Serie A· Italy · Regular Season - 3

Genoa

1-4

FT

Como

Genoa vs Como prediction

📅 Fri 4 Sep 2026 🏟️ Luigi Ferraris, Genova 🧑‍⚖️ Marco Guida, Italy

Prediction

● Live data

8%

Genoa

38%

Draw

54%

Como

Genoa 8% · draw 38% · Como 54%. We pick 2 (Away Win). Most likely score 0-1, over 2.5 at 37%, BTTS at 38%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Away Win · 2

2 Confidence 56%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

254%

Fair 1.86Odds —

Home win

✕

Home win8%

Fair 12.05Odds —

Away win

✓

Away win54%

Fair 1.86Odds —

Double chance

✓

X292%

Fair 1.09Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Away DNB87%

Fair 1.15Odds —

Win either half

✓

Away WEH66%

Fair 1.51Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.564%

Fair 1.57Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Under 2.563%

Fair 1.59Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.583%

Fair 1.21Odds —

Both teams to score

✕

NG (No)62%

Fair 1.61Odds —

Correct score

✕

0-117%

Fair 5.84Odds —

Banker tip

✓

X292%

Fair 1.09Odds —

Super single

✓

Away WEH66%

Fair 1.51Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	54%	1.86	—
Home win	Home win	8%	12.05	—
Away win	Away win	54%	1.86	—
Double chance	X2	92%	1.09	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	87%	1.15	—
Win either half	Away WEH	66%	1.51	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	64%	1.57	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	63%	1.59	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	83%	1.21	—
BTTS	NG (No)	62%	1.61	—
Correct score	0-1	17%	5.84	—
Banker	X2	92%	1.09	—
Super single	Away WEH	66%	1.51	—

Form & head to head

Genoa

LL

0%

Form

0%

Attack

70%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 3

Season W-D-L0-0-2

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 2

Como

DW

67%

Form

30%

Attack

80%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)3 / 2

Season W-D-L1-1-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

0%

100%

Attack

0%

100%

Defence

40%

60%

Poisson model

0%

100%

Head to head

25%

75%

Goals

36%

64%

Overall

33%

66%

Head to head

0

Home wins

4

Draws

3

Away wins

4 Sep 26 Genoa 1 - 4 Como

26 Apr 26 Genoa 0 - 2 Como

15 Sep 25 Como 1 - 1 Genoa

27 Apr 25 Como 1 - 0 Genoa

7 Nov 24 Genoa 1 - 1 Como

10 Apr 23 como 2 - 2 Genoa

2.57 goals per meeting · BTTS in 5 of 7 · over 2.5 in 2 of 7.

Match statistics

38%Ball Possession62%

11Total Shots20

2Shots on Goal9

5Corner Kicks4

8Fouls7

2Yellow Cards1

5Goalkeeper Saves1

0.78Expected goals (xG)1.78

Key events

19'⚽ M. Osmajic Normal Goal
25'⚽ M. Baturina Normal Goal
30'⚽ A. Diao Normal Goal
36'🟨 Djibril Sow Yellow Card
40'⚽ N. Paz Normal Goal
60'🟨 Martin Baturina Yellow Card
62'🟨 Leo Østigård Yellow Card
78'⚽ A. Diao Normal Goal

Match preview

Genoa vs Como: match preview

Genoa host Como in the Serie A (Regular Season - 3) at Luigi Ferraris on Friday 4 September, kick-off 19:45. The match finished 1-4.

Form guide

Genoa have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 league games, averaging 0.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Como have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 league games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. At home this season Genoa have 0 wins from 1 game, while Como have won 1 of 2 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.67 goals for Genoa and 1.5 for Como, 2.17 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 64% chance, over 2.5 37% and both teams to score 38%. The single most likely score is 0-1.

Head to head

In their last 7 meetings, Genoa won 0, Como won 3 and 4 ended level, with 2.6 goals per game and both teams scoring in 5.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Away Win (2) at 56% confidence. The model also leans towards X2 (92%), Away DNB (87%), Under 3.5 (83%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Genoa 8%, draw 38%, Como 54%.
Expected goals: 0.67 vs 1.5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 7 meetings.
Genoa have 0 clean sheets this season; Como have 0.
API-Football model advice: Winner : Como.

See more Serie A numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:17 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Genoa vs Como?

Our main pick is Away Win (2) with 56% confidence. Win probabilities are Genoa 8%, draw 38% and Como 54%.

Will both teams score in Genoa vs Como?

Our model gives both teams to score a 38% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Genoa vs Como?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 37% chance and the most likely score is 0-1.

When and where is Genoa vs Como?

Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:45, Luigi Ferraris, Genova.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.