UEFA Europa Conference League· World · Playoff round

Ajax

5-3

FT

FC Sion

Ajax vs FC Sion prediction

📅 Thu 27 Aug 2026 🏟️ Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam 🧑‍⚖️ J. Weinberger

Prediction

● Live data

52%

Ajax

32%

Draw

16%

FC Sion

Ajax 52% · draw 32% · FC Sion 16%. We pick 1 (Home Win). Most likely score 2-1, over 2.5 at 77%, BTTS at 72%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Home Win · 1

1 Confidence 52%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

152%

Fair 1.93Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win52%

Fair 1.93Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win16%

Fair 6.14Odds —

Double chance

✓

1X84%

Fair 1.19Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Home DNB76%

Fair 1.31Odds —

Win either half

✓

Home WEH73%

Fair 1.38Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.591%

Fair 1.10Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.577%

Fair 1.31Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✓

Over 3.557%

Fair 1.75Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)72%

Fair 1.39Odds —

Correct score

✕

2-18%

Fair 11.77Odds —

Banker tip

✓

Over 1.591%

Fair 1.10Odds —

Super single

✓

Over 3.557%

Fair 1.75Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	52%	1.93	—
Home win	Home win	52%	1.93	—
Away win	Away win	16%	6.14	—
Double chance	1X	84%	1.19	—
Draw no bet	Home DNB	76%	1.31	—
Win either half	Home WEH	73%	1.38	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	91%	1.10	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	77%	1.31	—
Under 3.5	Over 3.5	57%	1.75	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	72%	1.39	—
Correct score	2-1	8%	11.77	—
Banker	Over 1.5	91%	1.10	—
Super single	Over 3.5	57%	1.75	—

Form & head to head

Ajax

WWWDW

87%

Form

94%

Attack

61%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)17 / 7

Season W-D-L4-1-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

FC Sion

DWDWL

53%

Form

61%

Attack

56%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)11 / 8

Season W-D-L2-2-1

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 0

Team comparison

Form

62%

38%

Attack

61%

39%

Defence

53%

47%

Poisson model

73%

27%

Head to head

100%

0%

Goals

67%

33%

Overall

63%

36%

Head to head

2

Home wins

0

Draws

0

Away wins

27 Aug 26 Ajax 5 - 3 FC Sion

20 Aug 26 FC Sion 2 - 4 Ajax

7.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 2 of 2 · over 2.5 in 2 of 2.

Match statistics

55%Ball Possession45%

26Total Shots11

15Shots on Goal4

5Corner Kicks2

5Fouls7

0Yellow Cards2

1Goalkeeper Saves9

Key events

1'⚽ Y. Baas Normal Goal
18'⚽ W. Boteli Normal Goal
36'⚽ W. Boteli Normal Goal
39'⚽ D. Klaassen Normal Goal
45'⚽ T. Arokodare Normal Goal
50'🟨 Noé Sow Yellow Card
51'⚽ T. Arokodare Normal Goal
54'⚽ O. Edvardsen Normal Goal
59'🟨 Numa Lavanchy Yellow Card
64'📺 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen Goal cancelled
83'📺 Winsley Boteli Mokango Penalty cancelled
85'⚽ Normal Goal
90'⚽ W. Boteli Normal Goal

Match preview

Ajax vs FC Sion: match preview

Ajax host FC Sion in the UEFA Europa Conference League (Playoff round) at Johan Cruijff Arena on Thursday 27 August, kick-off 19:00. The match finished 5-3.

Form guide

Ajax have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games, averaging 3.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. FC Sion have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. At home this season Ajax have 2 wins from 2 games, while FC Sion have won 0 of 2 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 2.5 goals for Ajax and 1.53 for FC Sion, 4.03 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 91% chance, over 2.5 77% and both teams to score 72%. The single most likely score is 2-1.

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings, Ajax won 2, FC Sion won 0 and 0 ended level, with 7.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 2.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Home Win (1) at 52% confidence. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (91%), 1X (84%), Over 2.5 (77%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Ajax 52%, draw 32%, FC Sion 16%.
Expected goals: 2.5 vs 1.53.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 2 meetings.
Ajax have 0 clean sheets this season; FC Sion have 1.
API-Football model advice: Combo Winner : Ajax and +1.5 goals.

See more UEFA Europa Conference League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 00:47 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ajax vs FC Sion?

Our main pick is Home Win (1) with 52% confidence. Win probabilities are Ajax 52%, draw 32% and FC Sion 16%.

Will both teams score in Ajax vs FC Sion?

Our model gives both teams to score a 72% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Ajax vs FC Sion?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 77% chance and the most likely score is 2-1.

When and where is Ajax vs FC Sion?

Thursday 27 August 2026 at 19:00, Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.