Eredivisie· Netherlands · Regular Season - 3

Sparta Rotterdam

3-3

FT

Utrecht

Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht prediction

📅 Sat 22 Aug 2026 🏟️ Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam 🧑‍⚖️ Dennis Higler, Netherlands

Prediction

● Live data

55%

Sparta Rotterdam

32%

Draw

13%

Utrecht

Sparta Rotterdam 55% · draw 32% · Utrecht 13%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 2-0, over 2.5 at 63%, BTTS at 57%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Double Chance · 1X

1X Confidence 71%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

155%

Fair 1.81Odds —

Home win

✕

Home win55%

Fair 1.81Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win13%

Fair 7.84Odds —

Double chance

✓

1X87%

Fair 1.15Odds —

Draw no bet

✕

Home DNB81%

Fair 1.23Odds —

Win either half

✕

Home WEH76%

Fair 1.31Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.584%

Fair 1.20Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.563%

Fair 1.59Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.559%

Fair 1.69Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)57%

Fair 1.77Odds —

Correct score

✕

2-010%

Fair 10.19Odds —

Banker tip

✓

1X87%

Fair 1.15Odds —

Super single

✓

Over 2.563%

Fair 1.59Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	55%	1.81	—
Home win	Home win	55%	1.81	—
Away win	Away win	13%	7.84	—
Double chance	1X	87%	1.15	—
Draw no bet	Home DNB	81%	1.23	—
Win either half	Home WEH	76%	1.31	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	84%	1.20	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	63%	1.59	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	59%	1.69	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	57%	1.77	—
Correct score	2-0	10%	10.19	—
Banker	1X	87%	1.15	—
Super single	Over 2.5	63%	1.59	—

Form & head to head

Sparta Rotterdam

LW

50%

Form

16%

Attack

89%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)3 / 2

Season W-D-L1-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 1

Utrecht

LL

0%

Form

11%

Attack

68%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 6

Season W-D-L0-0-2

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

100%

0%

Attack

60%

40%

Defence

75%

25%

Poisson model

0%

100%

Head to head

50%

Goals

40%

60%

Overall

56%

43%

Head to head

4

Home wins

2

Draws

4

Away wins

22 Aug 26 Sparta Rotterdam 3 - 3 Utrecht

25 Jan 26 Utrecht 0 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam

17 Aug 25 Sparta Rotterdam 2 - 1 Utrecht

14 May 25 Utrecht 1 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam

3 Nov 24 Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 4 Utrecht

23 May 24 Utrecht 3 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam

2.90 goals per meeting · BTTS in 7 of 10 · over 2.5 in 6 of 10.

Match statistics

56%Ball Possession44%

14Total Shots16

5Shots on Goal4

5Corner Kicks7

10Fouls13

1Goalkeeper Saves2

1.73Expected goals (xG)1.92

Key events

16'⚽ M. Didden Normal Goal
45'⚽ M. Young Normal Goal
46'⚽ A. Stepanov Normal Goal
67'⚽ M. Zonneveld Normal Goal
76'⚽ A. Blake Normal Goal
90'⚽ N. Verschuren Normal Goal

Match preview

Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht: match preview

Sparta Rotterdam host Utrecht in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 3) at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel on Saturday 22 August, kick-off 17:45. The match finished 3-3.

Form guide

Sparta Rotterdam have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 league games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Utrecht have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded. At home this season Sparta Rotterdam have 0 wins from 1 game, while Utrecht have won 0 of 1 game on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 2.25 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1 for Utrecht, 3.25 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 84% chance, over 2.5 63% and both teams to score 57%. The single most likely score is 2-0.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Sparta Rotterdam won 4, Utrecht won 4 and 2 ended level, with 2.9 goals per game and both teams scoring in 7.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 71% confidence. The model also leans towards 1X (87%), Over 1.5 (84%), Home DNB (81%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Sparta Rotterdam 55%, draw 32%, Utrecht 13%.
Expected goals: 2.25 vs 1.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Sparta Rotterdam have 0 clean sheets this season; Utrecht have 0.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : Sparta Rotterdam or draw.

See more Eredivisie numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:19 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht?

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 71% confidence. Win probabilities are Sparta Rotterdam 55%, draw 32% and Utrecht 13%.

Will both teams score in Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht?

Our model gives both teams to score a 57% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance and the most likely score is 2-0.

When and where is Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht?

Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:45, Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.