Bundesliga· Germany · Regular Season - 4

Borussia Mönchengladbach

3-4

FT

FSV Mainz 05

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction

📅 Sat 19 Sep 2026 🏟️ Borussia-Park, Monchengladbach 🧑‍⚖️ R. Hartmann

Prediction

● Live data

10%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

29%

Draw

61%

FSV Mainz 05

Borussia Mönchengladbach 10% · draw 29% · FSV Mainz 05 61%. We pick 2 (Away Win). Most likely score 0-2, over 2.5 at 76%, BTTS at 60%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Away Win · 2

2 Confidence 52%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

261%

Fair 1.63Odds —

Home win

✕

Home win10%

Fair 10.32Odds —

Away win

✓

Away win61%

Fair 1.63Odds —

Double chance

✓

X290%

Fair 1.11Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Away DNB86%

Fair 1.16Odds —

Win either half

✓

Away WEH86%

Fair 1.17Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.591%

Fair 1.10Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.576%

Fair 1.31Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✓

Over 3.557%

Fair 1.77Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)60%

Fair 1.67Odds —

Correct score

✕

0-28%

Fair 12.13Odds —

Banker tip

✓

Over 1.591%

Fair 1.10Odds —

Super single

✓

261%

Fair 1.63Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	61%	1.63	—
Home win	Home win	10%	10.32	—
Away win	Away win	61%	1.63	—
Double chance	X2	90%	1.11	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	86%	1.16	—
Win either half	Away WEH	86%	1.17	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	91%	1.10	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	76%	1.31	—
Under 3.5	Over 3.5	57%	1.77	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	60%	1.67	—
Correct score	0-2	8%	12.13	—
Banker	Over 1.5	91%	1.10	—
Super single	2	61%	1.63	—

Form & head to head

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LLL

0%

Form

14%

Attack

43%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)3 / 12

Season W-D-L0-0-3

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 2

FSV Mainz 05

DWL

44%

Form

29%

Attack

86%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)6 / 3

Season W-D-L1-1-1

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 1

Team comparison

Form

0%

100%

Attack

33%

67%

Defence

20%

80%

Poisson model

0%

100%

Head to head

50%

Goals

45%

55%

Overall

37%

63%

Head to head

1

Home wins

5

Draws

4

Away wins

19 Sep 26 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4 FSV Mainz 05

19 Apr 26 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 - 1 FSV Mainz 05

5 Dec 25 FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

7 Mar 25 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 - 3 FSV Mainz 05

25 Oct 24 FSV Mainz 05 1 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

2 Mar 24 FSV Mainz 05 1 - 1 Borussia Monchengladbach

2.90 goals per meeting · BTTS in 7 of 10 · over 2.5 in 4 of 10.

Match statistics

47%Ball Possession53%

21Total Shots17

7Shots on Goal8

6Corner Kicks4

12Fouls14

6Yellow Cards5

4Goalkeeper Saves4

3.24Expected goals (xG)2.82

Key events

11'⚽ F. Neuhaus Normal Goal
18'⚽ P. Tietz Normal Goal
19'🟨 Lukas Ullrich Yellow Card
45'⚽ S. Becker Normal Goal
55'🟨 Philipp Sander Yellow Card
55'📺 Philipp Sander Penalty confirmed
55'🟨 Stefan Posch Yellow Card
57'⚽ Kevin Diks Missed Penalty
59'⚽ I. Lidberg Normal Goal
62'🟨 Florian Neuhaus Yellow Card
73'🟨 Phillipp Mwene Yellow Card
78'⚽ E. Martel Normal Goal
87'🟨 Kevin Stöger Yellow Card
87'🟨 Wael Mohya Yellow Card
89'⚽ D. da Costa Normal Goal
90'+3🟨 Shuto Machino Yellow Card
90'+7🟨 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Yellow Card
90'+4🟨 Alexander Schwolow Yellow Card
90'+3🟨 Kacper Potulski Yellow Card
90'⚽ S. Machino Penalty

Match preview

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05: match preview

Borussia Mönchengladbach host FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 4) at Borussia-Park on Saturday 19 September, kick-off 14:30. The match finished 3-4.

Form guide

Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 3 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded. FSV Mainz 05 have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 league games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. At home this season Borussia Mönchengladbach have 0 wins from 1 game, while FSV Mainz 05 have won 1 of 1 game on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 3 for FSV Mainz 05, 4.00 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 91% chance, over 2.5 76% and both teams to score 60%. The single most likely score is 0-2.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1, FSV Mainz 05 won 4 and 5 ended level, with 2.9 goals per game and both teams scoring in 7.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Away Win (2) at 52% confidence. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (91%), X2 (90%), Away DNB (86%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Borussia Mönchengladbach 10%, draw 29%, FSV Mainz 05 61%.
Expected goals: 1 vs 3.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Borussia Mönchengladbach have 0 clean sheets this season; FSV Mainz 05 have 2.
API-Football model advice: Combo Winner : FSV Mainz 05 and +3.5 goals.

See more Bundesliga numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:20 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?

Our main pick is Away Win (2) with 52% confidence. Win probabilities are Borussia Mönchengladbach 10%, draw 29% and FSV Mainz 05 61%.

Will both teams score in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?

Our model gives both teams to score a 60% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 76% chance and the most likely score is 0-2.

When and where is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?

Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:30, Borussia-Park, Monchengladbach.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.