Championship· England · Regular Season - 10

Cardiff

19:45

🕒 19:45

Watford

Cardiff vs Watford prediction

📅 Tue 13 Oct 2026 🏟️ Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff 🧑‍⚖️ John Busby

Prediction

● Live data

48%

Cardiff

36%

Draw

17%

Watford

Cardiff 48% · draw 36% · Watford 17%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 1-0, over 2.5 at 42%, BTTS at 46%.

🎯 Our pick

Double Chance · 1X

1X @ 1.20 Confidence 85%

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All prediction categories

1X2

Value

148%

Fair 2.09Odds 4.33

Home win

Value

Home win48%

Fair 2.09Odds 4.33

Away win

Away win17%

Fair 6.05Odds 1.22

Double chance

1X83%

Fair 1.20Odds 1.20

Draw no bet

Home DNB74%

Fair 1.35Odds —

Win either half

Home WEH62%

Fair 1.62Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.568%

Fair 1.46Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.558%

Fair 1.73Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.578%

Fair 1.27Odds —

Both teams to score

Value

NG (No)54%

Fair 1.84Odds 2.45

Correct score

Value

1-014%

Fair 7.28Odds 10.00

Banker tip

1X83%

Fair 1.20Odds 1.20

Super single

Home WEH62%

Fair 1.62Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

11.67

X4.00

24.33

Double chance

1X1.20

121.22

X22.15

Both teams to score

Yes1.50

No2.45

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	48%	2.09	4.33	Value
Home win	Home win	48%	2.09	4.33	Value
Away win	Away win	17%	6.05	1.22
Double chance	1X	83%	1.20	1.20
Draw no bet	Home DNB	74%	1.35	—
Win either half	Home WEH	62%	1.62	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	68%	1.46	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	58%	1.73	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	78%	1.27	—
BTTS	NG (No)	54%	1.84	2.45	Value
Correct score	1-0	14%	7.28	10.00	Value
Banker	1X	83%	1.20	1.20
Super single	Home WEH	62%	1.62	—

Form & head to head

Cardiff

LDLWL

27%

Form

50%

Attack

30%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 7

Season W-D-L1-4-4

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 2

Watford

LWLLL

20%

Form

30%

Attack

10%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)3 / 9

Season W-D-L2-2-5

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 4

Team comparison

Form

57%

43%

Attack

63%

38%

Defence

56%

44%

Poisson model

85%

15%

Head to head

85%

15%

Goals

67%

33%

Overall

68%

31%

Head to head

4

Home wins

2

Draws

4

Away wins

14 Jan 25 Cardiff 1 - 1 Watford

29 Dec 24 Watford 1 - 2 Cardiff

3 Feb 24 Watford 0 - 1 Cardiff

7 Oct 23 Cardiff 1 - 1 Watford

19 Apr 23 Watford 1 - 3 Cardiff

2 Nov 22 Cardiff 1 - 2 Watford

3.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 8 of 10 · over 2.5 in 6 of 10.

Match preview

Cardiff vs Watford: match preview

Cardiff host Watford in the Championship (Regular Season - 10) at Cardiff City Stadium on Tuesday 13 October, kick-off 19:45.

Form guide

Cardiff have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Watford have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. At home this season Cardiff have 1 win from 4 games, while Watford have won 0 of 4 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.47 goals for Cardiff and 0.9 for Watford, 2.37 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 68% chance, over 2.5 42% and both teams to score 46%. The single most likely score is 1-0.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Cardiff won 4, Watford won 4 and 2 ended level, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 8.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 85% confidence, priced at 1.20. The model also leans towards 1X (83%), Under 3.5 (78%), Home DNB (74%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Cardiff 48%, draw 36%, Watford 17%.
Expected goals: 1.47 vs 0.9.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Cardiff have 0 clean sheets this season; Watford have 0.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : Cardiff or draw.

See more Championship numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE

Written by EkeTips Editorial Team Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

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By EkeTips Editorial Team · Updated 13 Oct 06:57 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cardiff vs Watford?

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 85% confidence. Win probabilities are Cardiff 48%, draw 36% and Watford 17%.

Will both teams score in Cardiff vs Watford?

Our model gives both teams to score a 46% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Cardiff vs Watford?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 42% chance and the most likely score is 1-0.

When and where is Cardiff vs Watford?

Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:45, Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.