Ligue 1· Algeria · Regular Season - 4

MB Rouisset

18:00

🕒 18:00

USM Alger

MB Rouisset vs USM Alger prediction

📅 Thu 8 Oct 2026

Prediction

● Live data

16%

MB Rouisset

36%

Draw

48%

USM Alger

MB Rouisset 16% · draw 36% · USM Alger 48%. We pick Away Win (Away Win). Most likely score 0-1, over 2.5 at 38%, BTTS at 41%.

🎯 Our pick

Away Win · Away Win

Away Win @ 2.30 Confidence 43%

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All prediction categories

1X2

248%

Fair 2.08Odds 1.40

Home win

Home win16%

Fair 6.36Odds 2.30

Away win

Away win48%

Fair 2.08Odds 1.40

Double chance

Value

X284%

Fair 1.19Odds 1.30

Draw no bet

Away DNB75%

Fair 1.33Odds —

Win either half

Away WEH62%

Fair 1.62Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.565%

Fair 1.55Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.562%

Fair 1.61Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.582%

Fair 1.22Odds —

Both teams to score

NG (No)59%

Fair 1.71Odds 1.65

Correct score

0-116%

Fair 6.45Odds 5.80

Banker tip

Value

X284%

Fair 1.19Odds 1.30

Super single

Over 1.565%

Fair 1.55Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

13.20

X2.70

22.30

Double chance

1X1.55

121.40

X21.30

Both teams to score

Yes2.10

No1.65

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	48%	2.08	1.40
Home win	Home win	16%	6.36	2.30
Away win	Away win	48%	2.08	1.40
Double chance	X2	84%	1.19	1.30	Value
Draw no bet	Away DNB	75%	1.33	—
Win either half	Away WEH	62%	1.62	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	65%	1.55	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	62%	1.61	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	82%	1.22	—
BTTS	NG (No)	59%	1.71	1.65
Correct score	0-1	16%	6.45	5.80
Banker	X2	84%	1.19	1.30	Value
Super single	Over 1.5	65%	1.55	—

Form & head to head

MB Rouisset

LWL

33%

Form

14%

Attack

79%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 3

Season W-D-L1-0-2

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 2

USM Alger

DWW

78%

Form

36%

Attack

86%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 2

Season W-D-L2-1-0

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 1

Team comparison

Form

30%

70%

Attack

29%

71%

Defence

40%

60%

Poisson model

100%

0%

Head to head

33%

67%

Goals

9%

91%

Overall

28%

71%

Head to head

1

Home wins

0

Draws

2

Away wins

30 May 26 MB Rouisset 1 - 0 USM Alger

22 Dec 25 USM Alger 2 - 0 MB Rouisset

8 Mar 24 USM Alger 8 - 0 MB Rouisset

3.67 goals per meeting · BTTS in 0 of 3 · over 2.5 in 1 of 3.

Match preview

MB Rouisset vs USM Alger: match preview

MB Rouisset host USM Alger in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 4) on Thursday 8 October, kick-off 18:00.

Form guide

MB Rouisset have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 league games, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. USM Alger have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 league games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. At home this season MB Rouisset have 1 win from 1 game, while USM Alger have won 1 of 2 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.8 goals for MB Rouisset and 1.4 for USM Alger, 2.20 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 65% chance, over 2.5 38% and both teams to score 41%. The single most likely score is 0-1.

Head to head

In their last 3 meetings, MB Rouisset won 1, USM Alger won 2 and 0 ended level, with 3.7 goals per game and both teams scoring in 0.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Away Win (Away Win) at 43% confidence, priced at 2.30. The model also leans towards X2 (84%), Under 3.5 (82%), Away DNB (75%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: MB Rouisset 16%, draw 36%, USM Alger 48%.
Expected goals: 0.8 vs 1.4.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 3 meetings.
MB Rouisset have 1 clean sheets this season; USM Alger have 2.
API-Football model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or USM Alger and -3.5 goals.

See more Ligue 1 numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 00:48 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for MB Rouisset vs USM Alger?

Our main pick is Away Win (Away Win) with 43% confidence. Win probabilities are MB Rouisset 16%, draw 36% and USM Alger 48%.

Will both teams score in MB Rouisset vs USM Alger?

Our model gives both teams to score a 41% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in MB Rouisset vs USM Alger?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 38% chance and the most likely score is 0-1.

When and where is MB Rouisset vs USM Alger?

Thursday 8 October 2026 at 18:00.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.