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Serie A· Italy · Regular Season - 4
Inter logo

Inter

5-3
FT
Udinese logo

Udinese

Inter vs Udinese prediction

📅 Mon 14 Sep 2026 🏟️ San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milano 🧑‍⚖️ Luca Pairetto, Italy

Prediction

● Live data
57%
Inter
34%
Draw
9%
Udinese

Inter 57% · draw 34% · Udinese 9%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 2-1, over 2.5 at 77%, BTTS at 70%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won
Double Chance · 1X
1X Confidence 79%
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All prediction categories

1X2

✓
157%
Fair 1.76Odds —

Home win

✓
Home win57%
Fair 1.76Odds —

Away win

✕
Away win9%
Fair 10.68Odds —

Double chance

✓
1X91%
Fair 1.10Odds —

Draw no bet

✓
Home DNB86%
Fair 1.16Odds —

Win either half

✓
Home WEH76%
Fair 1.31Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓
Over 1.591%
Fair 1.10Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓
Over 2.577%
Fair 1.31Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✓
Over 3.557%
Fair 1.75Odds —

Both teams to score

✓
GG (Yes)70%
Fair 1.43Odds —

Correct score

✕
2-19%
Fair 11.62Odds —

Banker tip

✓
Over 1.591%
Fair 1.10Odds —

Super single

✓
Over 3.557%
Fair 1.75Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2157%1.76—
Home winHome win57%1.76—
Away winAway win9%10.68—
Double chance1X91%1.10—
Draw no betHome DNB86%1.16—
Win either halfHome WEH76%1.31—
Over 1.5Over 1.591%1.10—
Over 2.5Over 2.577%1.31—
Under 3.5Over 3.557%1.75—
BTTSGG (Yes)70%1.43—
Correct score2-19%11.62—
BankerOver 1.591%1.10—
Super singleOver 3.557%1.75—

Form & head to head

Inter

WWW
100%
Form
50%
Attack
81%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)8 / 3
Season W-D-L3-0-0
Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 0

Udinese

DWL
44%
Form
31%
Attack
69%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 5
Season W-D-L1-1-1
Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form
69%
31%
Attack
62%
38%
Defence
63%
38%
Poisson model
63%
37%
Head to head
80%
20%
Goals
64%
36%
Overall
66%
33%

Head to head

8
Home wins
0
Draws
2
Away wins
14 Sep 26 Inter 5 - 3 Udinese
17 Jan 26 Udinese 0 - 1 Inter
31 Aug 25 Inter 1 - 2 Udinese
30 Mar 25 Inter 2 - 1 Udinese
19 Dec 24 Inter 2 - 0 Udinese
28 Sep 24 Udinese 2 - 3 Inter

3.70 goals per meeting · BTTS in 7 of 10 · over 2.5 in 8 of 10.

Match statistics

66%Ball Possession34%
27Total Shots6
12Shots on Goal5
10Corner Kicks1
9Fouls9
1Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves7
3.05Expected goals (xG)0.92

Key events

  1. 9'⚽ J. Abankwah Normal Goal
  2. 16'⚽ J. Ekkelenkamp Normal Goal
  3. 26'⚽ Carlos Augusto Normal Goal
  4. 35'⚽ N. Barella Normal Goal
  5. 45'🟨 Keinan Davis Yellow Card
  6. 57'⚽ M. Thuram Normal Goal
  7. 60'🟨 Henrikh Mkhitaryan Yellow Card
  8. 67'⚽ F. Esposito Normal Goal
  9. 79'⚽ A. Bonny Normal Goal
  10. 90'⚽ I. Gueye Normal Goal

Match preview

Inter vs Udinese: match preview

Inter host Udinese in the Serie A (Regular Season - 4) at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza on Monday 14 September, kick-off 19:45. The match finished 5-3.

Form guide

Inter have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 league games, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Udinese have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 league games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. At home this season Inter have 2 wins from 2 games, while Udinese have won 1 of 1 game on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 2.63 goals for Inter and 1.4 for Udinese, 4.03 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 91% chance, over 2.5 77% and both teams to score 70%. The single most likely score is 2-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Inter won 8, Udinese won 2 and 0 ended level, with 3.7 goals per game and both teams scoring in 7.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 79% confidence. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (91%), 1X (91%), Home DNB (86%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: Inter 57%, draw 34%, Udinese 9%.
  • Expected goals: 2.63 vs 1.4.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Inter have 1 clean sheets this season; Udinese have 0.
  • API-Football model advice: Combo Double chance : Inter or draw and +2.5 goals.

See more Serie A numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 00:46 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Inter vs Udinese?
Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 79% confidence. Win probabilities are Inter 57%, draw 34% and Udinese 9%.
Will both teams score in Inter vs Udinese?
Our model gives both teams to score a 70% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).
How many goals will there be in Inter vs Udinese?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 77% chance and the most likely score is 2-1.
When and where is Inter vs Udinese?
Monday 14 September 2026 at 19:45, San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milano.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.

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