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Birinci Dasta· Azerbaijan · Regular Season - 4
Şahdağ logo

Şahdağ

6-0
FT
Zaqatala logo

Zaqatala

Şahdağ vs Zaqatala prediction

📅 Wed 7 Oct 2026

Prediction

● Live data
55%
Şahdağ
32%
Draw
13%
Zaqatala

Şahdağ 55% · draw 32% · Zaqatala 13%. We pick Home Win (Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com). Most likely score 2-0, over 2.5 at 61%, BTTS at 56%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won
Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.34 Confidence 75%
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All prediction categories

1X2

✓
155%
Fair 1.83Odds 6.50

Home win

✓
Home win55%
Fair 1.83Odds 6.50

Away win

✕
Away win13%
Fair 7.59Odds 1.22

Double chance

✓
1X87%
Fair 1.15Odds 1.10

Draw no bet

✓
Home DNB81%
Fair 1.24Odds —

Win either half

✓
Home WEH75%
Fair 1.34Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓
Over 1.582%
Fair 1.21Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓
Over 2.561%
Fair 1.63Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕
Under 3.561%
Fair 1.64Odds —

Both teams to score

✕
GG (Yes)56%
Fair 1.79Odds 1.91

Correct score

✕
2-010%
Fair 10.11Odds 6.50

Banker tip

✓
1X87%
Fair 1.15Odds 1.10

Super single

✓
Over 2.561%
Fair 1.63Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner
11.44
X3.60
26.50
Double chance
1X1.10
121.22
X22.50
Both teams to score
Yes1.91
No1.75

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2155%1.836.50Value
Home winHome win55%1.836.50Value
Away winAway win13%7.591.22
Double chance1X87%1.151.10
Draw no betHome DNB81%1.24—
Win either halfHome WEH75%1.34—
Over 1.5Over 1.582%1.21—
Over 2.5Over 2.561%1.63—
Under 3.5Under 3.561%1.64—
BTTSGG (Yes)56%1.791.91Value
Correct score2-010%10.116.50
Banker1X87%1.151.10
Super singleOver 2.561%1.63—

Form & head to head

Şahdağ

WWW
100%
Form
50%
Attack
93%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)7 / 1
Season W-D-L3-0-0
Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 0

Zaqatala

DWL
44%
Form
36%
Attack
64%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 5
Season W-D-L1-1-1
Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 1

Team comparison

Form
69%
31%
Attack
58%
42%
Defence
83%
17%
Poisson model
100%
0%
Head to head
62%
38%
Goals
56%
44%
Overall
65%
34%

Head to head

3
Home wins
3
Draws
2
Away wins
7 Oct 26 Şahdağ 6 - 0 Zaqatala
22 Apr 26 Zaqatala 0 - 1 Şahdağ
25 Feb 26 Şahdağ 1 - 0 Zaqatala
20 Nov 25 Zaqatala 1 - 0 Şahdağ
27 Feb 17 Şahdağ 1 - 1 Zaqatala
7 Sep 16 Zaqatala 2 - 2 Şahdağ

2.38 goals per meeting · BTTS in 3 of 8 · over 2.5 in 2 of 8.

Match preview

Şahdağ vs Zaqatala: match preview

Şahdağ host Zaqatala in the Birinci Dasta (Regular Season - 4) on Wednesday 7 October, kick-off 12:30. The match finished 6-0.

Form guide

Şahdağ have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 league games, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded. Zaqatala have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 league games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. At home this season Şahdağ have 1 win from 1 game, while Zaqatala have won 0 of 2 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 2.17 goals for Şahdağ and 1 for Zaqatala, 3.17 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 82% chance, over 2.5 61% and both teams to score 56%. The single most likely score is 2-0.

Head to head

In their last 8 meetings, Şahdağ won 3, Zaqatala won 2 and 3 ended level, with 2.4 goals per game and both teams scoring in 3.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com (Home Win) at 75% confidence, priced at 1.34. The model also leans towards 1X (87%), Over 1.5 (82%), Home DNB (81%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: Şahdağ 55%, draw 32%, Zaqatala 13%.
  • Expected goals: 2.17 vs 1.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings.
  • Şahdağ have 2 clean sheets this season; Zaqatala have 1.
  • API-Football model advice: Winner : Şahdağ.

See more Birinci Dasta numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 00:05 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Şahdağ vs Zaqatala?
Our main pick is Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com (Home Win) with 75% confidence. Win probabilities are Şahdağ 55%, draw 32% and Zaqatala 13%.
Will both teams score in Şahdağ vs Zaqatala?
Our model gives both teams to score a 56% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).
How many goals will there be in Şahdağ vs Zaqatala?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 61% chance and the most likely score is 2-0.
When and where is Şahdağ vs Zaqatala?
Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 12:30.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.

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