Ligue 1· France · Regular Season - 3

Estac Troyes

2-6

FT

Strasbourg

Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg prediction

📅 Sun 6 Sep 2026 🏟️ Stade de l'Aube, Troyes 🧑‍⚖️ Guillaume Paradis, France

Prediction

● Live data

53%

Estac Troyes

34%

Draw

13%

Strasbourg

Estac Troyes 53% · draw 34% · Strasbourg 13%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 1-0, over 2.5 at 46%, BTTS at 44%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost

Double Chance · 1X

1X Confidence 73%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

153%

Fair 1.88Odds —

Home win

✕

Home win53%

Fair 1.88Odds —

Away win

✓

Away win13%

Fair 7.80Odds —

Double chance

✕

1X87%

Fair 1.15Odds —

Draw no bet

✕

Home DNB81%

Fair 1.24Odds —

Win either half

✕

Home WEH71%

Fair 1.41Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.571%

Fair 1.40Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Under 2.554%

Fair 1.84Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.576%

Fair 1.32Odds —

Both teams to score

✕

NG (No)56%

Fair 1.77Odds —

Correct score

✕

1-014%

Fair 6.96Odds —

Banker tip

✕

1X87%

Fair 1.15Odds —

Super single

✕

NG (No)56%

Fair 1.77Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	53%	1.88	—
Home win	Home win	53%	1.88	—
Away win	Away win	13%	7.80	—
Double chance	1X	87%	1.15	—
Draw no bet	Home DNB	81%	1.24	—
Win either half	Home WEH	71%	1.41	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	71%	1.40	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	54%	1.84	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	76%	1.32	—
BTTS	NG (No)	56%	1.77	—
Correct score	1-0	14%	6.96	—
Banker	1X	87%	1.15	—
Super single	NG (No)	56%	1.77	—

Form & head to head

Estac Troyes

DW

67%

Form

15%

Attack

92%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 1

Season W-D-L1-1-0

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 1

Strasbourg

LW

50%

Form

15%

Attack

62%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 5

Season W-D-L1-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 1

Team comparison

Form

57%

43%

Attack

50%

Defence

83%

17%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

64%

36%

Goals

55%

45%

Overall

61%

38%

Head to head

3

Home wins

3

Draws

3

Away wins

6 Sep 26 Estac Troyes 2 - 6 Strasbourg

21 May 23 Estac Troyes 1 - 1 Strasbourg

2 Jan 23 Strasbourg 2 - 3 Estac Troyes

17 Apr 22 Estac Troyes 1 - 1 Strasbourg

22 Aug 21 Strasbourg 1 - 1 Estac Troyes

11 Feb 18 Strasbourg 2 - 1 Estac Troyes

3.44 goals per meeting · BTTS in 6 of 9 · over 2.5 in 5 of 9.

Match statistics

45%Ball Possession55%

27Total Shots19

6Shots on Goal12

11Corner Kicks0

6Fouls16

1Yellow Cards1

6Goalkeeper Saves4

2.94Expected goals (xG)2.95

Key events

9'⚽ A. Mille Normal Goal
37'🟨 Michel Diaz Yellow Card
40'⚽ J. Ortega Normal Goal
42'⚽ D. Sousa Normal Goal
45'+2🟨 Pape Diop Yellow Card
57'⚽ G. Reyna Normal Goal
85'⚽ S. Amo-Ameyaw Normal Goal
88'⚽ S. Amo-Ameyaw Normal Goal
90'⚽ C. Harder Normal Goal
90'⚽ J. Le Douaron Normal Goal

Match preview

Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg: match preview

Estac Troyes host Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 3) at Stade de l'Aube on Sunday 6 September, kick-off 14:00. The match finished 2-6.

Form guide

Estac Troyes have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Strasbourg have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. At home this season Estac Troyes have 0 wins from 1 game, while Strasbourg have won 0 of 1 game on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for Estac Troyes and 0.75 for Strasbourg, 2.50 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 71% chance, over 2.5 46% and both teams to score 44%. The single most likely score is 1-0.

Head to head

In their last 9 meetings, Estac Troyes won 3, Strasbourg won 3 and 3 ended level, with 3.4 goals per game and both teams scoring in 6.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 73% confidence. The model also leans towards 1X (87%), Home DNB (81%), Under 3.5 (76%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Estac Troyes 53%, draw 34%, Strasbourg 13%.
Expected goals: 1.75 vs 0.75.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 9 meetings.
Estac Troyes have 1 clean sheets this season; Strasbourg have 0.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : Estac Troyes or draw.

See more Ligue 1 numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 00:46 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 73% confidence. Win probabilities are Estac Troyes 53%, draw 34% and Strasbourg 13%.

Will both teams score in Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?

Our model gives both teams to score a 44% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance and the most likely score is 1-0.

When and where is Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?

Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00, Stade de l'Aube, Troyes.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.