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UEFA Champions League· World · 3rd Qualifying Round
Union St. Gilloise logo

Union St. Gilloise

3-3
FT
Bodo/Glimt logo

Bodo/Glimt

Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt prediction

📅 Tue 4 Aug 2026 🏟️ KVDO Arena, Ostend 🧑‍⚖️ Irfan Peljto, Bosnia & Herzegovina

Prediction

● Live data
24%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Draw
24%
Bodo/Glimt

Union St. Gilloise 24% · draw 52% · Bodo/Glimt 24%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 0-0, over 2.5 at 1%, BTTS at 3%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won
Double Chance · 1X
1X Confidence 58%
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All prediction categories

1X2

✓
X52%
Fair 1.94Odds —

Home win

✕
Home win24%
Fair 4.13Odds —

Away win

✕
Away win24%
Fair 4.13Odds —

Double chance

✓
1X76%
Fair 1.32Odds —

Draw no bet

✕
Home DNB50%
Fair 2.00Odds —

Win either half

✕
Home WEH17%
Fair 6.04Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✕
Under 1.594%
Fair 1.07Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕
Under 2.599%
Fair 1.01Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕
Under 3.5100%
Fair 1.00Odds —

Both teams to score

✕
NG (No)97%
Fair 1.03Odds —

Correct score

✕
0-067%
Fair 1.49Odds —

Banker tip

✕
Under 3.5100%
Fair 1.00Odds —

Super single

✓
X52%
Fair 1.94Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2X52%1.94—
Home winHome win24%4.13—
Away winAway win24%4.13—
Double chance1X76%1.32—
Draw no betHome DNB50%2.00—
Win either halfHome WEH17%6.04—
Over 1.5Under 1.594%1.07—
Over 2.5Under 2.599%1.01—
Under 3.5Under 3.5100%1.00—
BTTSNG (No)97%1.03—
Correct score0-067%1.49—
BankerUnder 3.5100%1.00—
Super singleX52%1.94—

Form & head to head

Union St. Gilloise

0%
Form
0%
Attack
0%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 0
Season W-D-L0-0-0
Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Bodo/Glimt

0%
Form
0%
Attack
0%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 0
Season W-D-L0-0-0
Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Poisson model
0%
0%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
0%
0%
Overall
50%
50%

Head to head

0
Home wins
2
Draws
1
Away wins
11 Aug 26 Bodo/Glimt 3 - 2 Union St. Gilloise
4 Aug 26 Union St. Gilloise 3 - 3 Bodo/Glimt
3 Oct 24 Union St. Gilloise 0 - 0 Bodo/Glimt

3.67 goals per meeting · BTTS in 2 of 3 · over 2.5 in 2 of 3.

Match statistics

47%Ball Possession53%
18Total Shots6
7Shots on Goal3
5Corner Kicks0
5Yellow Cards2

Key events

  1. 18'🟨 Massire Sylla Yellow Card
  2. 20'⚽ P. Berg Normal Goal
  3. 25'⚽ R. Florucz Normal Goal
  4. 27'🟨 Kevin Mac Allister Yellow Card
  5. 29'⚽ O. Blomberg Penalty
  6. 32'🟨 Darius Olaru Yellow Card
  7. 41'🟨 Jostein Gundersen Yellow Card
  8. 43'🟨 Sondre Fet Yellow Card
  9. 45'⚽ R. Florucz Normal Goal
  10. 72'🟨 Guilherme Smith Yellow Card
  11. 88'⚽ P. David Normal Goal
  12. 90'🟨 Besfort Zeneli Yellow Card
  13. 90'⚽ O. L. Bjortuft Normal Goal

Match preview

Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt: match preview

Union St. Gilloise host Bodo/Glimt in the UEFA Champions League (3rd Qualifying Round) at KVDO Arena on Tuesday 4 August, kick-off 19:00. The match finished 3-3.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.2 goals for Union St. Gilloise and 0.2 for Bodo/Glimt, 0.40 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 6% chance, over 2.5 1% and both teams to score 3%. The single most likely score is 0-0.

Head to head

In their last 3 meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 0, Bodo/Glimt won 1 and 2 ended level, with 3.7 goals per game and both teams scoring in 2.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 58% confidence. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (100%), Under 2.5 (99%), NG (No) (97%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: Union St. Gilloise 24%, draw 52%, Bodo/Glimt 24%.
  • Expected goals: 0.2 vs 0.2.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 3 meetings.
  • Union St. Gilloise have 0 clean sheets this season; Bodo/Glimt have 0.
  • API-Football model advice: No predictions available.

See more UEFA Champions League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:19 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?
Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 58% confidence. Win probabilities are Union St. Gilloise 24%, draw 52% and Bodo/Glimt 24%.
Will both teams score in Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?
Our model gives both teams to score a 3% chance, so the lean is NG (No).
How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?
We expect about 0.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 1% chance and the most likely score is 0-0.
When and where is Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?
Tuesday 4 August 2026 at 19:00, KVDO Arena, Ostend.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.

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