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UEFA Champions League· World · 2nd Qualifying Round
Egnatia Rrogozhinë logo

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

3-3
FT
Celje logo

Celje

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Celje prediction

📅 Wed 22 Jul 2026 🏟️ Arena Egnatia, Rrogozhine 🧑‍⚖️ Atilla Karaoglan, Türkiye

Prediction

● Live data
51%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
28%
Draw
22%
Celje

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 51% · draw 28% · Celje 22%. We pick GG (BTTS). Most likely score 1-0, over 2.5 at 39%, BTTS at 33%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won
BTTS · GG
GG @ 1.75 Confidence 57%
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All prediction categories

1X2

✕
151%
Fair 1.97Odds —

Home win

✕
Home win51%
Fair 1.97Odds —

Away win

✕
Away win22%
Fair 4.62Odds —

Double chance

✓
1X78%
Fair 1.28Odds —

Draw no bet

✕
Home DNB70%
Fair 1.43Odds —

Win either half

✕
Home WEH75%
Fair 1.34Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓
Over 1.566%
Fair 1.52Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕
Under 2.561%
Fair 1.64Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕
Under 3.581%
Fair 1.24Odds —

Both teams to score

✕
NG (No)67%
Fair 1.48Odds —

Correct score

✕
1-018%
Fair 5.42Odds —

Banker tip

✕
Under 3.581%
Fair 1.24Odds —

Super single

✓
Over 1.566%
Fair 1.52Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2151%1.97—
Home winHome win51%1.97—
Away winAway win22%4.62—
Double chance1X78%1.28—
Draw no betHome DNB70%1.43—
Win either halfHome WEH75%1.34—
Over 1.5Over 1.566%1.52—
Over 2.5Under 2.561%1.64—
Under 3.5Under 3.581%1.24—
BTTSNG (No)67%1.48—
Correct score1-018%5.42—
BankerUnder 3.581%1.24—
Super singleOver 1.566%1.52—

Form & head to head

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

DW
67%
Form
78%
Attack
78%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)7 / 2
Season W-D-L1-1-0
Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Celje

0%
Form
0%
Attack
0%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 0
Season W-D-L0-0-0
Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form
100%
0%
Attack
100%
0%
Defence
0%
100%
Poisson model
0%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
0%
Overall
0%
0%

Head to head

0
Home wins
2
Draws
0
Away wins
28 Jul 26 Celje 1 - 1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
22 Jul 26 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3 - 3 Celje

4.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 2 of 2 · over 2.5 in 1 of 2.

Match preview

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Celje: match preview

Egnatia Rrogozhinë host Celje in the UEFA Champions League (2nd Qualifying Round) at Arena Egnatia on Wednesday 22 July, kick-off 20:00. The match finished 3-3.

Form guide

Egnatia Rrogozhinë have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 league games, averaging 3.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. At home this season Egnatia Rrogozhinë have 1 win from 1 game, while Celje have won 0 of 0 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 0.5 for Celje, 2.25 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 66% chance, over 2.5 39% and both teams to score 33%. The single most likely score is 1-0.

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings, Egnatia Rrogozhinë won 0, Celje won 0 and 2 ended level, with 4.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 2.

Our verdict

Our main pick is BTTS (GG) at 57% confidence, priced at 1.75. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (81%), 1X (78%), Home WEH (75%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 51%, draw 28%, Celje 22%.
  • Expected goals: 1.75 vs 0.5.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë have 0 clean sheets this season; Celje have 0.
  • API-Football model advice: No predictions available.

See more UEFA Champions League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:20 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Celje?
Our main pick is BTTS (GG) with 57% confidence. Win probabilities are Egnatia Rrogozhinë 51%, draw 28% and Celje 22%.
Will both teams score in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Celje?
Our model gives both teams to score a 33% chance, so the lean is NG (No).
How many goals will there be in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Celje?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 39% chance and the most likely score is 1-0.
When and where is Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Celje?
Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 20:00, Arena Egnatia, Rrogozhine.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.

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