Serie A· Italy · Regular Season - 2

Monza

2-3

FT

Udinese

Monza vs Udinese prediction

📅 Sat 29 Aug 2026 🏟️ U-Power Stadium, Monza 🧑‍⚖️ Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta, Italy

Prediction

● Live data

12%

Monza

31%

Draw

58%

Udinese

Monza 12% · draw 31% · Udinese 58%. We pick X2 (Double Chance). Most likely score 0-2, over 2.5 at 68%, BTTS at 58%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Double Chance · X2

X2 Confidence 71%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

258%

Fair 1.74Odds —

Home win

✕

Home win12%

Fair 8.65Odds —

Away win

✓

Away win58%

Fair 1.74Odds —

Double chance

✓

X288%

Fair 1.13Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Away DNB83%

Fair 1.20Odds —

Win either half

✓

Away WEH80%

Fair 1.25Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.586%

Fair 1.16Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.568%

Fair 1.47Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.554%

Fair 1.86Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)58%

Fair 1.72Odds —

Correct score

✕

0-29%

Fair 10.60Odds —

Banker tip

✓

X288%

Fair 1.13Odds —

Super single

✓

GG (Yes)58%

Fair 1.72Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	58%	1.74	—
Home win	Home win	12%	8.65	—
Away win	Away win	58%	1.74	—
Double chance	X2	88%	1.13	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	83%	1.20	—
Win either half	Away WEH	80%	1.25	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	86%	1.16	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	68%	1.47	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	54%	1.86	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	58%	1.72	—
Correct score	0-2	9%	10.60	—
Banker	X2	88%	1.13	—
Super single	GG (Yes)	58%	1.72	—

Form & head to head

Monza

L

0%

Form

8%

Attack

69%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)1 / 4

Season W-D-L0-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Udinese

D

33%

Form

8%

Attack

92%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)1 / 1

Season W-D-L0-1-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

0%

100%

Attack

50%

Defence

20%

80%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

50%

Goals

50%

Overall

42%

57%

Head to head

2

Home wins

3

Draws

3

Away wins

29 Aug 26 Monza 2 - 3 Udinese

11 May 25 Udinese 1 - 2 Monza

9 Dec 24 Monza 1 - 2 Udinese

3 Feb 24 Udinese 0 - 0 Monza

29 Oct 23 Monza 1 - 1 Udinese

8 Apr 23 Udinese 2 - 2 Monza

3.13 goals per meeting · BTTS in 7 of 8 · over 2.5 in 6 of 8.

Match statistics

51%Ball Possession49%

15Total Shots12

5Shots on Goal5

3Corner Kicks3

10Fouls12

1Yellow Cards0

2Goalkeeper Saves3

1.70Expected goals (xG)0.98

Key events

32'⚽ J. Piotrowski Normal Goal
37'⚽ A. Colpani Normal Goal
45'⚽ H. Kamara Normal Goal
45'⚽ J. Ekkelenkamp Normal Goal
46'🟨 Lorenzo Lucchesi Yellow Card
63'⚽ G. Varela Normal Goal

Match preview

Monza vs Udinese: match preview

Monza host Udinese in the Serie A (Regular Season - 2) at U-Power Stadium on Saturday 29 August, kick-off 17:30. The match finished 2-3.

Form guide

Monza have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 league game, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded. Udinese have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Monza and 2.5 for Udinese, 3.50 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 86% chance, over 2.5 68% and both teams to score 58%. The single most likely score is 0-2.

Head to head

In their last 8 meetings, Monza won 2, Udinese won 3 and 3 ended level, with 3.1 goals per game and both teams scoring in 7.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) at 71% confidence. The model also leans towards X2 (88%), Over 1.5 (86%), Away DNB (83%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Monza 12%, draw 31%, Udinese 58%.
Expected goals: 1 vs 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings.
Monza have 0 clean sheets this season; Udinese have 0.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or Udinese.

See more Serie A numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:18 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monza vs Udinese?

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) with 71% confidence. Win probabilities are Monza 12%, draw 31% and Udinese 58%.

Will both teams score in Monza vs Udinese?

Our model gives both teams to score a 58% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Monza vs Udinese?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 68% chance and the most likely score is 0-2.

When and where is Monza vs Udinese?

Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:30, U-Power Stadium, Monza.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.