CONCACAF Nations League· World · League C - 2

Antigua and Barbuda

3-2

FT

Aruba

Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba prediction

📅 Wed 7 Oct 2026 🏟️ Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, Antigua 🧑‍⚖️ M. Matamoros

Prediction

● Live data

48%

Antigua and Barbuda

34%

Draw

18%

Aruba

Antigua and Barbuda 48% · draw 34% · Aruba 18%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 54%, BTTS at 56%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Double Chance · 1X

1X @ 1.35 Confidence 72%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

148%

Fair 2.10Odds 2.90

Home win

✓

Home win48%

Fair 2.10Odds 2.90

Away win

✕

Away win18%

Fair 5.59Odds 1.30

Double chance

✓

1X82%

Fair 1.22Odds 1.35

Draw no bet

✓

Home DNB73%

Fair 1.38Odds —

Win either half

✓

Home WEH63%

Fair 1.58Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.578%

Fair 1.29Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.554%

Fair 1.84Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.568%

Fair 1.47Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)56%

Fair 1.79Odds 1.73

Correct score

✕

1-111%

Fair 8.84Odds 6.00

Banker tip

✓

1X82%

Fair 1.22Odds 1.35

Super single

✓

Home WEH63%

Fair 1.58Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

12.30

X3.20

22.90

Double chance

1X1.35

121.30

X21.62

Both teams to score

Yes1.73

No2.00

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	48%	2.10	2.90	Value
Home win	Home win	48%	2.10	2.90	Value
Away win	Away win	18%	5.59	1.30
Double chance	1X	82%	1.22	1.35	Value
Draw no bet	Home DNB	73%	1.38	—
Win either half	Home WEH	63%	1.58	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	78%	1.29	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	54%	1.84	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	68%	1.47	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	56%	1.79	1.73
Correct score	1-1	11%	8.84	6.00
Banker	1X	82%	1.22	1.35	Value
Super single	Home WEH	63%	1.58	—

Form & head to head

Antigua and Barbuda

LWW

67%

Form

44%

Attack

94%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)8 / 1

Season W-D-L2-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 1

Aruba

WWW

100%

Form

33%

Attack

89%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)6 / 2

Season W-D-L3-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 0

Team comparison

Form

40%

60%

Attack

57%

43%

Defence

67%

33%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

71%

29%

Goals

58%

42%

Overall

58%

41%

Head to head

4

Home wins

1

Draws

1

Away wins

7 Oct 26 Antigua and Barbuda 3 - 2 Aruba

24 Sep 26 Aruba 1 - 0 Antigua and Barbuda

13 Nov 25 Antigua and Barbuda 0 - 0 Aruba

19 Nov 19 Aruba 2 - 3 Antigua and Barbuda

9 Sep 19 Antigua and Barbuda 2 - 1 Aruba

24 Mar 16 Antigua and Barbuda 2 - 1 Aruba

2.83 goals per meeting · BTTS in 4 of 6 · over 2.5 in 4 of 6.

Match statistics

41%Ball Possession59%

11Total Shots12

4Shots on Goal4

5Corner Kicks4

14Fouls15

2Yellow Cards2

2Goalkeeper Saves1

Key events

5'⚽ Sean tomlinson Normal Goal
11'⚽ Thomas-James Bramble Normal Goal
14'⚽ Walter Bennett Normal Goal
21'🟨 Justin Peterson Yellow Card
44'🟨 A. Mercera Yellow Card
50'⚽ Carolith Fermina Normal Goal
64'🟨 Sean tomlinson Yellow Card
67'🟨 Quentin Griffith Yellow Card
86'⚽ Brandon Satchell Normal Goal

Match preview

Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba: match preview

Antigua and Barbuda host Aruba in the CONCACAF Nations League (League C - 2) at Sir Vivian Richards Stadium on Wednesday 7 October, kick-off 00:00. The match finished 3-2.

Form guide

Antigua and Barbuda have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 league games, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded. Aruba have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 league games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. At home this season Antigua and Barbuda have 1 win from 1 game, while Aruba have won 1 of 1 game on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.7 goals for Antigua and Barbuda and 1.15 for Aruba, 2.85 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 78% chance, over 2.5 54% and both teams to score 56%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 6 meetings, Antigua and Barbuda won 4, Aruba won 1 and 1 ended level, with 2.8 goals per game and both teams scoring in 4.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 72% confidence, priced at 1.35. The model also leans towards 1X (82%), Over 1.5 (78%), Home DNB (73%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Antigua and Barbuda 48%, draw 34%, Aruba 18%.
Expected goals: 1.7 vs 1.15.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 6 meetings.
Antigua and Barbuda have 2 clean sheets this season; Aruba have 2.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : Antigua and Barbuda or draw.

See more CONCACAF Nations League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:28 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba?

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 72% confidence. Win probabilities are Antigua and Barbuda 48%, draw 34% and Aruba 18%.

Will both teams score in Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba?

Our model gives both teams to score a 56% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba?

Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 00:00, Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, Antigua.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.