Ligue 1· France · Regular Season - 2

Rennes

3-2

FT

Le Mans

Rennes vs Le Mans prediction

📅 Sun 30 Aug 2026 🏟️ Roazhon Park, Rennes 🧑‍⚖️ Romain Lissorgue, France

Prediction

● Live data

36%

Rennes

27%

Draw

36%

Le Mans

Rennes 36% · draw 27% · Le Mans 36%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 76%, BTTS at 75%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Double Chance · 1X

1X Confidence 58%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

136%

Fair 2.74Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win36%

Fair 2.74Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win36%

Fair 2.74Odds —

Double chance

✓

1273%

Fair 1.37Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Home DNB50%

Fair 2.00Odds —

Win either half

✓

Home WEH57%

Fair 1.75Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.591%

Fair 1.10Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.576%

Fair 1.31Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✓

Over 3.557%

Fair 1.77Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)75%

Fair 1.34Odds —

Correct score

✕

1-17%

Fair 13.65Odds —

Banker tip

✓

Over 1.591%

Fair 1.10Odds —

Super single

✓

Home WEH57%

Fair 1.75Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	36%	2.74	—
Home win	Home win	36%	2.74	—
Away win	Away win	36%	2.74	—
Double chance	12	73%	1.37	—
Draw no bet	Home DNB	50%	2.00	—
Win either half	Home WEH	57%	1.75	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	91%	1.10	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	76%	1.31	—
Under 3.5	Over 3.5	57%	1.77	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	75%	1.34	—
Correct score	1-1	7%	13.65	—
Banker	Over 1.5	91%	1.10	—
Super single	Home WEH	57%	1.75	—

Form & head to head

Rennes

D

33%

Form

13%

Attack

88%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 2

Season W-D-L0-1-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Le Mans

D

33%

Form

13%

Attack

88%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 2

Season W-D-L0-1-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

50%

Attack

50%

Defence

50%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

50%

Goals

0%

Overall

50%

Head to head

1

Home wins

1

Draws

0

Away wins

30 Aug 26 Rennes 3 - 2 Le Mans

26 Oct 11 Le Mans 0 - 0 Rennes

2.50 goals per meeting · BTTS in 1 of 2 · over 2.5 in 1 of 2.

Match statistics

64%Ball Possession36%

22Total Shots12

8Shots on Goal5

8Corner Kicks6

15Fouls15

3Yellow Cards2

3Goalkeeper Saves5

3.12Expected goals (xG)3.06

Key events

5'⚽ E. Lepaul Normal Goal
26'⚽ V. Rongier Normal Goal
30'⚽ L. Mafouta Normal Goal
48'🟨 Issa Soumaré Yellow Card
51'📺 Harold Voyer Penalty confirmed
54'⚽ L. Mafouta Penalty
66'🟨 Alexandre Lauray Yellow Card
68'🟥 Djibril Sidibé Red Card
90'+12🟨 Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal Yellow Card
90'+6🟨 Esteban Lepaul Yellow Card
90'+2📺 Arnaud Nordin Penalty confirmed
90'+12🟨 Harold Voyer Yellow Card
90'+13📺 Louis Mafouta Penalty cancelled
90'⚽ E. Lepaul Penalty
90'⚽ Normal Goal

Match preview

Rennes vs Le Mans: match preview

Rennes host Le Mans in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 2) at Roazhon Park on Sunday 30 August, kick-off 16:15. The match finished 3-2.

Form guide

Rennes have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Le Mans have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. At home this season Rennes have 0 wins from 1 game, while Le Mans have won 0 of 0 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Rennes and 2 for Le Mans, 4.00 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 91% chance, over 2.5 76% and both teams to score 75%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings, Rennes won 1, Le Mans won 0 and 1 ended level, with 2.5 goals per game and both teams scoring in 1.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 58% confidence. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (91%), Over 2.5 (76%), GG (Yes) (75%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Rennes 36%, draw 27%, Le Mans 36%.
Expected goals: 2 vs 2.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 2 meetings.
Rennes have 0 clean sheets this season; Le Mans have 0.
API-Football model advice: No predictions available.

See more Ligue 1 numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:17 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rennes vs Le Mans?

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 58% confidence. Win probabilities are Rennes 36%, draw 27% and Le Mans 36%.

Will both teams score in Rennes vs Le Mans?

Our model gives both teams to score a 75% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Rennes vs Le Mans?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 76% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Rennes vs Le Mans?

Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:15, Roazhon Park, Rennes.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.