La Liga· Spain · Regular Season - 6

Barcelona

7-2

FT

Racing Santander

Barcelona vs Racing Santander prediction

📅 Wed 16 Sep 2026 🏟️ Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona 🧑‍⚖️ Jose Luis Munuera Montero

Prediction

● Live data

61%

Barcelona

32%

Draw

6%

Racing Santander

Barcelona 61% · draw 32% · Racing Santander 6%. We pick 1 (Home Win). Most likely score 2-1, over 2.5 at 77%, BTTS at 64%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Home Win · 1

1 Confidence 59%

Get today's VIP slip

All prediction categories

1X2

✓

161%

Fair 1.63Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win61%

Fair 1.63Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win6%

Fair 16.22Odds —

Double chance

✓

1X94%

Fair 1.07Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Home DNB91%

Fair 1.10Odds —

Win either half

✓

Home WEH83%

Fair 1.21Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.591%

Fair 1.10Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.577%

Fair 1.31Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✓

Over 3.557%

Fair 1.75Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)64%

Fair 1.55Odds —

Correct score

✕

2-18%

Fair 11.80Odds —

Banker tip

✓

1X94%

Fair 1.07Odds —

Super single

✓

GG (Yes)64%

Fair 1.55Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	61%	1.63	—
Home win	Home win	61%	1.63	—
Away win	Away win	6%	16.22	—
Double chance	1X	94%	1.07	—
Draw no bet	Home DNB	91%	1.10	—
Win either half	Home WEH	83%	1.21	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	91%	1.10	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	77%	1.31	—
Under 3.5	Over 3.5	57%	1.75	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	64%	1.55	—
Correct score	2-1	8%	11.80	—
Banker	1X	94%	1.07	—
Super single	GG (Yes)	64%	1.55	—

Form & head to head

Barcelona

WWWWW

100%

Form

100%

Attack

71%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)21 / 4

Season W-D-L5-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score3 · 0

Racing Santander

DLWLW

47%

Form

64%

Attack

36%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)9 / 9

Season W-D-L2-1-2

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 1

Team comparison

Form

68%

32%

Attack

70%

30%

Defence

69%

31%

Poisson model

85%

15%

Head to head

100%

0%

Goals

100%

0%

Overall

73%

27%

Head to head

6

Home wins

0

Draws

0

Away wins

16 Sep 26 Barcelona 7 - 2 Racing Santander

15 Jan 26 Racing Santander 0 - 2 Barcelona

11 Mar 12 Racing Santander 0 - 2 Barcelona

15 Oct 11 Barcelona 3 - 0 Racing Santander

22 Jan 11 Barcelona 3 - 0 Racing Santander

29 Aug 10 Racing Santander 0 - 3 Barcelona

3.67 goals per meeting · BTTS in 1 of 6 · over 2.5 in 4 of 6.

Match statistics

69%Ball Possession31%

30Total Shots5

9Shots on Goal3

18Corner Kicks0

10Fouls13

3Yellow Cards2

0Goalkeeper Saves3

6.74Expected goals (xG)1.98

Key events

8'⚽ J. Cancelo Normal Goal
22'🟨 Pedro Felipe Yellow Card
25'⚽ Raphinha Penalty
30'⚽ M. Gueye Normal Goal
36'⚽ A. Villalibre Own Goal
42'⚽ Raphinha Normal Goal
45'⚽ Lamine Yamal Missed Penalty
45'+5🟨 Lamine Yamal Yellow Card
60'🟨 Karim Adeyemi Yellow Card
60'🟨 Yassir Zabiri Yellow Card
65'⚽ Y. Zabiri Normal Goal
67'⚽ Raphinha Penalty
69'🟨 João Cancelo Yellow Card
79'⚽ Gabriel Jesus Normal Goal
89'⚽ Lamine Yamal Normal Goal

Match preview

Barcelona vs Racing Santander: match preview

Barcelona host Racing Santander in the La Liga (Regular Season - 6) at Spotify Camp Nou on Wednesday 16 September, kick-off 20:30. The match finished 7-2.

Form guide

Barcelona have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games, averaging 4.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Racing Santander have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. At home this season Barcelona have 2 wins from 2 games, while Racing Santander have won 0 of 2 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 2.88 goals for Barcelona and 1.15 for Racing Santander, 4.03 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 91% chance, over 2.5 77% and both teams to score 64%. The single most likely score is 2-1.

Head to head

In their last 6 meetings, Barcelona won 6, Racing Santander won 0 and 0 ended level, with 3.7 goals per game and both teams scoring in 1.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Home Win (1) at 59% confidence. The model also leans towards 1X (94%), Over 1.5 (91%), Home DNB (91%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Barcelona 61%, draw 32%, Racing Santander 6%.
Expected goals: 2.88 vs 1.15.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 6 meetings.
Barcelona have 3 clean sheets this season; Racing Santander have 0.
API-Football model advice: Combo Winner : Barcelona and +1.5 goals.

See more La Liga numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 00:46 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barcelona vs Racing Santander?

Our main pick is Home Win (1) with 59% confidence. Win probabilities are Barcelona 61%, draw 32% and Racing Santander 6%.

Will both teams score in Barcelona vs Racing Santander?

Our model gives both teams to score a 64% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Barcelona vs Racing Santander?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 77% chance and the most likely score is 2-1.

When and where is Barcelona vs Racing Santander?

Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 20:30, Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.