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Jupiler Pro League· Belgium · Regular Season - 3
Antwerp logo

Antwerp

4-4
FT
Genk logo

Genk

Antwerp vs Genk prediction

📅 Sat 22 Aug 2026 🏟️ Bosuilstadion, Deurne 🧑‍⚖️ J. Vergoote

Prediction

● Live data
52%
Antwerp
32%
Draw
15%
Genk

Antwerp 52% · draw 32% · Genk 15%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 2-1, over 2.5 at 68%, BTTS at 64%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won
Double Chance · 1X
1X Confidence 76%
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All prediction categories

1X2

✕
152%
Fair 1.91Odds —

Home win

✕
Home win52%
Fair 1.91Odds —

Away win

✕
Away win15%
Fair 6.59Odds —

Double chance

✓
1X85%
Fair 1.18Odds —

Draw no bet

✕
Home DNB78%
Fair 1.29Odds —

Win either half

✕
Home WEH73%
Fair 1.38Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓
Over 1.586%
Fair 1.16Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓
Over 2.568%
Fair 1.47Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕
Under 3.554%
Fair 1.86Odds —

Both teams to score

✓
GG (Yes)64%
Fair 1.57Odds —

Correct score

✕
2-110%
Fair 10.47Odds —

Banker tip

✓
Over 1.586%
Fair 1.16Odds —

Super single

✓
GG (Yes)64%
Fair 1.57Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2152%1.91—
Home winHome win52%1.91—
Away winAway win15%6.59—
Double chance1X85%1.18—
Draw no betHome DNB78%1.29—
Win either halfHome WEH73%1.38—
Over 1.5Over 1.586%1.16—
Over 2.5Over 2.568%1.47—
Under 3.5Under 3.554%1.86—
BTTSGG (Yes)64%1.57—
Correct score2-110%10.47—
BankerOver 1.586%1.16—
Super singleGG (Yes)64%1.57—

Form & head to head

Antwerp

WW
100%
Form
33%
Attack
93%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 1
Season W-D-L2-0-0
Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 0

Genk

LW
50%
Form
27%
Attack
73%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 4
Season W-D-L1-0-1
Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form
67%
33%
Attack
56%
44%
Defence
80%
20%
Poisson model
76%
24%
Head to head
62%
38%
Goals
67%
33%
Overall
68%
32%

Head to head

2
Home wins
5
Draws
3
Away wins
22 Aug 26 Antwerp 4 - 4 Genk
19 May 26 Genk 0 - 0 Antwerp
3 Apr 26 Antwerp 1 - 2 Genk
7 Dec 25 Antwerp 3 - 0 Genk
3 Aug 25 Genk 1 - 1 Antwerp
27 Apr 25 Genk 0 - 1 Antwerp

2.60 goals per meeting · BTTS in 5 of 10 · over 2.5 in 4 of 10.

Match statistics

47%Ball Possession53%
15Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal7
5Corner Kicks4
15Fouls15
0Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves2
1.86Expected goals (xG)1.30

Key events

  1. 16'⚽ A. Valencia Normal Goal
  2. 31'⚽ J. Kongolo Normal Goal
  3. 48'⚽ R. Durosinmi Normal Goal
  4. 57'⚽ A. Yokoyama Normal Goal
  5. 70'⚽ A. Bibout Normal Goal
  6. 78'🟨 Daan Heymans Yellow Card
  7. 80'⚽ E. Tuypens Normal Goal
  8. 81'🟨 Ibrahima Sory Bangoura Yellow Card
  9. 86'⚽ M. Frey Penalty
  10. 88'⚽ M. Frey Normal Goal

Match preview

Antwerp vs Genk: match preview

Antwerp host Genk in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 3) at Bosuilstadion on Saturday 22 August, kick-off 19:45. The match finished 4-4.

Form guide

Antwerp have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 2 league games, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Genk have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 league games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. At home this season Antwerp have 1 win from 1 game, while Genk have won 0 of 1 game on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 2.25 goals for Antwerp and 1.25 for Genk, 3.50 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 86% chance, over 2.5 68% and both teams to score 64%. The single most likely score is 2-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Antwerp won 2, Genk won 3 and 5 ended level, with 2.6 goals per game and both teams scoring in 5.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 76% confidence. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (86%), 1X (85%), Home DNB (78%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: Antwerp 52%, draw 32%, Genk 15%.
  • Expected goals: 2.25 vs 1.25.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Antwerp have 1 clean sheets this season; Genk have 0.
  • API-Football model advice: Double chance : Antwerp or draw.

See more Jupiler Pro League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 00:46 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Antwerp vs Genk?
Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 76% confidence. Win probabilities are Antwerp 52%, draw 32% and Genk 15%.
Will both teams score in Antwerp vs Genk?
Our model gives both teams to score a 64% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).
How many goals will there be in Antwerp vs Genk?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 68% chance and the most likely score is 2-1.
When and where is Antwerp vs Genk?
Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:45, Bosuilstadion, Deurne.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.

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