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La Liga· Spain · Regular Season - 5
Levante logo

Levante

2-4
FT
Barcelona logo

Barcelona

Levante vs Barcelona prediction

📅 Sun 13 Sep 2026 🏟️ Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia 🧑‍⚖️ Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban

Prediction

● Live data
2%
Levante
29%
Draw
70%
Barcelona

Levante 2% · draw 29% · Barcelona 70%. We pick 2 (Away Win). Most likely score 0-3, over 2.5 at 78%, BTTS at 44%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won
Away Win · 2
2 Confidence 60%
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All prediction categories

1X2

✓
270%
Fair 1.43Odds —

Home win

✕
Home win2%
Fair 64.82Odds —

Away win

✓
Away win70%
Fair 1.43Odds —

Double chance

✓
X298%
Fair 1.02Odds —

Draw no bet

✓
Away DNB98%
Fair 1.02Odds —

Win either half

✓
Away WEH93%
Fair 1.07Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓
Over 1.592%
Fair 1.09Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓
Over 2.578%
Fair 1.28Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✓
Over 3.559%
Fair 1.69Odds —

Both teams to score

✕
NG (No)56%
Fair 1.78Odds —

Correct score

✕
0-312%
Fair 8.48Odds —

Banker tip

✓
X298%
Fair 1.02Odds —

Super single

✓
Over 3.559%
Fair 1.69Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2270%1.43—
Home winHome win2%64.82—
Away winAway win70%1.43—
Double chanceX298%1.02—
Draw no betAway DNB98%1.02—
Win either halfAway WEH93%1.07—
Over 1.5Over 1.592%1.09—
Over 2.5Over 2.578%1.28—
Under 3.5Over 3.559%1.69—
BTTSNG (No)56%1.78—
Correct score0-312%8.48—
BankerX298%1.02—
Super singleOver 3.559%1.69—

Form & head to head

Levante

LDWD
42%
Form
36%
Attack
64%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 5
Season W-D-L1-2-1
Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 3

Barcelona

WWWW
100%
Form
100%
Attack
86%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)17 / 2
Season W-D-L4-0-0
Clean sheets · failed to score3 · 0

Team comparison

Form
29%
71%
Attack
23%
77%
Defence
29%
71%
Poisson model
0%
100%
Head to head
7%
93%
Goals
32%
68%
Overall
24%
76%

Head to head

1
Home wins
1
Draws
8
Away wins
13 Sep 26 Levante 2 - 4 Barcelona
22 Feb 26 Barcelona 3 - 0 Levante
23 Aug 25 Levante 2 - 3 Barcelona
10 Apr 22 Levante 2 - 3 Barcelona
26 Sep 21 Barcelona 3 - 0 Levante
11 May 21 Levante 3 - 3 Barcelona

3.70 goals per meeting · BTTS in 6 of 10 · over 2.5 in 8 of 10.

Match statistics

25%Ball Possession75%
13Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal6
3Corner Kicks5
11Fouls11
1Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
2.42Expected goals (xG)2.58

Key events

  1. 5'⚽ X. Espart Normal Goal
  2. 19'⚽ Lamine Yamal Normal Goal
  3. 29'📺 Daniel Requena Penalty cancelled
  4. 45'+5🟨 Hugo Sotelo Yellow Card
  5. 45'+1🟨 Gerard Martín Yellow Card
  6. 48'⚽ Lamine Yamal Penalty
  7. 79'⚽ I. Romero Normal Goal
  8. 88'⚽ R. Brugue Normal Goal
  9. 90'⚽ K. Adeyemi Normal Goal

Match preview

Levante vs Barcelona: match preview

Levante host Barcelona in the La Liga (Regular Season - 5) at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia on Sunday 13 September, kick-off 15:15. The match finished 2-4.

Form guide

Levante have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 league games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Barcelona have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 4 league games, averaging 4.3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. At home this season Levante have 1 win from 1 game, while Barcelona have won 2 of 2 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.6 goals for Levante and 3.53 for Barcelona, 4.13 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 92% chance, over 2.5 78% and both teams to score 44%. The single most likely score is 0-3.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Levante won 1, Barcelona won 8 and 1 ended level, with 3.7 goals per game and both teams scoring in 6.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Away Win (2) at 60% confidence. The model also leans towards X2 (98%), Away DNB (98%), Away WEH (93%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: Levante 2%, draw 29%, Barcelona 70%.
  • Expected goals: 0.6 vs 3.53.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Levante have 2 clean sheets this season; Barcelona have 3.
  • API-Football model advice: Combo Winner : Barcelona and +2.5 goals.

See more La Liga numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:18 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Levante vs Barcelona?
Our main pick is Away Win (2) with 60% confidence. Win probabilities are Levante 2%, draw 29% and Barcelona 70%.
Will both teams score in Levante vs Barcelona?
Our model gives both teams to score a 44% chance, so the lean is NG (No).
How many goals will there be in Levante vs Barcelona?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 78% chance and the most likely score is 0-3.
When and where is Levante vs Barcelona?
Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:15, Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.

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