Premier League· England · Regular Season - 2

Crystal Palace

1-4

FT

Manchester City

Crystal Palace vs Manchester City prediction

📅 Fri 28 Aug 2026 🏟️ Selhurst Park, London 🧑‍⚖️ Andy Madley, England

Prediction

● Live data

4%

Crystal Palace

34%

Draw

62%

Manchester City

Crystal Palace 4% · draw 34% · Manchester City 62%. We pick 2 (Away Win). Most likely score 0-1, over 2.5 at 46%, BTTS at 34%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Away Win · 2

2 Confidence 58%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

262%

Fair 1.62Odds —

Home win

✕

Home win4%

Fair 24.42Odds —

Away win

✓

Away win62%

Fair 1.62Odds —

Double chance

✓

X296%

Fair 1.04Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Away DNB94%

Fair 1.07Odds —

Win either half

✓

Away WEH79%

Fair 1.26Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.571%

Fair 1.40Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Under 2.554%

Fair 1.84Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.576%

Fair 1.32Odds —

Both teams to score

✕

NG (No)66%

Fair 1.52Odds —

Correct score

✕

0-116%

Fair 6.09Odds —

Banker tip

✓

X296%

Fair 1.04Odds —

Super single

✕

NG (No)66%

Fair 1.52Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	62%	1.62	—
Home win	Home win	4%	24.42	—
Away win	Away win	62%	1.62	—
Double chance	X2	96%	1.04	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	94%	1.07	—
Win either half	Away WEH	79%	1.26	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	71%	1.40	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	54%	1.84	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	76%	1.32	—
BTTS	NG (No)	66%	1.52	—
Correct score	0-1	16%	6.09	—
Banker	X2	96%	1.04	—
Super single	NG (No)	66%	1.52	—

Form & head to head

Crystal Palace

L

0%

Form

0%

Attack

89%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 2

Season W-D-L0-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 1

Manchester City

W

100%

Form

11%

Attack

95%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 1

Season W-D-L1-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

0%

100%

Attack

0%

100%

Defence

33%

67%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

29%

71%

Goals

28%

72%

Overall

30%

70%

Head to head

1

Home wins

2

Draws

7

Away wins

28 Aug 26 Crystal Palace 1 - 4 Manchester City

13 May 26 Manchester City 3 - 0 Crystal Palace

14 Dec 25 Crystal Palace 0 - 3 Manchester City

17 May 25 Crystal Palace 1 - 0 Manchester City

12 Apr 25 Manchester City 5 - 2 Crystal Palace

7 Dec 24 Crystal Palace 2 - 2 Manchester City

4.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 6 of 10 · over 2.5 in 8 of 10.

Match statistics

28%Ball Possession72%

9Total Shots18

1Shots on Goal9

2Corner Kicks6

8Fouls11

1Yellow Cards2

4Goalkeeper Saves1

0.66Expected goals (xG)2.21

Key events

17'⚽ E. Haaland Normal Goal
33'🟨 Rayan Cherki Yellow Card
54'⚽ R. Cherki Normal Goal
55'🟨 Elliot Anderson Yellow Card
56'⚽ G. Donnarumma Own Goal
59'⚽ R. Cherki Normal Goal
68'🟨 Anan Khalaili Yellow Card
84'⚽ E. Haaland Normal Goal

Match preview

Crystal Palace vs Manchester City: match preview

Crystal Palace host Manchester City in the Premier League (Regular Season - 2) at Selhurst Park on Friday 28 August, kick-off 20:00. The match finished 1-4.

Form guide

Crystal Palace have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 league game, averaging 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Manchester City have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.5 goals for Crystal Palace and 2 for Manchester City, 2.50 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 71% chance, over 2.5 46% and both teams to score 34%. The single most likely score is 0-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Crystal Palace won 1, Manchester City won 7 and 2 ended level, with 4.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 6.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Away Win (2) at 58% confidence. The model also leans towards X2 (96%), Away DNB (94%), Away WEH (79%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Crystal Palace 4%, draw 34%, Manchester City 62%.
Expected goals: 0.5 vs 2.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Crystal Palace have 0 clean sheets this season; Manchester City have 0.
API-Football model advice: Winner : Manchester City.

See more Premier League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:20 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?

Our main pick is Away Win (2) with 58% confidence. Win probabilities are Crystal Palace 4%, draw 34% and Manchester City 62%.

Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?

Our model gives both teams to score a 34% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance and the most likely score is 0-1.

When and where is Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?

Friday 28 August 2026 at 20:00, Selhurst Park, London.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.