Birinci Dasta· Azerbaijan · Regular Season - 4

Şimal

1-1

FT

Xankəndi FK

Şimal vs Xankəndi FK prediction

📅 Fri 9 Oct 2026

Prediction

● Live data

29%

Şimal

28%

Draw

43%

Xankəndi FK

Şimal 29% · draw 28% · Xankəndi FK 43%. We pick GG (BTTS). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 63%, BTTS at 61%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

BTTS · GG

GG @ 1.65 Confidence 61%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

243%

Fair 2.35Odds 1.30

Home win

✕

Home win29%

Fair 3.44Odds 1.95

Away win

✕

Away win43%

Fair 2.35Odds 1.30

Double chance

✕

1272%

Fair 1.39Odds —

Draw no bet

✕

Away DNB59%

Fair 1.68Odds —

Win either half

✓

Away WEH68%

Fair 1.46Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.583%

Fair 1.20Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Over 2.563%

Fair 1.60Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✓

Under 3.560%

Fair 1.68Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)61%

Fair 1.63Odds 1.70

Correct score

✓

1-110%

Fair 10.28Odds 6.00

Banker tip

✓

Over 1.583%

Fair 1.20Odds —

Super single

✕

Over 2.563%

Fair 1.60Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

13.40

X3.10

21.95

Double chance

1X1.75

121.30

X21.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.70

No2.00

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	43%	2.35	1.30
Home win	Home win	29%	3.44	1.95
Away win	Away win	43%	2.35	1.30
Double chance	12	72%	1.39	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	59%	1.68	—
Win either half	Away WEH	68%	1.46	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	83%	1.20	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	63%	1.60	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	60%	1.68	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	61%	1.63	1.70	Value
Correct score	1-1	10%	10.28	6.00
Banker	Over 1.5	83%	1.20	—
Super single	Over 2.5	63%	1.60	—

Form & head to head

Şimal

LDL

11%

Form

17%

Attack

61%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)3 / 7

Season W-D-L0-1-2

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Xankəndi FK

DLL

11%

Form

11%

Attack

72%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 5

Season W-D-L0-1-2

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 1

Team comparison

Form

50%

Attack

60%

40%

Defence

42%

58%

Poisson model

38%

62%

Head to head

0%

Goals

0%

Overall

47%

52%

Head to head

0

Home wins

0

Draws

0

Away wins

These teams have not met recently.

Match preview

Şimal vs Xankəndi FK: match preview

Şimal host Xankəndi FK in the Birinci Dasta (Regular Season - 4) on Friday 9 October, kick-off 12:30. The match finished 1-1.

Form guide

Şimal have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. Xankəndi FK have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 league games, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. At home this season Şimal have 0 wins from 2 games, while Xankəndi FK have won 0 of 1 game on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.23 goals for Şimal and 2 for Xankəndi FK, 3.23 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 83% chance, over 2.5 63% and both teams to score 61%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Our verdict

Our main pick is BTTS (GG) at 61% confidence, priced at 1.65. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (83%), 12 (72%), Away WEH (68%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Şimal 29%, draw 28%, Xankəndi FK 43%.
Expected goals: 1.23 vs 2.
Şimal have 0 clean sheets this season; Xankəndi FK have 0.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : Şimal or draw.

See more Birinci Dasta numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE

Written by EkeTips Editorial Team Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

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By EkeTips Editorial Team · Updated 9 Oct 14:40 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Şimal vs Xankəndi FK?

Our main pick is BTTS (GG) with 61% confidence. Win probabilities are Şimal 29%, draw 28% and Xankəndi FK 43%.

Will both teams score in Şimal vs Xankəndi FK?

Our model gives both teams to score a 61% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Şimal vs Xankəndi FK?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Şimal vs Xankəndi FK?

Friday 9 October 2026 at 12:30.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.