Persian Gulf Pro League· Iran · Regular Season - 8

Sepahan FC

16:15

🕒 16:15

Fajr Sepasi

Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi prediction

📅 Thu 8 Oct 2026 🏟️ Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium, Isfahan

Prediction

● Live data

38%

Sepahan FC

42%

Draw

20%

Fajr Sepasi

Sepahan FC 38% · draw 42% · Fajr Sepasi 20%. We pick Under 2.5 (2.5 Goals). Most likely score 0-0, over 2.5 at 15%, BTTS at 23%.

🎯 Our pick

2.5 Goals · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.56 Confidence 64%

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All prediction categories

1X2

Value

X42%

Fair 2.36Odds 3.55

Home win

Value

Home win38%

Fair 2.64Odds 5.36

Away win

Away win20%

Fair 5.06Odds 1.19

Double chance

1X80%

Fair 1.25Odds —

Draw no bet

Home DNB66%

Fair 1.52Odds —

Win either half

Home WEH39%

Fair 2.60Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Value

Under 1.562%

Fair 1.61Odds 2.83

Over/Under 2.5

Value

Under 2.585%

Fair 1.17Odds 1.56

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.595%

Fair 1.05Odds —

Both teams to score

Value

NG (No)77%

Fair 1.30Odds 1.57

Correct score

Value

0-027%

Fair 3.74Odds 7.95

Banker tip

Under 3.595%

Fair 1.05Odds —

Super single

Value

Under 2.585%

Fair 1.17Odds 1.56

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

11.56

X3.55

25.36

Double chance

1X—

121.19

X22.11

Goals 2.5

Over2.22

Under1.56

Both teams to score

Yes2.19

No1.57

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	X	42%	2.36	3.55	Value
Home win	Home win	38%	2.64	5.36	Value
Away win	Away win	20%	5.06	1.19
Double chance	1X	80%	1.25	—
Draw no bet	Home DNB	66%	1.52	—
Win either half	Home WEH	39%	2.60	—
Over 1.5	Under 1.5	62%	1.61	2.83	Value
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	85%	1.17	1.56	Value
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	95%	1.05	—
BTTS	NG (No)	77%	1.30	1.57	Value
Correct score	0-0	27%	3.74	7.95	Value
Banker	Under 3.5	95%	1.05	—
Super single	Under 2.5	85%	1.17	1.56	Value

Form & head to head

Sepahan FC

LLWDW

47%

Form

25%

Attack

67%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)3 / 4

Season W-D-L3-1-2

Clean sheets · failed to score4 · 3

Fajr Sepasi

DWDDL

40%

Form

17%

Attack

83%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 2

Season W-D-L1-4-1

Clean sheets · failed to score3 · 3

Team comparison

Form

54%

46%

Attack

60%

40%

Defence

33%

67%

Poisson model

55%

45%

Head to head

100%

0%

Goals

100%

0%

Overall

50%

49%

Head to head

3

Home wins

0

Draws

0

Away wins

5 Dec 25 Sepahan FC 2 - 0 Fajr Sepasi

6 Mar 22 Sepahan FC 2 - 0 Fajr Sepasi

24 Nov 21 Fajr Sepasi 0 - 2 Sepahan FC

2.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 0 of 3 · over 2.5 in 0 of 3.

Match preview

Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi: match preview

Sepahan FC host Fajr Sepasi in the Persian Gulf Pro League (Regular Season - 8) at Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium on Thursday 8 October, kick-off 16:15.

Form guide

Sepahan FC have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Fajr Sepasi have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded. At home this season Sepahan FC have 2 wins from 3 games, while Fajr Sepasi have won 1 of 3 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.67 goals for Sepahan FC and 0.65 for Fajr Sepasi, 1.32 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 38% chance, over 2.5 15% and both teams to score 23%. The single most likely score is 0-0.

Head to head

In their last 3 meetings, Sepahan FC won 3, Fajr Sepasi won 0 and 0 ended level, with 2.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 0.

Our verdict

Our main pick is 2.5 Goals (Under 2.5) at 64% confidence, priced at 1.56. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (95%), Under 2.5 (85%), 1X (80%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Sepahan FC 38%, draw 42%, Fajr Sepasi 20%.
Expected goals: 0.67 vs 0.65.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 of the last 3 meetings.
Sepahan FC have 4 clean sheets this season; Fajr Sepasi have 3.
API-Football model advice: Combo Double chance : Sepahan FC or draw and -3.5 goals.

See more Persian Gulf Pro League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 00:47 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi?

Our main pick is 2.5 Goals (Under 2.5) with 64% confidence. Win probabilities are Sepahan FC 38%, draw 42% and Fajr Sepasi 20%.

Will both teams score in Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi?

Our model gives both teams to score a 23% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi?

We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 15% chance and the most likely score is 0-0.

When and where is Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi?

Thursday 8 October 2026 at 16:15, Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium, Isfahan.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.