Liga Leumit· Israel · Regular Season - 9

Maccabi Herzliya

0-0

11'

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth prediction

📅 Fri 9 Oct 2026

Prediction

● Live data

22%

Maccabi Herzliya

35%

Draw

43%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Maccabi Herzliya 22% · draw 35% · Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 43%. We pick Under 2.5 (2.5 Goals). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 51%, BTTS at 55%.

🎯 Our pick

2.5 Goals · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.89 Confidence 53%

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All prediction categories

1X2

243%

Fair 2.35Odds 1.30

Home win

Home win22%

Fair 4.52Odds 3.80

Away win

Away win43%

Fair 2.35Odds 1.30

Double chance

Value

X278%

Fair 1.28Odds 1.85

Draw no bet

Away DNB66%

Fair 1.52Odds —

Win either half

Away WEH54%

Fair 1.84Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.576%

Fair 1.32Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.551%

Fair 1.95Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.571%

Fair 1.41Odds —

Both teams to score

GG (Yes)55%

Fair 1.81Odds 1.80

Correct score

1-112%

Fair 8.25Odds 6.00

Banker tip

Value

X278%

Fair 1.28Odds 1.85

Super single

Value

X278%

Fair 1.28Odds 1.85

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

11.85

X3.25

23.80

Double chance

1X1.22

121.30

X21.85

Both teams to score

Yes1.80

No1.91

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	43%	2.35	1.30
Home win	Home win	22%	4.52	3.80
Away win	Away win	43%	2.35	1.30
Double chance	X2	78%	1.28	1.85	Value
Draw no bet	Away DNB	66%	1.52	—
Win either half	Away WEH	54%	1.84	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	76%	1.32	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	51%	1.95	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	71%	1.41	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	55%	1.81	1.80
Correct score	1-1	12%	8.25	6.00
Banker	X2	78%	1.28	1.85	Value
Super single	X2	78%	1.28	1.85	Value

Form & head to head

Maccabi Herzliya

DWDLL

33%

Form

40%

Attack

40%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 6

Season W-D-L2-2-4

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 2

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

LDWLL

27%

Form

60%

Attack

20%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)6 / 8

Season W-D-L2-1-5

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 3

Team comparison

Form

56%

44%

Attack

40%

60%

Defence

57%

43%

Poisson model

41%

59%

Head to head

50%

Goals

50%

Overall

49%

51%

Head to head

2

Home wins

1

Draws

2

Away wins

9 Oct 26 Maccabi Herzliya 0 - 0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

9 Jan 18 Maccabi Herzliya 2 - 1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

28 Aug 17 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 2 - 0 Maccabi Herzliya

17 Feb 17 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0 - 2 Maccabi Herzliya

4 Nov 16 Maccabi Herzliya 0 - 1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

1.60 goals per meeting · BTTS in 1 of 5 · over 2.5 in 1 of 5.

Match preview

Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: match preview

Maccabi Herzliya host Maccabi Ahi Nazareth in the Liga Leumit (Regular Season - 9) on Friday 9 October, kick-off 14:00.

Form guide

Maccabi Herzliya have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. At home this season Maccabi Herzliya have 1 win from 4 games, while Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have won 1 of 4 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.3 goals for Maccabi Herzliya and 1.43 for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, 2.73 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 76% chance, over 2.5 51% and both teams to score 55%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 5 meetings, Maccabi Herzliya won 2, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth won 2 and 1 ended level, with 1.6 goals per game and both teams scoring in 1.

Our verdict

Our main pick is 2.5 Goals (Under 2.5) at 53% confidence, priced at 1.89. The model also leans towards X2 (78%), Over 1.5 (76%), Under 3.5 (71%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Maccabi Herzliya 22%, draw 35%, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 43%.
Expected goals: 1.3 vs 1.43.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 5 meetings.
Maccabi Herzliya have 2 clean sheets this season; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have 1.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.

See more Liga Leumit numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE

Written by EkeTips Editorial Team Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

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By EkeTips Editorial Team · Updated 9 Oct 14:10 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?

Our main pick is 2.5 Goals (Under 2.5) with 53% confidence. Win probabilities are Maccabi Herzliya 22%, draw 35% and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 43%.

Will both teams score in Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?

Our model gives both teams to score a 55% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?

Friday 9 October 2026 at 14:00.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.