Primera División· Peru · Clausura - 11

UCV Moquegua

19:00

🕒 19:00

Cienciano

UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano prediction

📅 Thu 8 Oct 2026 🏟️ Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua

Prediction

● Live data

23%

UCV Moquegua

34%

Draw

43%

Cienciano

UCV Moquegua 23% · draw 34% · Cienciano 43%. We pick Away Win (Big Odds). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 66%, BTTS at 67%.

🎯 Our pick

Big Odds · Away Win

Away Win @ 2.08 Confidence 48%

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All prediction categories

1X2

243%

Fair 2.30Odds 1.30

Home win

Home win23%

Fair 4.38Odds 2.15

Away win

Away win43%

Fair 2.30Odds 1.30

Double chance

X277%

Fair 1.30Odds 1.30

Draw no bet

Away DNB66%

Fair 1.53Odds —

Win either half

Away WEH58%

Fair 1.73Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.585%

Fair 1.17Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.566%

Fair 1.51Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.556%

Fair 1.80Odds —

Both teams to score

Value

GG (Yes)67%

Fair 1.50Odds 1.70

Correct score

1-110%

Fair 10.43Odds 6.50

Banker tip

Over 1.585%

Fair 1.17Odds —

Super single

Value

GG (Yes)67%

Fair 1.50Odds 1.70

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

13.20

X3.20

22.15

Double chance

1X1.67

121.30

X21.30

Both teams to score

Yes1.70

No2.05

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	43%	2.30	1.30
Home win	Home win	23%	4.38	2.15
Away win	Away win	43%	2.30	1.30
Double chance	X2	77%	1.30	1.30
Draw no bet	Away DNB	66%	1.53	—
Win either half	Away WEH	58%	1.73	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	85%	1.17	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	66%	1.51	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	56%	1.80	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	67%	1.50	1.70	Value
Correct score	1-1	10%	10.43	6.50
Banker	Over 1.5	85%	1.17	—
Super single	GG (Yes)	67%	1.50	1.70	Value

Form & head to head

UCV Moquegua

WLLLL

20%

Form

25%

Attack

25%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 12

Season W-D-L6-7-14

Clean sheets · failed to score7 · 12

Cienciano

LLWLD

27%

Form

56%

Attack

25%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)9 / 12

Season W-D-L12-5-10

Clean sheets · failed to score4 · 6

Team comparison

Form

43%

57%

Attack

31%

69%

Defence

50%

Poisson model

45%

55%

Head to head

0%

100%

Goals

33%

67%

Overall

40%

59%

Head to head

0

Home wins

0

Draws

1

Away wins

20 Apr 26 Cienciano 2 - 1 UCV Moquegua

3.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 1 of 1 · over 2.5 in 1 of 1.

Match preview

UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano: match preview

UCV Moquegua host Cienciano in the Primera División (Clausura - 11) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre on Thursday 8 October, kick-off 19:00.

Form guide

UCV Moquegua have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Cienciano have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. At home this season UCV Moquegua have 4 wins from 13 games, while Cienciano have won 4 of 13 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.63 goals for UCV Moquegua and 1.78 for Cienciano, 3.41 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 85% chance, over 2.5 66% and both teams to score 67%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 1 meetings, UCV Moquegua won 0, Cienciano won 1 and 0 ended level, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 1.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Big Odds (Away Win) at 48% confidence, priced at 2.08. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (85%), X2 (77%), GG (Yes) (67%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: UCV Moquegua 23%, draw 34%, Cienciano 43%.
Expected goals: 1.63 vs 1.78.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 1 meetings.
UCV Moquegua have 7 clean sheets this season; Cienciano have 4.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or Cienciano.

See more Primera División numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 00:49 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano?

Our main pick is Big Odds (Away Win) with 48% confidence. Win probabilities are UCV Moquegua 23%, draw 34% and Cienciano 43%.

Will both teams score in UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano?

Our model gives both teams to score a 67% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 66% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano?

Thursday 8 October 2026 at 19:00, Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.