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Copa de la División Profesional· Bolivia · Group Stage - 8
Oriente Petrolero logo

Oriente Petrolero

01:30
🕒 01:30
Universitario de Vinto logo

Universitario de Vinto

Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto prediction

📅 Thu 8 Oct 2026 🏟️ Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz

Prediction

● Live data
50%
Oriente Petrolero
33%
Draw
18%
Universitario de Vinto

Oriente Petrolero 50% · draw 33% · Universitario de Vinto 18%. We pick Under 3.5 (3.5 Goals). Most likely score 2-1, over 2.5 at 72%, BTTS at 69%.

🎯 Our pick
3.5 Goals · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.68 Confidence 6%
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All prediction categories

1X2

Value
150%
Fair 2.01Odds 5.00

Home win

Value
Home win50%
Fair 2.01Odds 5.00

Away win

Away win18%
Fair 5.66Odds 1.22

Double chance

1X82%
Fair 1.21Odds 1.15

Draw no bet

Home DNB74%
Fair 1.35Odds —

Win either half

Home WEH69%
Fair 1.45Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.589%
Fair 1.13Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.572%
Fair 1.38Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Over 3.552%
Fair 1.94Odds —

Both teams to score

GG (Yes)69%
Fair 1.44Odds 1.44

Correct score

2-19%
Fair 11.20Odds 7.50

Banker tip

Over 1.589%
Fair 1.13Odds —

Super single

Over 3.552%
Fair 1.94Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner
11.53
X3.75
25.00
Double chance
1X1.15
121.22
X22.25
Both teams to score
Yes1.44
No2.45

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2150%2.015.00Value
Home winHome win50%2.015.00Value
Away winAway win18%5.661.22
Double chance1X82%1.211.15
Draw no betHome DNB74%1.35—
Win either halfHome WEH69%1.45—
Over 1.5Over 1.589%1.13—
Over 2.5Over 2.572%1.38—
Under 3.5Over 3.552%1.94—
BTTSGG (Yes)69%1.441.44
Correct score2-19%11.207.50
BankerOver 1.589%1.13—
Super singleOver 3.552%1.94—

Form & head to head

Oriente Petrolero

WWLDL
47%
Form
29%
Attack
67%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)6 / 7
Season W-D-L3-1-3
Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 1

Universitario de Vinto

LLWWL
40%
Form
52%
Attack
43%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)11 / 12
Season W-D-L2-1-4
Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 0

Team comparison

Form
54%
46%
Attack
35%
65%
Defence
63%
37%
Poisson model
75%
25%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
56%
44%
Overall
55%
44%

Head to head

3
Home wins
4
Draws
3
Away wins
27 Sep 26 Universitario de Vinto 3 - 0 Oriente Petrolero
10 Aug 26 Oriente Petrolero 5 - 0 Universitario de Vinto
8 Aug 25 Universitario de Vinto 2 - 1 Oriente Petrolero
3 Jul 25 Oriente Petrolero 3 - 2 Universitario de Vinto
21 May 25 Universitario de Vinto 1 - 1 Oriente Petrolero
4 Apr 25 Oriente Petrolero 0 - 0 Universitario de Vinto

3.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 7 of 10 · over 2.5 in 6 of 10.

Match preview

Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto: match preview

Oriente Petrolero host Universitario de Vinto in the Copa de la División Profesional (Group Stage - 8) at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas on Thursday 8 October, kick-off 01:30.

Form guide

Oriente Petrolero have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Universitario de Vinto have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. At home this season Oriente Petrolero have 2 wins from 3 games, while Universitario de Vinto have won 0 of 3 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 2.25 goals for Oriente Petrolero and 1.5 for Universitario de Vinto, 3.75 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 89% chance, over 2.5 72% and both teams to score 69%. The single most likely score is 2-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Oriente Petrolero won 3, Universitario de Vinto won 3 and 4 ended level, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 7.

Our verdict

Our main pick is 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) at 6% confidence, priced at 1.68. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (89%), 1X (82%), Home DNB (74%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: Oriente Petrolero 50%, draw 33%, Universitario de Vinto 18%.
  • Expected goals: 2.25 vs 1.5.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Oriente Petrolero have 2 clean sheets this season; Universitario de Vinto have 1.
  • API-Football model advice: Double chance : Oriente Petrolero or draw.

See more Copa de la División Profesional numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 00:51 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?
Our main pick is 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) with 6% confidence. Win probabilities are Oriente Petrolero 50%, draw 33% and Universitario de Vinto 18%.
Will both teams score in Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?
Our model gives both teams to score a 69% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).
How many goals will there be in Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 72% chance and the most likely score is 2-1.
When and where is Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?
Thursday 8 October 2026 at 01:30, Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.

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