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Premier League· England · Regular Season - 1
Fulham logo

Fulham

2-3
FT
Chelsea logo

Chelsea

Fulham vs Chelsea prediction

📅 Mon 24 Aug 2026 🏟️ Craven Cottage, London 🧑‍⚖️ John Brooks, England

Prediction

● Live data
13%
Fulham
57%
Draw
30%
Chelsea

Fulham 13% · draw 57% · Chelsea 30%. We pick X2 (Double Chance). Most likely score 0-0, over 2.5 at 1%, BTTS at 3%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won
Double Chance · X2
X2 Confidence 72%
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All prediction categories

1X2

✕
X57%
Fair 1.74Odds —

Home win

✕
Home win13%
Fair 7.96Odds —

Away win

✓
Away win30%
Fair 3.33Odds —

Double chance

✓
X287%
Fair 1.14Odds —

Draw no bet

✓
Away DNB71%
Fair 1.42Odds —

Win either half

✕
Home WEH17%
Fair 6.04Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✕
Under 1.594%
Fair 1.07Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕
Under 2.599%
Fair 1.01Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕
Under 3.5100%
Fair 1.00Odds —

Both teams to score

✕
NG (No)97%
Fair 1.03Odds —

Correct score

✕
0-067%
Fair 1.49Odds —

Banker tip

✕
Under 3.5100%
Fair 1.00Odds —

Super single

✕
X57%
Fair 1.74Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2X57%1.74—
Home winHome win13%7.96—
Away winAway win30%3.33—
Double chanceX287%1.14—
Draw no betAway DNB71%1.42—
Win either halfHome WEH17%6.04—
Over 1.5Under 1.594%1.07—
Over 2.5Under 2.599%1.01—
Under 3.5Under 3.5100%1.00—
BTTSNG (No)97%1.03—
Correct score0-067%1.49—
BankerUnder 3.5100%1.00—
Super singleX57%1.74—

Form & head to head

Fulham

0%
Form
0%
Attack
0%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 0
Season W-D-L0-0-0
Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Chelsea

0%
Form
0%
Attack
0%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 0
Season W-D-L0-0-0
Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Poisson model
0%
0%
Head to head
40%
60%
Goals
42%
58%
Overall
41%
59%

Head to head

3
Home wins
1
Draws
6
Away wins
24 Aug 26 Fulham 2 - 3 Chelsea
7 Jan 26 Fulham 2 - 1 Chelsea
30 Aug 25 Chelsea 2 - 0 Fulham
20 Apr 25 Fulham 1 - 2 Chelsea
26 Dec 24 Chelsea 1 - 2 Fulham
13 Jan 24 Chelsea 1 - 0 Fulham

2.40 goals per meeting · BTTS in 5 of 10 · over 2.5 in 5 of 10.

Match statistics

62%Ball Possession38%
14Total Shots18
6Shots on Goal6
6Corner Kicks4
12Fouls7
2Yellow Cards3
3Goalkeeper Saves4
1.33Expected goals (xG)2.24

Key events

  1. 1'⚽ Joao Pedro Normal Goal
  2. 5'🟨 Levi Colwill Yellow Card
  3. 12'🟨 Roméo Lavia Yellow Card
  4. 23'⚽ J. King Normal Goal
  5. 41'⚽ M. Rogers Normal Goal
  6. 49'⚽ C. Palmer Normal Goal
  7. 54'⚽ G. Garcia Normal Goal
  8. 75'🟨 Reece James Yellow Card
  9. 76'🟨 Calvin Bassey Yellow Card
  10. 88'🟨 Timothy Castagne Yellow Card

Match preview

Fulham vs Chelsea: match preview

Fulham host Chelsea in the Premier League (Regular Season - 1) at Craven Cottage on Monday 24 August, kick-off 20:00. The match finished 2-3.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.2 goals for Fulham and 0.2 for Chelsea, 0.40 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 6% chance, over 2.5 1% and both teams to score 3%. The single most likely score is 0-0.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Fulham won 3, Chelsea won 6 and 1 ended level, with 2.4 goals per game and both teams scoring in 5.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) at 72% confidence. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (100%), Under 2.5 (99%), NG (No) (97%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: Fulham 13%, draw 57%, Chelsea 30%.
  • Expected goals: 0.2 vs 0.2.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Fulham have 0 clean sheets this season; Chelsea have 0.
  • API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or Chelsea.

See more Premier League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:18 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fulham vs Chelsea?
Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) with 72% confidence. Win probabilities are Fulham 13%, draw 57% and Chelsea 30%.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Chelsea?
Our model gives both teams to score a 3% chance, so the lean is NG (No).
How many goals will there be in Fulham vs Chelsea?
We expect about 0.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 1% chance and the most likely score is 0-0.
When and where is Fulham vs Chelsea?
Monday 24 August 2026 at 20:00, Craven Cottage, London.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.

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