Banker	1X	85%	1.18	1.15
Super single	Home WEH	66%	1.52	—

Form & head to head

Colo Colo

DWDWW

73%

Form

70%

Attack

80%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)7 / 2

Season W-D-L6-2-1

Clean sheets · failed to score6 · 1

D. Puerto Montt

WLWLL

40%

Form

50%

Attack

40%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 6

Season W-D-L4-1-4

Clean sheets · failed to score3 · 2

Team comparison

Form

65%

35%

Attack

58%

42%

Defence

75%

25%

Poisson model

74%

26%

Head to head

50%

Goals

50%

Overall

62%

38%

Head to head

2

Home wins

1

Draws

2

Away wins

7 Oct 26 Colo Colo 0 - 0 D. Puerto Montt

29 Sep 26 D. Puerto Montt 0 - 1 Colo Colo

9 Oct 25 D. Puerto Montt 2 - 1 Colo Colo

14 Jun 19 Colo Colo 4 - 2 D. Puerto Montt

9 Jun 19 D. Puerto Montt 2 - 0 Colo Colo

2.40 goals per meeting · BTTS in 2 of 5 · over 2.5 in 2 of 5.

Match preview

Colo Colo vs D. Puerto Montt: match preview

Colo Colo host D. Puerto Montt in the Copa Chile (Quarter-finals) at Estadio Monumental David Arellano on Wednesday 7 October, kick-off 00:30.

Form guide

Colo Colo have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded. D. Puerto Montt have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. At home this season Colo Colo have 3 wins from 4 games, while D. Puerto Montt have won 1 of 4 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.6 goals for Colo Colo and 0.85 for D. Puerto Montt, 2.45 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 70% chance, over 2.5 44% and both teams to score 46%. The single most likely score is 1-0.

Head to head

In their last 5 meetings, Colo Colo won 2, D. Puerto Montt won 2 and 1 ended level, with 2.4 goals per game and both teams scoring in 2.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 73% confidence, priced at 1.15. The model also leans towards 1X (85%), Home DNB (77%), Under 3.5 (77%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Colo Colo 50%, draw 35%, D. Puerto Montt 15%.
Expected goals: 1.6 vs 0.85.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 5 meetings.
Colo Colo have 6 clean sheets this season; D. Puerto Montt have 3.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : Colo Colo or draw.

See more Copa Chile numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:28 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Colo Colo vs D. Puerto Montt?

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 73% confidence. Win probabilities are Colo Colo 50%, draw 35% and D. Puerto Montt 15%.

Will both teams score in Colo Colo vs D. Puerto Montt?

Our model gives both teams to score a 46% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Colo Colo vs D. Puerto Montt?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance and the most likely score is 1-0.

When and where is Colo Colo vs D. Puerto Montt?

Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 00:30, Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago de Chile.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.