Ligue 1· Algeria · Regular Season - 4

MC Oran

20:00

🕒 20:00

ES Setif

MC Oran vs ES Setif prediction

📅 Thu 8 Oct 2026

Prediction

● Live data

45%

MC Oran

37%

Draw

18%

ES Setif

MC Oran 45% · draw 37% · ES Setif 18%. We pick NG (BTTS). Most likely score 1-0, over 2.5 at 35%, BTTS at 41%.

🎯 Our pick

BTTS · NG

NG @ 1.55 Confidence 65%

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All prediction categories

1X2

Value

145%

Fair 2.21Odds 3.80

Home win

Value

Home win45%

Fair 2.21Odds 3.80

Away win

Away win18%

Fair 5.68Odds 1.40

Double chance

1X82%

Fair 1.21Odds 1.22

Draw no bet

Home DNB72%

Fair 1.39Odds —

Win either half

Home WEH57%

Fair 1.77Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.562%

Fair 1.61Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.565%

Fair 1.54Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.584%

Fair 1.19Odds —

Both teams to score

NG (No)59%

Fair 1.69Odds 1.57

Correct score

1-015%

Fair 6.53Odds 5.00

Banker tip

Under 3.584%

Fair 1.19Odds —

Super single

Under 2.565%

Fair 1.54Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

12.05

X2.70

23.80

Double chance

1X1.22

121.40

X21.67

Both teams to score

Yes2.30

No1.57

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	45%	2.21	3.80	Value
Home win	Home win	45%	2.21	3.80	Value
Away win	Away win	18%	5.68	1.40
Double chance	1X	82%	1.21	1.22
Draw no bet	Home DNB	72%	1.39	—
Win either half	Home WEH	57%	1.77	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	62%	1.61	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	65%	1.54	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	84%	1.19	—
BTTS	NG (No)	59%	1.69	1.57
Correct score	1-0	15%	6.53	5.00
Banker	Under 3.5	84%	1.19	—
Super single	Under 2.5	65%	1.54	—

Form & head to head

MC Oran

WW

100%

Form

21%

Attack

100%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)3 / 0

Season W-D-L2-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 0

ES Setif

LLW

33%

Form

36%

Attack

79%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 3

Season W-D-L1-0-2

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 2

Team comparison

Form

67%

33%

Attack

38%

63%

Defence

100%

0%

Poisson model

100%

0%

Head to head

50%

Goals

50%

Overall

51%

49%

Head to head

4

Home wins

2

Draws

4

Away wins

17 Apr 26 ES Setif 3 - 0 MC Oran

20 Nov 25 MC Oran 0 - 0 ES Setif

18 Apr 25 ES Setif 1 - 0 MC Oran

7 Nov 24 MC Oran 1 - 0 ES Setif

17 May 24 MC Oran 4 - 1 ES Setif

29 Dec 23 ES Setif 1 - 0 MC Oran

2.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 2 of 10 · over 2.5 in 4 of 10.

Match preview

MC Oran vs ES Setif: match preview

MC Oran host ES Setif in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 4) on Thursday 8 October, kick-off 20:00.

Form guide

MC Oran have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 2 league games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded. ES Setif have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 league games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. At home this season MC Oran have 1 win from 1 game, while ES Setif have won 0 of 1 game on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for MC Oran and 0.85 for ES Setif, 2.10 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 62% chance, over 2.5 35% and both teams to score 41%. The single most likely score is 1-0.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, MC Oran won 4, ES Setif won 4 and 2 ended level, with 2.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 2.

Our verdict

Our main pick is BTTS (NG) at 65% confidence, priced at 1.55. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (84%), 1X (82%), Home DNB (72%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: MC Oran 45%, draw 37%, ES Setif 18%.
Expected goals: 1.25 vs 0.85.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
MC Oran have 2 clean sheets this season; ES Setif have 0.
API-Football model advice: Combo Double chance : MC Oran or draw and -3.5 goals.

See more Ligue 1 numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 00:46 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for MC Oran vs ES Setif?

Our main pick is BTTS (NG) with 65% confidence. Win probabilities are MC Oran 45%, draw 37% and ES Setif 18%.

Will both teams score in MC Oran vs ES Setif?

Our model gives both teams to score a 41% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in MC Oran vs ES Setif?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 35% chance and the most likely score is 1-0.

When and where is MC Oran vs ES Setif?

Thursday 8 October 2026 at 20:00.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.