UEFA Europa League· World · 2nd Qualifying Round

Benfica

5-0

FT

FC ST. Gallen

Benfica vs FC ST. Gallen prediction

📅 Thu 30 Jul 2026 🏟️ Estádio da Luz, Lisbon 🧑‍⚖️ Florian Badstubner, Germany

Prediction

● Live data

9%

Benfica

36%

Draw

55%

FC ST. Gallen

Benfica 9% · draw 36% · FC ST. Gallen 55%. We pick X2 (Double Chance). Most likely score 0-1, over 2.5 at 58%, BTTS at 55%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost

Double Chance · X2

X2 Confidence 80%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

255%

Fair 1.81Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win9%

Fair 10.95Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win55%

Fair 1.81Odds —

Double chance

✕

X291%

Fair 1.10Odds —

Draw no bet

✕

Away DNB86%

Fair 1.17Odds —

Win either half

✕

Away WEH72%

Fair 1.39Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.580%

Fair 1.25Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.558%

Fair 1.73Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.565%

Fair 1.55Odds —

Both teams to score

✕

GG (Yes)55%

Fair 1.83Odds —

Correct score

✕

0-110%

Fair 10.04Odds —

Banker tip

✕

X291%

Fair 1.10Odds —

Super single

✕

Under 3.565%

Fair 1.55Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	55%	1.81	—
Home win	Home win	9%	10.95	—
Away win	Away win	55%	1.81	—
Double chance	X2	91%	1.10	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	86%	1.17	—
Win either half	Away WEH	72%	1.39	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	80%	1.25	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	58%	1.73	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	65%	1.55	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	55%	1.83	—
Correct score	0-1	10%	10.04	—
Banker	X2	91%	1.10	—
Super single	Under 3.5	65%	1.55	—

Form & head to head

Benfica

L

0%

Form

8%

Attack

85%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)1 / 2

Season W-D-L0-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

FC ST. Gallen

W

100%

Form

15%

Attack

92%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 1

Season W-D-L1-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

0%

100%

Attack

33%

67%

Defence

33%

67%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

0%

100%

Goals

33%

67%

Overall

33%

67%

Head to head

1

Home wins

0

Draws

1

Away wins

30 Jul 26 Benfica 5 - 0 FC ST. Gallen

23 Jul 26 FC ST. Gallen 2 - 1 Benfica

4.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 1 of 2 · over 2.5 in 2 of 2.

Match statistics

0Yellow Cards3

Key events

11'⚽ V. Pavlidis Normal Goal
21'🟨 Jozo Stanić Yellow Card
50'🟨 Chima Okoroji Yellow Card
55'⚽ V. Pavlidis Normal Goal
57'🟨 Jozo Stanić Yellow Card
57'🟥 Jozo Stanić Red Card
65'⚽ V. Pavlidis Normal Goal
74'⚽ V. Pavlidis Penalty
82'⚽ C. Lenglet Normal Goal

Match preview

Benfica vs FC ST. Gallen: match preview

Benfica host FC ST. Gallen in the UEFA Europa League (2nd Qualifying Round) at Estádio da Luz on Thursday 30 July, kick-off 20:00. The match finished 5-0.

Form guide

Benfica have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 league game, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. FC ST. Gallen have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Benfica and 2 for FC ST. Gallen, 3.00 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 80% chance, over 2.5 58% and both teams to score 55%. The single most likely score is 0-1.

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings, Benfica won 1, FC ST. Gallen won 1 and 0 ended level, with 4.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 1.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) at 80% confidence. The model also leans towards X2 (91%), Away DNB (86%), Over 1.5 (80%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Benfica 9%, draw 36%, FC ST. Gallen 55%.
Expected goals: 1 vs 2.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 2 meetings.
Benfica have 0 clean sheets this season; FC ST. Gallen have 0.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or FC ST. Gallen.

See more UEFA Europa League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:20 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Benfica vs FC ST. Gallen?

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) with 80% confidence. Win probabilities are Benfica 9%, draw 36% and FC ST. Gallen 55%.

Will both teams score in Benfica vs FC ST. Gallen?

Our model gives both teams to score a 55% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Benfica vs FC ST. Gallen?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance and the most likely score is 0-1.

When and where is Benfica vs FC ST. Gallen?

Thursday 30 July 2026 at 20:00, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.