Serie A· Italy · Regular Season - 3

Frosinone

3-2

FT

Venezia

Frosinone vs Venezia prediction

📅 Sun 6 Sep 2026 🏟️ Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone 🧑‍⚖️ Mario Perri, Italy

Prediction

● Live data

60%

Frosinone

33%

Draw

7%

Venezia

Frosinone 60% · draw 33% · Venezia 7%. We pick 1 (Home Win). Most likely score 1-0, over 2.5 at 32%, BTTS at 18%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Home Win · 1

1 Confidence 51%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

160%

Fair 1.66Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win60%

Fair 1.66Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win7%

Fair 13.60Odds —

Double chance

✓

1X93%

Fair 1.08Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Home DNB89%

Fair 1.12Odds —

Win either half

✓

Home WEH79%

Fair 1.27Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.559%

Fair 1.68Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Under 2.568%

Fair 1.48Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.586%

Fair 1.17Odds —

Both teams to score

✕

NG (No)82%

Fair 1.22Odds —

Correct score

✕

1-024%

Fair 4.22Odds —

Banker tip

✓

1X93%

Fair 1.08Odds —

Super single

✓

160%

Fair 1.66Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	60%	1.66	—
Home win	Home win	60%	1.66	—
Away win	Away win	7%	13.60	—
Double chance	1X	93%	1.08	—
Draw no bet	Home DNB	89%	1.12	—
Win either half	Home WEH	79%	1.27	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	59%	1.68	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	68%	1.48	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	86%	1.17	—
BTTS	NG (No)	82%	1.22	—
Correct score	1-0	24%	4.22	—
Banker	1X	93%	1.08	—
Super single	1	60%	1.66	—

Form & head to head

Frosinone

LW

50%

Form

18%

Attack

94%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)3 / 1

Season W-D-L1-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 1

Venezia

LL

0%

Form

0%

Attack

76%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 4

Season W-D-L0-0-2

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 2

Team comparison

Form

100%

0%

Attack

100%

0%

Defence

80%

20%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

50%

Goals

53%

47%

Overall

61%

39%

Head to head

5

Home wins

2

Draws

3

Away wins

6 Sep 26 Frosinone 3 - 2 Venezia

7 Feb 26 Frosinone 1 - 2 Venezia

4 Oct 25 Venezia 3 - 0 Frosinone

5 Mar 23 Frosinone 3 - 0 Venezia

14 Oct 22 Venezia 1 - 3 Frosinone

15 Aug 21 Venezia 1 - 1 Frosinone

2.80 goals per meeting · BTTS in 6 of 10 · over 2.5 in 6 of 10.

Match statistics

39%Ball Possession61%

13Total Shots15

8Shots on Goal4

5Corner Kicks2

18Fouls14

2Yellow Cards4

2Goalkeeper Saves5

1.90Expected goals (xG)2.17

Key events

21'⚽ Antonio Raimondo Normal Goal
33'🟨 Redouane Halhal Yellow Card
33'🟨 Romano Schmid Yellow Card
38'🟨 Giovanni Stroppa Yellow Card
39'⚽ Antonio Raimondo Normal Goal
40'🟨 Gianluca Busio Yellow Card
44'🟨 Simon Sohm Yellow Card
61'🟨 Anthony Oyono Yellow Card
66'⚽ John Yeboah Normal Goal
74'⚽ Richie Sagrado Normal Goal
83'⚽ Giorgi Kvernadze Normal Goal
89'🟨 Matias Moreno Yellow Card

Match preview

Frosinone vs Venezia: match preview

Frosinone host Venezia in the Serie A (Regular Season - 3) at Stadio Benito Stirpe on Sunday 6 September, kick-off 14:00. The match finished 3-2.

Form guide

Frosinone have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 league games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Venezia have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 league games, averaging 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. At home this season Frosinone have 0 wins from 1 game, while Venezia have won 0 of 1 game on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for Frosinone and 0.25 for Venezia, 2.00 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 59% chance, over 2.5 32% and both teams to score 18%. The single most likely score is 1-0.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Frosinone won 5, Venezia won 3 and 2 ended level, with 2.8 goals per game and both teams scoring in 6.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Home Win (1) at 51% confidence. The model also leans towards 1X (93%), Home DNB (89%), Under 3.5 (86%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Frosinone 60%, draw 33%, Venezia 7%.
Expected goals: 1.75 vs 0.25.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Frosinone have 1 clean sheets this season; Venezia have 0.
API-Football model advice: Combo Winner : Frosinone and -3.5 goals.

See more Serie A numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:18 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Frosinone vs Venezia?

Our main pick is Home Win (1) with 51% confidence. Win probabilities are Frosinone 60%, draw 33% and Venezia 7%.

Will both teams score in Frosinone vs Venezia?

Our model gives both teams to score a 18% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Frosinone vs Venezia?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 32% chance and the most likely score is 1-0.

When and where is Frosinone vs Venezia?

Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00, Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.