Premier League· England · Regular Season - 4

Coventry

0-5

FT

Brighton

Coventry vs Brighton prediction

📅 Sun 13 Sep 2026 🏟️ Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry 🧑‍⚖️ Tony Harrington, England

Prediction

● Live data

12%

Coventry

32%

Draw

57%

Brighton

Coventry 12% · draw 32% · Brighton 57%. We pick 2 (Away Win). Most likely score 0-2, over 2.5 at 59%, BTTS at 51%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Away Win · 2

2 Confidence 50%

Get today's VIP slip

All prediction categories

1X2

✓

257%

Fair 1.77Odds —

Home win

✕

Home win12%

Fair 8.64Odds —

Away win

✓

Away win57%

Fair 1.77Odds —

Double chance

✓

X288%

Fair 1.13Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Away DNB83%

Fair 1.20Odds —

Win either half

✓

Away WEH77%

Fair 1.29Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.581%

Fair 1.24Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.559%

Fair 1.70Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.564%

Fair 1.57Odds —

Both teams to score

✕

GG (Yes)51%

Fair 1.96Odds —

Correct score

✕

0-211%

Fair 8.73Odds —

Banker tip

✓

X288%

Fair 1.13Odds —

Super single

✕

Under 3.564%

Fair 1.57Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	57%	1.77	—
Home win	Home win	12%	8.64	—
Away win	Away win	57%	1.77	—
Double chance	X2	88%	1.13	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	83%	1.20	—
Win either half	Away WEH	77%	1.29	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	81%	1.24	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	59%	1.70	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	64%	1.57	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	51%	1.96	—
Correct score	0-2	11%	8.73	—
Banker	X2	88%	1.13	—
Super single	Under 3.5	64%	1.57	—

Form & head to head

Coventry

LLL

0%

Form

0%

Attack

55%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 5

Season W-D-L0-0-3

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 3

Brighton

WLD

44%

Form

73%

Attack

55%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)8 / 5

Season W-D-L1-1-1

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 0

Team comparison

Form

0%

100%

Attack

0%

100%

Defence

50%

Poisson model

0%

100%

Head to head

33%

67%

Goals

44%

56%

Overall

42%

57%

Head to head

1

Home wins

0

Draws

3

Away wins

13 Sep 26 Coventry 0 - 5 Brighton

17 Feb 18 Brighton 3 - 1 Coventry

31 Dec 11 Coventry 2 - 0 Brighton

26 Nov 11 Brighton 2 - 1 Coventry

3.50 goals per meeting · BTTS in 2 of 4 · over 2.5 in 3 of 4.

Match statistics

31%Ball Possession69%

14Total Shots22

6Shots on Goal7

5Corner Kicks3

9Fouls15

2Goalkeeper Saves6

1.33Expected goals (xG)2.81

Key events

35'⚽ C. Kostoulas Normal Goal
51'⚽ M. Yalcouye Normal Goal
53'🟥 Taiwo Awoniyi Red Card
70'⚽ P. Gross Penalty
83'⚽ L. Dunk Normal Goal
90'⚽ Y. Ayari Normal Goal

Match preview

Coventry vs Brighton: match preview

Coventry host Brighton in the Premier League (Regular Season - 4) at Coventry Building Society Arena on Sunday 13 September, kick-off 14:00. The match finished 0-5.

Form guide

Coventry have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 3 league games, averaging 0.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Brighton have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 league games, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. At home this season Coventry have 0 wins from 1 game, while Brighton have won 0 of 1 game on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.85 goals for Coventry and 2.2 for Brighton, 3.05 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 81% chance, over 2.5 59% and both teams to score 51%. The single most likely score is 0-2.

Head to head

In their last 4 meetings, Coventry won 1, Brighton won 3 and 0 ended level, with 3.5 goals per game and both teams scoring in 2.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Away Win (2) at 50% confidence. The model also leans towards X2 (88%), Away DNB (83%), Over 1.5 (81%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Coventry 12%, draw 32%, Brighton 57%.
Expected goals: 0.85 vs 2.2.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 4 meetings.
Coventry have 0 clean sheets this season; Brighton have 1.
API-Football model advice: Winner : Brighton.

See more Premier League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:17 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Coventry vs Brighton?

Our main pick is Away Win (2) with 50% confidence. Win probabilities are Coventry 12%, draw 32% and Brighton 57%.

Will both teams score in Coventry vs Brighton?

Our model gives both teams to score a 51% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Coventry vs Brighton?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance and the most likely score is 0-2.

When and where is Coventry vs Brighton?

Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00, Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.