Liga Alef· Israel · South - 6

Hapoel Marmorek

17:00

🕒 17:00

Maccabi Ashdod

Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod prediction

📅 Thu 8 Oct 2026

Prediction

● Live data

20%

Hapoel Marmorek

37%

Draw

43%

Maccabi Ashdod

Hapoel Marmorek 20% · draw 37% · Maccabi Ashdod 43%. We pick X2 (Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com). Most likely score 0-1, over 2.5 at 34%, BTTS at 41%.

🎯 Our pick

Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com · X2

X2 @ 1.40 Confidence 75%

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All prediction categories

1X2

243%

Fair 2.33Odds 1.28

Home win

Home win20%

Fair 5.08Odds 2.40

Away win

Away win43%

Fair 2.33Odds 1.28

Double chance

Value

X280%

Fair 1.25Odds 1.40

Draw no bet

Away DNB69%

Fair 1.46Odds —

Win either half

Away WEH52%

Fair 1.92Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.562%

Fair 1.63Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Value

Under 2.566%

Fair 1.53Odds 1.73

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.584%

Fair 1.19Odds —

Both teams to score

NG (No)59%

Fair 1.71Odds —

Correct score

Value

0-114%

Fair 6.96Odds 8.00

Banker tip

Under 3.584%

Fair 1.19Odds —

Super single

Value

Under 2.566%

Fair 1.53Odds 1.73

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

12.62

X3.20

22.40

Double chance

1X1.44

121.28

X21.40

Goals 2.5

Over2.08

Under1.73

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	43%	2.33	1.28
Home win	Home win	20%	5.08	2.40
Away win	Away win	43%	2.33	1.28
Double chance	X2	80%	1.25	1.40	Value
Draw no bet	Away DNB	69%	1.46	—
Win either half	Away WEH	52%	1.92	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	62%	1.63	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	66%	1.53	1.73	Value
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	84%	1.19	—
BTTS	NG (No)	59%	1.71	—
Correct score	0-1	14%	6.96	8.00	Value
Banker	Under 3.5	84%	1.19	—
Super single	Under 2.5	66%	1.53	1.73	Value

Form & head to head

Hapoel Marmorek

WLLLD

27%

Form

40%

Attack

40%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 6

Season W-D-L1-1-3

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 2

Maccabi Ashdod

LDDDW

40%

Form

70%

Attack

40%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)7 / 6

Season W-D-L1-3-1

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 0

Team comparison

Form

40%

60%

Attack

36%

64%

Defence

50%

Poisson model

36%

64%

Head to head

15%

85%

Goals

23%

77%

Overall

33%

66%

Head to head

2

Home wins

2

Draws

6

Away wins

27 Feb 26 Hapoel Marmorek 1 - 1 Maccabi Ashdod

1 Nov 25 Maccabi Ashdod 5 - 0 Hapoel Marmorek

21 Mar 25 Maccabi Ashdod 0 - 0 Hapoel Marmorek

29 Nov 24 Hapoel Marmorek 1 - 2 Maccabi Ashdod

8 Mar 24 Maccabi Ashdod 2 - 1 Hapoel Marmorek

15 Dec 23 Hapoel Marmorek 0 - 1 Maccabi Ashdod

2.20 goals per meeting · BTTS in 4 of 10 · over 2.5 in 5 of 10.

Match preview

Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod: match preview

Hapoel Marmorek host Maccabi Ashdod in the Liga Alef (South - 6) on Thursday 8 October, kick-off 17:00.

Form guide

Hapoel Marmorek have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Maccabi Ashdod have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. At home this season Hapoel Marmorek have 1 win from 3 games, while Maccabi Ashdod have won 0 of 2 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.93 goals for Hapoel Marmorek and 1.15 for Maccabi Ashdod, 2.08 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 62% chance, over 2.5 34% and both teams to score 41%. The single most likely score is 0-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Hapoel Marmorek won 2, Maccabi Ashdod won 6 and 2 ended level, with 2.2 goals per game and both teams scoring in 4.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com (X2) at 75% confidence, priced at 1.40. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (84%), X2 (80%), Away DNB (69%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Hapoel Marmorek 20%, draw 37%, Maccabi Ashdod 43%.
Expected goals: 0.93 vs 1.15.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Hapoel Marmorek have 1 clean sheets this season; Maccabi Ashdod have 1.
API-Football model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Maccabi Ashdod and -3.5 goals.

See more Liga Alef numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 00:49 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod?

Our main pick is Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com (X2) with 75% confidence. Win probabilities are Hapoel Marmorek 20%, draw 37% and Maccabi Ashdod 43%.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod?

Our model gives both teams to score a 41% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 34% chance and the most likely score is 0-1.

When and where is Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod?

Thursday 8 October 2026 at 17:00.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.