Bundesliga· Germany · Regular Season - 1

SV Elversberg

3-2

FT

Bayer Leverkusen

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

📅 Sat 29 Aug 2026 🏟️ Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg 🧑‍⚖️ R. Hartmann

Prediction

● Live data

13%

SV Elversberg

57%

Draw

30%

Bayer Leverkusen

SV Elversberg 13% · draw 57% · Bayer Leverkusen 30%. We pick X2 (Double Chance). Most likely score 0-0, over 2.5 at 1%, BTTS at 3%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost

Double Chance · X2

X2 Confidence 71%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

X57%

Fair 1.74Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win13%

Fair 7.96Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win30%

Fair 3.33Odds —

Double chance

✕

X287%

Fair 1.14Odds —

Draw no bet

✕

Away DNB71%

Fair 1.42Odds —

Win either half

✓

Home WEH17%

Fair 6.04Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✕

Under 1.594%

Fair 1.07Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Under 2.599%

Fair 1.01Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.5100%

Fair 1.00Odds —

Both teams to score

✕

NG (No)97%

Fair 1.03Odds —

Correct score

✕

0-067%

Fair 1.49Odds —

Banker tip

✕

Under 3.5100%

Fair 1.00Odds —

Super single

✕

X57%

Fair 1.74Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	X	57%	1.74	—
Home win	Home win	13%	7.96	—
Away win	Away win	30%	3.33	—
Double chance	X2	87%	1.14	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	71%	1.42	—
Win either half	Home WEH	17%	6.04	—
Over 1.5	Under 1.5	94%	1.07	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	99%	1.01	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	100%	1.00	—
BTTS	NG (No)	97%	1.03	—
Correct score	0-0	67%	1.49	—
Banker	Under 3.5	100%	1.00	—
Super single	X	57%	1.74	—

Form & head to head

SV Elversberg

0%

Form

0%

Attack

0%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 0

Season W-D-L0-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Bayer Leverkusen

0%

Form

0%

Attack

0%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 0

Season W-D-L0-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

0%

Attack

0%

Defence

0%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

50%

Goals

40%

60%

Overall

45%

55%

Head to head

2

Home wins

0

Draws

1

Away wins

29 Aug 26 SV Elversberg 3 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen

29 Oct 24 Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 0 SV Elversberg

30 Jul 22 SV Elversberg 4 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen

5.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 2 of 3 · over 2.5 in 3 of 3.

Match statistics

33%Ball Possession67%

11Total Shots21

6Shots on Goal4

4Corner Kicks3

18Fouls15

3Yellow Cards2

2Goalkeeper Saves3

1.27Expected goals (xG)1.88

Key events

8'⚽ L. Petkov Normal Goal
9'⚽ C. Campbell Normal Goal
29'🟨 Maximilian Rohr Yellow Card
41'🟨 Cole Campbell Yellow Card
46'⚽ D. Mokwa Ntusu Normal Goal
53'🟨 Ibrahim Maza Yellow Card
77'⚽ P. Schick Normal Goal
78'🟨 Facundo Medina Yellow Card
89'🟨 Nicolas Kristof Yellow Card
90'⚽ C. Kofane Normal Goal

Match preview

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen: match preview

SV Elversberg host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 1) at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde on Saturday 29 August, kick-off 14:30. The match finished 3-2.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.2 goals for SV Elversberg and 0.2 for Bayer Leverkusen, 0.40 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 6% chance, over 2.5 1% and both teams to score 3%. The single most likely score is 0-0.

Head to head

In their last 3 meetings, SV Elversberg won 2, Bayer Leverkusen won 1 and 0 ended level, with 5.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 2.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) at 71% confidence. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (100%), Under 2.5 (99%), NG (No) (97%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: SV Elversberg 13%, draw 57%, Bayer Leverkusen 30%.
Expected goals: 0.2 vs 0.2.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 3 meetings.
SV Elversberg have 0 clean sheets this season; Bayer Leverkusen have 0.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or Bayer Leverkusen.

See more Bundesliga numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:20 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) with 71% confidence. Win probabilities are SV Elversberg 13%, draw 57% and Bayer Leverkusen 30%.

Will both teams score in SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our model gives both teams to score a 3% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

We expect about 0.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 1% chance and the most likely score is 0-0.

When and where is SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Saturday 29 August 2026 at 14:30, Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.