Persian Gulf Pro League· Iran · Regular Season - 8

Tractor Sazi

14:30

🕒 14:30

Esteghlal FC

Tractor Sazi vs Esteghlal FC prediction

📅 Thu 8 Oct 2026 🏟️ Yadegar-e-Emam Stadium, Tabriz

Prediction

● Live data

40%

Tractor Sazi

47%

Draw

14%

Esteghlal FC

Tractor Sazi 40% · draw 47% · Esteghlal FC 14%. We pick Under 2.5 (2.5 Goals). Most likely score 0-0, over 2.5 at 6%, BTTS at 12%.

🎯 Our pick

2.5 Goals · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.48 Confidence 68%

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All prediction categories

1X2

Value

X47%

Fair 2.14Odds 2.93

Home win

Value

Home win40%

Fair 2.52Odds 2.79

Away win

Away win14%

Fair 7.35Odds 1.29

Double chance

Value

1X86%

Fair 1.16Odds 1.32

Draw no bet

Home DNB74%

Fair 1.34Odds —

Win either half

Home WEH39%

Fair 2.57Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Value

Under 1.577%

Fair 1.30Odds 2.43

Over/Under 2.5

Value

Under 2.594%

Fair 1.07Odds 1.48

Over/Under 3.5

Value

Under 3.599%

Fair 1.01Odds 1.13

Both teams to score

Value

NG (No)88%

Fair 1.14Odds 1.68

Correct score

Value

0-040%

Fair 2.48Odds 6.40

Banker tip

Value

Under 3.599%

Fair 1.01Odds 1.13

Super single

Value

NG (No)88%

Fair 1.14Odds 1.68

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

12.39

X2.93

22.79

Double chance

1X1.32

121.29

X21.43

Goals 2.5

Over2.41

Under1.48

Both teams to score

Yes2.01

No1.68

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	X	47%	2.14	2.93	Value
Home win	Home win	40%	2.52	2.79	Value
Away win	Away win	14%	7.35	1.29
Double chance	1X	86%	1.16	1.32	Value
Draw no bet	Home DNB	74%	1.34	—
Win either half	Home WEH	39%	2.57	—
Over 1.5	Under 1.5	77%	1.30	2.43	Value
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	94%	1.07	1.48	Value
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	99%	1.01	1.13	Value
BTTS	NG (No)	88%	1.14	1.68	Value
Correct score	0-0	40%	2.48	6.40	Value
Banker	Under 3.5	99%	1.01	1.13	Value
Super single	NG (No)	88%	1.14	1.68	Value

Form & head to head

Tractor Sazi

WWDWL

67%

Form

33%

Attack

92%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 1

Season W-D-L5-1-1

Clean sheets · failed to score6 · 2

Esteghlal FC

WDDDW

60%

Form

33%

Attack

92%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 1

Season W-D-L4-3-0

Clean sheets · failed to score6 · 2

Team comparison

Form

53%

47%

Attack

50%

Defence

50%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

71%

29%

Goals

67%

33%

Overall

58%

41%

Head to head

4

Home wins

2

Draws

4

Away wins

18 Jan 26 Esteghlal FC 0 - 0 Tractor Sazi

19 Aug 25 Tractor Sazi 0 - 1 Esteghlal FC

11 Aug 25 Tractor Sazi 2 - 1 Esteghlal FC

4 Apr 25 Tractor Sazi 2 - 1 Esteghlal FC

31 Oct 24 Esteghlal FC 0 - 2 Tractor Sazi

1 May 24 Tractor Sazi 0 - 0 Esteghlal FC

2.40 goals per meeting · BTTS in 4 of 10 · over 2.5 in 4 of 10.

Match preview

Tractor Sazi vs Esteghlal FC: match preview

Tractor Sazi host Esteghlal FC in the Persian Gulf Pro League (Regular Season - 8) at Yadegar-e-Emam Stadium on Thursday 8 October, kick-off 14:30.

Form guide

Tractor Sazi have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded. Esteghlal FC have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded. At home this season Tractor Sazi have 3 wins from 3 games, while Esteghlal FC have won 1 of 3 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.58 goals for Tractor Sazi and 0.33 for Esteghlal FC, 0.91 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 23% chance, over 2.5 6% and both teams to score 12%. The single most likely score is 0-0.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Tractor Sazi won 4, Esteghlal FC won 4 and 2 ended level, with 2.4 goals per game and both teams scoring in 4.

Our verdict

Our main pick is 2.5 Goals (Under 2.5) at 68% confidence, priced at 1.48. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (99%), Under 2.5 (94%), NG (No) (88%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Tractor Sazi 40%, draw 47%, Esteghlal FC 14%.
Expected goals: 0.58 vs 0.33.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Tractor Sazi have 6 clean sheets this season; Esteghlal FC have 6.
API-Football model advice: Combo Double chance : Tractor Sazi or draw and -2.5 goals.

See more Persian Gulf Pro League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 00:51 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tractor Sazi vs Esteghlal FC?

Our main pick is 2.5 Goals (Under 2.5) with 68% confidence. Win probabilities are Tractor Sazi 40%, draw 47% and Esteghlal FC 14%.

Will both teams score in Tractor Sazi vs Esteghlal FC?

Our model gives both teams to score a 12% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Tractor Sazi vs Esteghlal FC?

We expect about 0.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 6% chance and the most likely score is 0-0.

When and where is Tractor Sazi vs Esteghlal FC?

Thursday 8 October 2026 at 14:30, Yadegar-e-Emam Stadium, Tabriz.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.