Emperor Cup· Japan · Round of 32

Urawa

3-2

FT

Omiya Ardija

Urawa vs Omiya Ardija prediction

📅 Wed 7 Oct 2026 🏟️ NACK5 Stadium Omiya, Saitama

Prediction

● Live data

47%

Urawa

35%

Draw

18%

Omiya Ardija

Urawa 47% · draw 35% · Omiya Ardija 18%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 1-0, over 2.5 at 46%, BTTS at 49%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Double Chance · 1X

1X @ 1.17 Confidence 69%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

147%

Fair 2.13Odds 4.40

Home win

✓

Home win47%

Fair 2.13Odds 4.40

Away win

✕

Away win18%

Fair 5.68Odds 1.22

Double chance

✓

1X82%

Fair 1.21Odds 1.17

Draw no bet

✓

Home DNB73%

Fair 1.38Odds —

Win either half

✓

Home WEH61%

Fair 1.64Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.571%

Fair 1.40Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Under 2.554%

Fair 1.84Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.576%

Fair 1.32Odds —

Both teams to score

✕

NG (No)51%

Fair 1.96Odds 2.05

Correct score

✕

1-012%

Fair 8.12Odds 7.50

Banker tip

✓

1X82%

Fair 1.21Odds 1.17

Super single

✓

Home WEH61%

Fair 1.64Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

11.62

X3.60

24.40

Double chance

1X1.17

121.22

X22.15

Both teams to score

Yes1.65

No2.05

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	47%	2.13	4.40	Value
Home win	Home win	47%	2.13	4.40	Value
Away win	Away win	18%	5.68	1.22
Double chance	1X	82%	1.21	1.17
Draw no bet	Home DNB	73%	1.38	—
Win either half	Home WEH	61%	1.64	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	71%	1.40	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	54%	1.84	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	76%	1.32	—
BTTS	NG (No)	51%	1.96	2.05	Value
Correct score	1-0	12%	8.12	7.50
Banker	1X	82%	1.21	1.17
Super single	Home WEH	61%	1.64	—

Form & head to head

Urawa

W

100%

Form

23%

Attack

100%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)3 / 0

Season W-D-L1-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 0

Omiya Ardija

W

100%

Form

15%

Attack

100%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 0

Season W-D-L1-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 0

Team comparison

Form

50%

Attack

60%

40%

Defence

0%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

50%

Goals

50%

Overall

52%

47%

Head to head

6

Home wins

3

Draws

1

Away wins

7 Oct 26 Urawa 3 - 2 Omiya Ardija

1 Aug 26 Urawa 2 - 2 Omiya Ardija

5 Aug 17 Urawa 2 - 2 Omiya Ardija

30 Apr 17 Omiya Ardija 1 - 0 Urawa

17 Jul 16 Urawa 2 - 2 Omiya Ardija

8 May 16 Omiya Ardija 0 - 1 Urawa

3.20 goals per meeting · BTTS in 5 of 10 · over 2.5 in 7 of 10.

Match preview

Urawa vs Omiya Ardija: match preview

Urawa host Omiya Ardija in the Emperor Cup (Round of 32) at NACK5 Stadium Omiya on Wednesday 7 October, kick-off 10:00. The match finished 3-2.

Form guide

Urawa have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded. Omiya Ardija have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded. At home this season Urawa have 1 win from 1 game, while Omiya Ardija have won 0 of 0 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Urawa and 1 for Omiya Ardija, 2.50 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 71% chance, over 2.5 46% and both teams to score 49%. The single most likely score is 1-0.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Urawa won 6, Omiya Ardija won 1 and 3 ended level, with 3.2 goals per game and both teams scoring in 5.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 69% confidence, priced at 1.17. The model also leans towards 1X (82%), Under 3.5 (76%), Home DNB (73%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Urawa 47%, draw 35%, Omiya Ardija 18%.
Expected goals: 1.5 vs 1.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Urawa have 1 clean sheets this season; Omiya Ardija have 1.
API-Football model advice: Combo Double chance : Urawa or draw and +2.5 goals.

See more Emperor Cup numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:28 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Urawa vs Omiya Ardija?

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 69% confidence. Win probabilities are Urawa 47%, draw 35% and Omiya Ardija 18%.

Will both teams score in Urawa vs Omiya Ardija?

Our model gives both teams to score a 49% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Urawa vs Omiya Ardija?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance and the most likely score is 1-0.

When and where is Urawa vs Omiya Ardija?

Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 10:00, NACK5 Stadium Omiya, Saitama.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.