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Bundesliga· Germany · Regular Season - 1
1. FC Köln logo

1. FC Köln

3-2
FT
1899 Hoffenheim logo

1899 Hoffenheim

1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction

📅 Sat 29 Aug 2026 🏟️ RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne 🧑‍⚖️ F. Badstubner

Prediction

● Live data
30%
1. FC Köln
57%
Draw
13%
1899 Hoffenheim

1. FC Köln 30% · draw 57% · 1899 Hoffenheim 13%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 0-0, over 2.5 at 1%, BTTS at 3%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won
Double Chance · 1X
1X Confidence 71%
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All prediction categories

1X2

✕
X57%
Fair 1.74Odds —

Home win

✓
Home win30%
Fair 3.33Odds —

Away win

✕
Away win13%
Fair 7.96Odds —

Double chance

✓
1X87%
Fair 1.14Odds —

Draw no bet

✓
Home DNB71%
Fair 1.42Odds —

Win either half

✓
Home WEH17%
Fair 6.04Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✕
Under 1.594%
Fair 1.07Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕
Under 2.599%
Fair 1.01Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕
Under 3.5100%
Fair 1.00Odds —

Both teams to score

✕
NG (No)97%
Fair 1.03Odds —

Correct score

✕
0-067%
Fair 1.49Odds —

Banker tip

✕
Under 3.5100%
Fair 1.00Odds —

Super single

✕
X57%
Fair 1.74Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2X57%1.74—
Home winHome win30%3.33—
Away winAway win13%7.96—
Double chance1X87%1.14—
Draw no betHome DNB71%1.42—
Win either halfHome WEH17%6.04—
Over 1.5Under 1.594%1.07—
Over 2.5Under 2.599%1.01—
Under 3.5Under 3.5100%1.00—
BTTSNG (No)97%1.03—
Correct score0-067%1.49—
BankerUnder 3.5100%1.00—
Super singleX57%1.74—

Form & head to head

1. FC Köln

0%
Form
0%
Attack
0%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 0
Season W-D-L0-0-0
Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

1899 Hoffenheim

0%
Form
0%
Attack
0%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 0
Season W-D-L0-0-0
Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Poisson model
0%
0%
Head to head
62%
38%
Goals
53%
47%
Overall
57%
42%

Head to head

3
Home wins
3
Draws
4
Away wins
29 Aug 26 1. FC Köln 3 - 2 1899 Hoffenheim
21 Feb 26 1. FC Köln 2 - 2 1899 Hoffenheim
3 Oct 25 1899 Hoffenheim 0 - 1 1. FC Köln
11 Feb 24 1899 Hoffenheim 1 - 1 1. FC Köln
16 Sep 23 1. FC Köln 1 - 3 1899 Hoffenheim
22 Apr 23 1899 Hoffenheim 1 - 3 1. FC Köln

3.10 goals per meeting · BTTS in 6 of 10 · over 2.5 in 6 of 10.

Match statistics

41%Ball Possession59%
18Total Shots15
6Shots on Goal4
6Corner Kicks7
11Fouls14
0Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
1.95Expected goals (xG)1.88

Key events

  1. 27'⚽ A. Daghim Normal Goal
  2. 51'⚽ S. El Mala Normal Goal
  3. 57'⚽ Max Moerstedt Missed Penalty
  4. 67'⚽ O. Kabak Normal Goal
  5. 72'⚽ T. Dallinga Normal Goal
  6. 82'⚽ T. Dallinga Normal Goal
  7. 83'🟨 Ozan Kabak Yellow Card
  8. 90'+4🟨 Max Moerstedt Yellow Card

Match preview

1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim: match preview

1. FC Köln host 1899 Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 1) at RheinEnergieStadion on Saturday 29 August, kick-off 14:30. The match finished 3-2.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.2 goals for 1. FC Köln and 0.2 for 1899 Hoffenheim, 0.40 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 6% chance, over 2.5 1% and both teams to score 3%. The single most likely score is 0-0.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, 1. FC Köln won 3, 1899 Hoffenheim won 4 and 3 ended level, with 3.1 goals per game and both teams scoring in 6.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 71% confidence. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (100%), Under 2.5 (99%), NG (No) (97%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: 1. FC Köln 30%, draw 57%, 1899 Hoffenheim 13%.
  • Expected goals: 0.2 vs 0.2.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • 1. FC Köln have 0 clean sheets this season; 1899 Hoffenheim have 0.
  • API-Football model advice: Double chance : 1. FC Köln or draw.

See more Bundesliga numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:19 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 71% confidence. Win probabilities are 1. FC Köln 30%, draw 57% and 1899 Hoffenheim 13%.
Will both teams score in 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our model gives both teams to score a 3% chance, so the lean is NG (No).
How many goals will there be in 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
We expect about 0.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 1% chance and the most likely score is 0-0.
When and where is 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Saturday 29 August 2026 at 14:30, RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.

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