Jupiler Pro League· Belgium · Regular Season - 6

KVC Westerlo

4-2

FT

Standard Liege

KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege prediction

📅 Sat 12 Sep 2026 🏟️ Het Kuipje, Westerlo 🧑‍⚖️ B. Put

Prediction

● Live data

16%

KVC Westerlo

31%

Draw

53%

Standard Liege

KVC Westerlo 16% · draw 31% · Standard Liege 53%. We pick 2 (Away Win). Most likely score 1-2, over 2.5 at 81%, BTTS at 75%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost

Away Win · 2

2 Confidence 53%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

253%

Fair 1.90Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win16%

Fair 6.26Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win53%

Fair 1.90Odds —

Double chance

✕

X284%

Fair 1.19Odds —

Draw no bet

✕

Away DNB77%

Fair 1.30Odds —

Win either half

✕

Away WEH74%

Fair 1.35Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.593%

Fair 1.08Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.581%

Fair 1.24Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✓

Over 3.563%

Fair 1.59Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)75%

Fair 1.33Odds —

Correct score

✕

1-28%

Fair 12.78Odds —

Banker tip

✓

Over 1.593%

Fair 1.08Odds —

Super single

✓

Over 3.563%

Fair 1.59Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	53%	1.90	—
Home win	Home win	16%	6.26	—
Away win	Away win	53%	1.90	—
Double chance	X2	84%	1.19	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	77%	1.30	—
Win either half	Away WEH	74%	1.35	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	93%	1.08	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	81%	1.24	—
Under 3.5	Over 3.5	63%	1.59	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	75%	1.33	—
Correct score	1-2	8%	12.78	—
Banker	Over 1.5	93%	1.08	—
Super single	Over 3.5	63%	1.59	—

Form & head to head

KVC Westerlo

LLLDW

27%

Form

100%

Attack

0%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)9 / 14

Season W-D-L1-1-3

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 1

Standard Liege

DDWWW

73%

Form

100%

Attack

25%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)10 / 6

Season W-D-L3-2-0

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 0

Team comparison

Form

27%

73%

Attack

47%

53%

Defence

30%

70%

Poisson model

23%

77%

Head to head

38%

62%

Goals

38%

63%

Overall

33%

66%

Head to head

5

Home wins

3

Draws

2

Away wins

12 Sep 26 KVC Westerlo 4 - 2 Standard Liege

19 May 26 KVC Westerlo 1 - 2 Standard Liege

11 Apr 26 Standard Liege 1 - 2 KVC Westerlo

22 Mar 26 Standard Liege 0 - 0 KVC Westerlo

21 Sep 25 KVC Westerlo 0 - 2 Standard Liege

24 May 25 KVC Westerlo 0 - 0 Standard Liege

3.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 6 of 10 · over 2.5 in 6 of 10.

Match statistics

43%Ball Possession57%

10Total Shots12

7Shots on Goal6

1Corner Kicks7

8Fouls7

4Goalkeeper Saves3

1.41Expected goals (xG)1.22

Key events

12'⚽ N. Bassette Normal Goal
56'⚽ A. Lapage Normal Goal
66'⚽ B. Nsimba Normal Goal
71'⚽ A. Abid Normal Goal
77'⚽ P. Diong Normal Goal
90'⚽ T. Van den Keybus Normal Goal

Match preview

KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege: match preview

KVC Westerlo host Standard Liege in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 6) at Het Kuipje on Saturday 12 September, kick-off 17:15. The match finished 4-2.

Form guide

KVC Westerlo have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. Standard Liege have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. At home this season KVC Westerlo have 0 wins from 2 games, while Standard Liege have won 1 of 2 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.63 goals for KVC Westerlo and 2.7 for Standard Liege, 4.33 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 93% chance, over 2.5 81% and both teams to score 75%. The single most likely score is 1-2.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, KVC Westerlo won 5, Standard Liege won 2 and 3 ended level, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 6.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Away Win (2) at 53% confidence. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (93%), X2 (84%), Over 2.5 (81%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: KVC Westerlo 16%, draw 31%, Standard Liege 53%.
Expected goals: 1.63 vs 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
KVC Westerlo have 1 clean sheets this season; Standard Liege have 2.
API-Football model advice: Combo Winner : Standard Liege and +2.5 goals.

See more Jupiler Pro League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:19 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege?

Our main pick is Away Win (2) with 53% confidence. Win probabilities are KVC Westerlo 16%, draw 31% and Standard Liege 53%.

Will both teams score in KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege?

Our model gives both teams to score a 75% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 81% chance and the most likely score is 1-2.

When and where is KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege?

Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:15, Het Kuipje, Westerlo.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.