Emperor Cup· Japan · Round of 32

Cerezo Osaka

2-0

FT

Kagoshima United

Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima United prediction

📅 Wed 7 Oct 2026 🏟️ Yanmar Hanasaka Stadium, Osaka

Prediction

● Live data

22%

Cerezo Osaka

33%

Draw

45%

Kagoshima United

Cerezo Osaka 22% · draw 33% · Kagoshima United 45%. We pick Home Win (Home Win). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 72%, BTTS at 71%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Home Win · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.37 Confidence 73%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

245%

Fair 2.24Odds 1.17

Home win

✓

Home win22%

Fair 4.50Odds 6.50

Away win

✕

Away win45%

Fair 2.24Odds 1.17

Double chance

✕

X278%

Fair 1.29Odds 2.90

Draw no bet

✕

Away DNB67%

Fair 1.50Odds —

Win either half

✕

Away WEH61%

Fair 1.65Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.589%

Fair 1.13Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Over 2.572%

Fair 1.38Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Over 3.552%

Fair 1.94Odds —

Both teams to score

✕

GG (Yes)71%

Fair 1.40Odds 1.75

Correct score

✕

1-18%

Fair 12.15Odds 8.50

Banker tip

✓

Over 1.589%

Fair 1.13Odds —

Super single

✕

X278%

Fair 1.29Odds 2.90

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

11.36

X4.40

26.50

Double chance

1X1.08

121.17

X22.90

Both teams to score

Yes1.75

No1.85

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	45%	2.24	1.17
Home win	Home win	22%	4.50	6.50	Value
Away win	Away win	45%	2.24	1.17
Double chance	X2	78%	1.29	2.90	Value
Draw no bet	Away DNB	67%	1.50	—
Win either half	Away WEH	61%	1.65	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	89%	1.13	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	1.38	—
Under 3.5	Over 3.5	52%	1.94	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	71%	1.40	1.75	Value
Correct score	1-1	8%	12.15	8.50
Banker	Over 1.5	89%	1.13	—
Super single	X2	78%	1.29	2.90	Value

Form & head to head

Cerezo Osaka

W

100%

Form

21%

Attack

93%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)3 / 1

Season W-D-L1-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Kagoshima United

WW

100%

Form

43%

Attack

93%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)6 / 1

Season W-D-L2-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 0

Team comparison

Form

33%

67%

Attack

33%

67%

Defence

50%

Poisson model

0%

100%

Head to head

0%

Goals

0%

Overall

38%

61%

Head to head

1

Home wins

0

Draws

0

Away wins

7 Oct 26 Cerezo Osaka 2 - 0 Kagoshima United

2.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 0 of 1 · over 2.5 in 0 of 1.

Match preview

Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima United: match preview

Cerezo Osaka host Kagoshima United in the Emperor Cup (Round of 32) at Yanmar Hanasaka Stadium on Wednesday 7 October, kick-off 10:30. The match finished 2-0.

Form guide

Cerezo Osaka have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Kagoshima United have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 2 league games, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. At home this season Cerezo Osaka have 1 win from 1 game, while Kagoshima United have won 1 of 1 game on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 2 for Kagoshima United, 3.75 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 89% chance, over 2.5 72% and both teams to score 71%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 1 meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 1, Kagoshima United won 0 and 0 ended level, with 2.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 0.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Home Win (Home Win) at 73% confidence, priced at 1.37. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (89%), X2 (78%), Over 2.5 (72%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Cerezo Osaka 22%, draw 33%, Kagoshima United 45%.
Expected goals: 1.75 vs 2.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 of the last 1 meetings.
Cerezo Osaka have 0 clean sheets this season; Kagoshima United have 1.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or Kagoshima United.

See more Emperor Cup numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:28 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima United?

Our main pick is Home Win (Home Win) with 73% confidence. Win probabilities are Cerezo Osaka 22%, draw 33% and Kagoshima United 45%.

Will both teams score in Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima United?

Our model gives both teams to score a 71% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima United?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 72% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima United?

Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 10:30, Yanmar Hanasaka Stadium, Osaka.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.