Ajax vs Willem II: match preview
Ajax host Willem II in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 3) at Johan Cruijff Arena on Tuesday 15 September, kick-off 19:00. The match finished 5-1.
Form guide
Ajax have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Willem II have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. At home this season Ajax have 0 wins from 2 games, while Willem II have won 0 of 2 games on the road.
Goals outlook
Our goal model expects about 2.4 goals for Ajax and 1.43 for Willem II, 3.83 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 90% chance, over 2.5 74% and both teams to score 69%. The single most likely score is 2-1.
Head to head
In their last 9 meetings, Ajax won 7, Willem II won 1 and 1 ended level, with 3.1 goals per game and both teams scoring in 4.
Our verdict
Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 83% confidence. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (90%), 1X (89%), Home DNB (83%).
Key facts
- Win probabilities: Ajax 54%, draw 35%, Willem II 11%.
- Expected goals: 2.4 vs 1.43.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 9 meetings.
- Ajax have 2 clean sheets this season; Willem II have 0.
- API-Football model advice: Double chance : Ajax or draw.
See more Eredivisie numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.