Eredivisie· Netherlands · Regular Season - 4

Utrecht

1-6

FT

PSV Eindhoven

Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven prediction

📅 Sun 30 Aug 2026 🏟️ Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht 🧑‍⚖️ Freek Vandeursen, Netherlands

Prediction

● Live data

8%

Utrecht

33%

Draw

59%

PSV Eindhoven

Utrecht 8% · draw 33% · PSV Eindhoven 59%. We pick 2 (Away Win). Most likely score 1-2, over 2.5 at 83%, BTTS at 74%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Away Win · 2

2 Confidence 60%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

259%

Fair 1.70Odds —

Home win

✕

Home win8%

Fair 12.06Odds —

Away win

✓

Away win59%

Fair 1.70Odds —

Double chance

✓

X292%

Fair 1.09Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Away DNB88%

Fair 1.14Odds —

Win either half

✓

Away WEH80%

Fair 1.25Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.594%

Fair 1.07Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.583%

Fair 1.21Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✓

Over 3.566%

Fair 1.52Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)74%

Fair 1.36Odds —

Correct score

✕

1-27%

Fair 13.34Odds —

Banker tip

✓

Over 1.594%

Fair 1.07Odds —

Super single

✓

Over 3.566%

Fair 1.52Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	59%	1.70	—
Home win	Home win	8%	12.06	—
Away win	Away win	59%	1.70	—
Double chance	X2	92%	1.09	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	88%	1.14	—
Win either half	Away WEH	80%	1.25	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	94%	1.07	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	83%	1.21	—
Under 3.5	Over 3.5	66%	1.52	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	74%	1.36	—
Correct score	1-2	7%	13.34	—
Banker	Over 1.5	94%	1.07	—
Super single	Over 3.5	66%	1.52	—

Form & head to head

Utrecht

LLD

11%

Form

19%

Attack

65%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 9

Season W-D-L0-1-2

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

PSV Eindhoven

DWW

78%

Form

35%

Attack

85%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)9 / 4

Season W-D-L2-1-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

13%

88%

Attack

36%

64%

Defence

31%

69%

Poisson model

13%

87%

Head to head

15%

85%

Goals

39%

61%

Overall

24%

75%

Head to head

0

Home wins

3

Draws

7

Away wins

30 Aug 26 Utrecht 1 - 6 PSV Eindhoven

4 Apr 26 PSV Eindhoven 4 - 3 Utrecht

21 Dec 25 Utrecht 1 - 2 PSV Eindhoven

15 Feb 25 PSV Eindhoven 2 - 2 Utrecht

1 Dec 24 Utrecht 2 - 5 PSV Eindhoven

21 Jan 24 Utrecht 1 - 1 PSV Eindhoven

4.40 goals per meeting · BTTS in 8 of 10 · over 2.5 in 7 of 10.

Match statistics

34%Ball Possession66%

1Total Shots30

1Shots on Goal14

0Corner Kicks13

21Fouls8

5Yellow Cards1

7Goalkeeper Saves0

0.30Expected goals (xG)3.58

Key events

6'⚽ A. Stepanov Normal Goal
11'⚽ R. van Bommel Normal Goal
15'🟨 Guus Offerhaus Yellow Card
34'🟨 Dani De Wit Yellow Card
45'⚽ G. Til Normal Goal
49'🟨 Arthur Zagre Yellow Card
72'🟨 Armando Obispo Yellow Card
76'⚽ Mauro Junior Normal Goal
85'🟨 Vasilis Barkas Yellow Card
86'⚽ Sven Mijnans Missed Penalty
86'⚽ S. Mijnans Normal Goal
88'⚽ G. Til Normal Goal
90'+2🟨 Siebe Horemans Yellow Card
90'⚽ S. Dest Normal Goal

Match preview

Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven: match preview

Utrecht host PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 4) at Stadion Galgenwaard on Sunday 30 August, kick-off 11:15. The match finished 1-6.

Form guide

Utrecht have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 league games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 3.0 conceded. PSV Eindhoven have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 league games, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. At home this season Utrecht have 0 wins from 1 game, while PSV Eindhoven have won 1 of 1 game on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Utrecht and 3 for PSV Eindhoven, 4.50 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 94% chance, over 2.5 83% and both teams to score 74%. The single most likely score is 1-2.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Utrecht won 0, PSV Eindhoven won 7 and 3 ended level, with 4.4 goals per game and both teams scoring in 8.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Away Win (2) at 60% confidence. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (94%), X2 (92%), Away DNB (88%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Utrecht 8%, draw 33%, PSV Eindhoven 59%.
Expected goals: 1.5 vs 3.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Utrecht have 0 clean sheets this season; PSV Eindhoven have 0.
API-Football model advice: Combo Winner : PSV Eindhoven and +1.5 goals.

See more Eredivisie numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:17 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our main pick is Away Win (2) with 60% confidence. Win probabilities are Utrecht 8%, draw 33% and PSV Eindhoven 59%.

Will both teams score in Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our model gives both teams to score a 74% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 83% chance and the most likely score is 1-2.

When and where is Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

Sunday 30 August 2026 at 11:15, Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.