Liga Alef· Israel · South - 6

Dimona

4-1

FT

Hapoel Sderot

Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot prediction

📅 Fri 9 Oct 2026

Prediction

● Live data

16%

Dimona

35%

Draw

49%

Hapoel Sderot

Dimona 16% · draw 35% · Hapoel Sderot 49%. We pick Home Win (Home Win). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 51%, BTTS at 53%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Home Win · Home Win

Home Win @ 2.11 Confidence 47%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

249%

Fair 2.04Odds 1.35

Home win

✓

Home win16%

Fair 6.08Odds 3.30

Away win

✕

Away win49%

Fair 2.04Odds 1.35

Double chance

✕

X284%

Fair 1.20Odds 1.67

Draw no bet

✕

Away DNB75%

Fair 1.34Odds —

Win either half

✕

Away WEH65%

Fair 1.53Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.576%

Fair 1.32Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.551%

Fair 1.95Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.571%

Fair 1.41Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)53%

Fair 1.90Odds 1.80

Correct score

✕

1-111%

Fair 8.76Odds 6.50

Banker tip

✕

X284%

Fair 1.20Odds 1.67

Super single

✕

X284%

Fair 1.20Odds 1.67

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

12.00

X3.10

23.30

Double chance

1X1.25

121.35

X21.67

Both teams to score

Yes1.80

No1.95

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	49%	2.04	1.35
Home win	Home win	16%	6.08	3.30
Away win	Away win	49%	2.04	1.35
Double chance	X2	84%	1.20	1.67	Value
Draw no bet	Away DNB	75%	1.34	—
Win either half	Away WEH	65%	1.53	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	76%	1.32	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	51%	1.95	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	71%	1.41	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	53%	1.90	1.80
Correct score	1-1	11%	8.76	6.50
Banker	X2	84%	1.20	1.67	Value
Super single	X2	84%	1.20	1.67	Value

Form & head to head

Dimona

WWWLW

80%

Form

80%

Attack

30%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)8 / 7

Season W-D-L4-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score3 · 0

Hapoel Sderot

WLWLD

47%

Form

60%

Attack

60%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)6 / 4

Season W-D-L2-1-2

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 2

Team comparison

Form

63%

37%

Attack

57%

43%

Defence

36%

64%

Poisson model

12%

88%

Head to head

0%

Goals

0%

Overall

42%

58%

Head to head

0

Home wins

0

Draws

0

Away wins

These teams have not met recently.

Match preview

Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot: match preview

Dimona host Hapoel Sderot in the Liga Alef (South - 6) on Friday 9 October, kick-off 11:35. The match finished 4-1.

Form guide

Dimona have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Hapoel Sderot have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. At home this season Dimona have 1 win from 2 games, while Hapoel Sderot have won 2 of 3 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.03 goals for Dimona and 1.7 for Hapoel Sderot, 2.73 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 76% chance, over 2.5 51% and both teams to score 53%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Home Win (Home Win) at 47% confidence, priced at 2.11. The model also leans towards X2 (84%), Over 1.5 (76%), Away DNB (75%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Dimona 16%, draw 35%, Hapoel Sderot 49%.
Expected goals: 1.03 vs 1.7.
Dimona have 3 clean sheets this season; Hapoel Sderot have 2.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or Hapoel Sderot.

See more Liga Alef numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE

Written by EkeTips Editorial Team Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

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By EkeTips Editorial Team · Updated 9 Oct 14:08 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot?

Our main pick is Home Win (Home Win) with 47% confidence. Win probabilities are Dimona 16%, draw 35% and Hapoel Sderot 49%.

Will both teams score in Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot?

Our model gives both teams to score a 53% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot?

Friday 9 October 2026 at 11:35.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.