Piauiense - 2· Brazil · Semi-finals

Comercial PI

1-0

HT

Flamengo PI

Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI prediction

📅 Wed 7 Oct 2026

Prediction

● Live data

27%

Comercial PI

35%

Draw

37%

Flamengo PI

Comercial PI 27% · draw 35% · Flamengo PI 37%. We pick Over 1.5 (Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 51%, BTTS at 55%.

🎯 Our pick

Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com · Over 1.5

Over 1.5 @ 1.33 Confidence 75%

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All prediction categories

1X2

237%

Fair 2.67Odds 1.30

Home win

Home win27%

Fair 3.64Odds 2.75

Away win

Away win37%

Fair 2.67Odds 1.30

Double chance

Value

X273%

Fair 1.38Odds 1.50

Draw no bet

Away DNB58%

Fair 1.73Odds —

Win either half

Home WEH59%

Fair 1.71Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.576%

Fair 1.32Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.551%

Fair 1.95Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.571%

Fair 1.41Odds —

Both teams to score

Value

GG (Yes)55%

Fair 1.83Odds 1.91

Correct score

1-112%

Fair 8.35Odds 6.00

Banker tip

Over 1.576%

Fair 1.32Odds —

Super single

Value

X273%

Fair 1.38Odds 1.50

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

12.30

X3.20

22.75

Double chance

1X1.40

121.30

X21.50

Both teams to score

Yes1.91

No1.80

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	37%	2.67	1.30
Home win	Home win	27%	3.64	2.75
Away win	Away win	37%	2.67	1.30
Double chance	X2	73%	1.38	1.50	Value
Draw no bet	Away DNB	58%	1.73	—
Win either half	Home WEH	59%	1.71	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	76%	1.32	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	51%	1.95	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	71%	1.41	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	55%	1.83	1.91	Value
Correct score	1-1	12%	8.35	6.00
Banker	Over 1.5	76%	1.32	—
Super single	X2	73%	1.38	1.50	Value

Form & head to head

Comercial PI

LDWWL

47%

Form

50%

Attack

57%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)7 / 6

Season W-D-L3-1-2

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 1

Flamengo PI

WDWLW

67%

Form

57%

Attack

64%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)8 / 5

Season W-D-L3-1-2

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 1

Team comparison

Form

41%

59%

Attack

47%

53%

Defence

45%

55%

Poisson model

74%

26%

Head to head

33%

67%

Goals

40%

60%

Overall

46%

53%

Head to head

2

Home wins

0

Draws

2

Away wins

7 Oct 26 Comercial PI 1 - 0 Flamengo PI

1 Oct 26 Flamengo PI 1 - 0 Comercial PI

6 Sep 26 Comercial PI 2 - 1 Flamengo PI

18 Oct 25 Comercial PI 0 - 1 Flamengo PI

1.50 goals per meeting · BTTS in 1 of 4 · over 2.5 in 1 of 4.

Match preview

Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI: match preview

Comercial PI host Flamengo PI in the Piauiense - 2 (Semi-finals) on Wednesday 7 October, kick-off 23:00.

Form guide

Comercial PI have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Flamengo PI have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. At home this season Comercial PI have 2 wins from 3 games, while Flamengo PI have won 0 of 3 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.53 goals for Comercial PI and 1.2 for Flamengo PI, 2.73 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 76% chance, over 2.5 51% and both teams to score 55%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 4 meetings, Comercial PI won 2, Flamengo PI won 2 and 0 ended level, with 1.5 goals per game and both teams scoring in 1.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com (Over 1.5) at 75% confidence, priced at 1.33. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (76%), X2 (73%), Under 3.5 (71%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Comercial PI 27%, draw 35%, Flamengo PI 37%.
Expected goals: 1.53 vs 1.2.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 4 meetings.
Comercial PI have 0 clean sheets this season; Flamengo PI have 2.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or Flamengo PI.

See more Piauiense - 2 numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 00:05 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI?

Our main pick is Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com (Over 1.5) with 75% confidence. Win probabilities are Comercial PI 27%, draw 35% and Flamengo PI 37%.

Will both teams score in Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI?

Our model gives both teams to score a 55% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI?

Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 23:00.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.