Liga Nacional· Guatemala · Regular Season - 10

Antigua GFC

1-1

FT

Municipal

Antigua GFC vs Municipal prediction

📅 Fri 9 Oct 2026 🏟️ Estadio Pensativo, Antigua Guatemala

Prediction

● Live data

22%

Antigua GFC

35%

Draw

43%

Municipal

Antigua GFC 22% · draw 35% · Municipal 43%. We pick Over 2.5 (2.5 Goals). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 53%, BTTS at 56%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost

2.5 Goals · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.88 Confidence 53%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

243%

Fair 2.31Odds 1.33

Home win

✕

Home win22%

Fair 4.62Odds 2.38

Away win

✕

Away win43%

Fair 2.31Odds 1.33

Double chance

✓

X278%

Fair 1.28Odds 1.40

Draw no bet

✕

Away DNB67%

Fair 1.50Odds —

Win either half

✕

Away WEH56%

Fair 1.80Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.577%

Fair 1.31Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Over 2.553%

Fair 1.90Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✓

Under 3.570%

Fair 1.44Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)56%

Fair 1.78Odds 1.73

Correct score

✓

1-112%

Fair 8.38Odds 5.80

Banker tip

✓

X278%

Fair 1.28Odds 1.40

Super single

✕

Away DNB67%

Fair 1.50Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

12.75

X3.00

22.38

Double chance

1X1.50

121.33

X21.40

Both teams to score

Yes1.73

No2.00

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	43%	2.31	1.33
Home win	Home win	22%	4.62	2.38
Away win	Away win	43%	2.31	1.33
Double chance	X2	78%	1.28	1.40	Value
Draw no bet	Away DNB	67%	1.50	—
Win either half	Away WEH	56%	1.80	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	77%	1.31	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	53%	1.90	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	70%	1.44	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	56%	1.78	1.73
Correct score	1-1	12%	8.38	5.80
Banker	X2	78%	1.28	1.40	Value
Super single	Away DNB	67%	1.50	—

Form & head to head

Antigua GFC

WWLLL

40%

Form

54%

Attack

15%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)7 / 11

Season W-D-L7-0-4

Clean sheets · failed to score4 · 1

Municipal

WDWDW

73%

Form

62%

Attack

77%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)8 / 3

Season W-D-L7-2-1

Clean sheets · failed to score6 · 2

Team comparison

Form

35%

65%

Attack

47%

53%

Defence

21%

79%

Poisson model

50%

Head to head

40%

60%

Goals

46%

54%

Overall

39%

60%

Head to head

4

Home wins

3

Draws

3

Away wins

9 Oct 26 Antigua GFC 1 - 1 Municipal

12 Apr 26 Antigua GFC 1 - 0 Municipal

22 Feb 26 Municipal 4 - 2 Antigua GFC

28 Dec 25 Municipal 1 - 0 Antigua GFC

22 Dec 25 Antigua GFC 2 - 0 Municipal

23 Nov 25 Municipal 2 - 1 Antigua GFC

2.30 goals per meeting · BTTS in 6 of 10 · over 2.5 in 4 of 10.

Match preview

Antigua GFC vs Municipal: match preview

Antigua GFC host Municipal in the Liga Nacional (Regular Season - 10) at Estadio Pensativo on Friday 9 October, kick-off 02:00. The match finished 1-1.

Form guide

Antigua GFC have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Municipal have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. At home this season Antigua GFC have 5 wins from 5 games, while Municipal have won 3 of 4 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.3 goals for Antigua GFC and 1.48 for Municipal, 2.78 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 77% chance, over 2.5 53% and both teams to score 56%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Antigua GFC won 4, Municipal won 3 and 3 ended level, with 2.3 goals per game and both teams scoring in 6.

Our verdict

Our main pick is 2.5 Goals (Over 2.5) at 53% confidence, priced at 1.88. The model also leans towards X2 (78%), Over 1.5 (77%), Under 3.5 (70%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Antigua GFC 22%, draw 35%, Municipal 43%.
Expected goals: 1.3 vs 1.48.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Antigua GFC have 4 clean sheets this season; Municipal have 6.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or Municipal.

See more Liga Nacional numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE

Written by EkeTips Editorial Team Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

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By EkeTips Editorial Team · Updated 9 Oct 14:08 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Antigua GFC vs Municipal?

Our main pick is 2.5 Goals (Over 2.5) with 53% confidence. Win probabilities are Antigua GFC 22%, draw 35% and Municipal 43%.

Will both teams score in Antigua GFC vs Municipal?

Our model gives both teams to score a 56% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Antigua GFC vs Municipal?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Antigua GFC vs Municipal?

Friday 9 October 2026 at 02:00, Estadio Pensativo, Antigua Guatemala.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.