Eredivisie· Netherlands · Regular Season - 8

PSV Eindhoven

19:00

🕒 19:00

Heerenveen

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen prediction

📅 Fri 9 Oct 2026 🏟️ Philips Stadion, Eindhoven 🧑‍⚖️ Joey Kooij

Prediction

● Live data

51%

PSV Eindhoven

32%

Draw

18%

Heerenveen

PSV Eindhoven 51% · draw 32% · Heerenveen 18%. We pick GG (Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com). Most likely score 2-1, over 2.5 at 81%, BTTS at 76%.

🎯 Our pick

Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com · GG

GG @ 1.32 Confidence 76%

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All prediction categories

1X2

Value

151%

Fair 1.98Odds 8.50

Home win

Value

Home win51%

Fair 1.98Odds 8.50

Away win

Away win18%

Fair 5.65Odds 1.10

Double chance

1X82%

Fair 1.21Odds 1.07

Draw no bet

Home DNB74%

Fair 1.35Odds —

Win either half

Home WEH71%

Fair 1.40Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.593%

Fair 1.07Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.581%

Fair 1.24Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Over 3.563%

Fair 1.58Odds —

Both teams to score

Value

GG (Yes)76%

Fair 1.31Odds 1.36

Correct score

2-18%

Fair 13.10Odds 9.50

Banker tip

Over 1.593%

Fair 1.07Odds —

Super single

Over 3.563%

Fair 1.58Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

11.22

X6.50

28.50

Double chance

1X1.07

121.10

X23.90

Both teams to score

Yes1.36

No2.88

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	51%	1.98	8.50	Value
Home win	Home win	51%	1.98	8.50	Value
Away win	Away win	18%	5.65	1.10
Double chance	1X	82%	1.21	1.07
Draw no bet	Home DNB	74%	1.35	—
Win either half	Home WEH	71%	1.40	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	93%	1.07	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	81%	1.24	—
Under 3.5	Over 3.5	63%	1.58	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	76%	1.31	1.36	Value
Correct score	2-1	8%	13.10	9.50
Banker	Over 1.5	93%	1.07	—
Super single	Over 3.5	63%	1.58	—

Form & head to head

PSV Eindhoven

WWWWL

80%

Form

100%

Attack

50%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)20 / 7

Season W-D-L5-1-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Heerenveen

LDLDW

33%

Form

57%

Attack

50%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)8 / 7

Season W-D-L2-3-2

Clean sheets · failed to score3 · 2

Team comparison

Form

71%

29%

Attack

71%

29%

Defence

50%

Poisson model

63%

37%

Head to head

80%

20%

Goals

73%

27%

Overall

68%

32%

Head to head

8

Home wins

1

Draws

1

Away wins

21 Feb 26 PSV Eindhoven 3 - 1 Heerenveen

4 Feb 26 PSV Eindhoven 4 - 1 Heerenveen

6 Dec 25 Heerenveen 0 - 2 PSV Eindhoven

8 Mar 25 PSV Eindhoven 2 - 1 Heerenveen

14 Dec 24 Heerenveen 1 - 0 PSV Eindhoven

25 Apr 24 Heerenveen 0 - 8 PSV Eindhoven

3.60 goals per meeting · BTTS in 5 of 10 · over 2.5 in 6 of 10.

Match preview

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen: match preview

PSV Eindhoven host Heerenveen in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 8) at Philips Stadion on Friday 9 October, kick-off 19:00.

Form guide

PSV Eindhoven have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games, averaging 4.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Heerenveen have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. At home this season PSV Eindhoven have 2 wins from 3 games, while Heerenveen have won 1 of 3 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 2.6 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 1.75 for Heerenveen, 4.35 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 93% chance, over 2.5 81% and both teams to score 76%. The single most likely score is 2-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 8, Heerenveen won 1 and 1 ended level, with 3.6 goals per game and both teams scoring in 5.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com (GG) at 76% confidence, priced at 1.32. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (93%), 1X (82%), Over 2.5 (81%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: PSV Eindhoven 51%, draw 32%, Heerenveen 18%.
Expected goals: 2.6 vs 1.75.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
PSV Eindhoven have 0 clean sheets this season; Heerenveen have 3.
API-Football model advice: Combo Winner : PSV Eindhoven and +1.5 goals.

See more Eredivisie numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE

Written by EkeTips Editorial Team Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

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By EkeTips Editorial Team · Updated 9 Oct 14:39 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?

Our main pick is Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com (GG) with 76% confidence. Win probabilities are PSV Eindhoven 51%, draw 32% and Heerenveen 18%.

Will both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?

Our model gives both teams to score a 76% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?

We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 81% chance and the most likely score is 2-1.

When and where is PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?

Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00, Philips Stadion, Eindhoven.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.