1. Division· Kazakhstan · Regular Season - 24

Ekibastuz

1-1

FT

Khan Tengri

Ekibastuz vs Khan Tengri prediction

📅 Fri 9 Oct 2026

Prediction

● Live data

21%

Ekibastuz

32%

Draw

47%

Khan Tengri

Ekibastuz 21% · draw 32% · Khan Tengri 47%. We pick Over 3.5 (3 5 Goal). Most likely score 2-2, over 2.5 at 82%, BTTS at 79%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost

3 5 Goal · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 1.76 Confidence 57%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

247%

Fair 2.15Odds 1.13

Home win

✕

Home win21%

Fair 4.67Odds 2.39

Away win

✕

Away win47%

Fair 2.15Odds 1.13

Double chance

✓

X279%

Fair 1.27Odds 1.51

Draw no bet

✕

Away DNB69%

Fair 1.46Odds —

Win either half

✕

Away WEH65%

Fair 1.54Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.594%

Fair 1.07Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Over 2.582%

Fair 1.21Odds 1.26

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Over 3.565%

Fair 1.53Odds 1.76

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)79%

Fair 1.26Odds —

Correct score

✕

2-27%

Fair 14.27Odds 10.00

Banker tip

✓

Over 1.594%

Fair 1.07Odds —

Super single

✓

X279%

Fair 1.27Odds 1.51

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

12.16

X4.14

22.39

Double chance

1X1.42

121.13

X21.51

Goals 2.5

Over1.26

Under3.35

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	47%	2.15	1.13
Home win	Home win	21%	4.67	2.39
Away win	Away win	47%	2.15	1.13
Double chance	X2	79%	1.27	1.51	Value
Draw no bet	Away DNB	69%	1.46	—
Win either half	Away WEH	65%	1.54	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	94%	1.07	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	82%	1.21	1.26	Value
Under 3.5	Over 3.5	65%	1.53	1.76	Value
BTTS	GG (Yes)	79%	1.26	—
Correct score	2-2	7%	14.27	10.00
Banker	Over 1.5	94%	1.07	—
Super single	X2	79%	1.27	1.51	Value

Form & head to head

Ekibastuz

LLLLL

0%

Form

29%

Attack

8%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)7 / 22

Season W-D-L7-5-11

Clean sheets · failed to score4 · 5

Khan Tengri

WWLDL

47%

Form

42%

Attack

50%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)10 / 12

Season W-D-L7-4-12

Clean sheets · failed to score5 · 9

Team comparison

Form

0%

100%

Attack

41%

59%

Defence

35%

65%

Poisson model

53%

47%

Head to head

60%

40%

Goals

50%

Overall

47%

52%

Head to head

4

Home wins

1

Draws

3

Away wins

2 Jul 26 Khan Tengri 1 - 3 Ekibastuz

16 Oct 25 Khan Tengri 4 - 0 Ekibastuz

10 Jul 25 Ekibastuz 2 - 0 Khan Tengri

22 Mar 25 Khan Tengri 1 - 1 Ekibastuz

25 Jul 24 Ekibastuz 2 - 1 Khan Tengri

13 Jun 24 Khan Tengri 2 - 1 Ekibastuz

3.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 5 of 8 · over 2.5 in 5 of 8.

Match preview

Ekibastuz vs Khan Tengri: match preview

Ekibastuz host Khan Tengri in the 1. Division (Regular Season - 24) on Friday 9 October, kick-off 11:00. The match finished 1-1.

Form guide

Ekibastuz have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 4.4 conceded. Khan Tengri have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. At home this season Ekibastuz have 3 wins from 11 games, while Khan Tengri have won 2 of 11 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 2.03 goals for Ekibastuz and 2.45 for Khan Tengri, 4.48 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 94% chance, over 2.5 82% and both teams to score 79%. The single most likely score is 2-2.

Head to head

In their last 8 meetings, Ekibastuz won 4, Khan Tengri won 3 and 1 ended level, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 5.

Our verdict

Our main pick is 3 5 Goal (Over 3.5) at 57% confidence, priced at 1.76. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (94%), Over 2.5 (82%), GG (Yes) (79%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Ekibastuz 21%, draw 32%, Khan Tengri 47%.
Expected goals: 2.03 vs 2.45.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings.
Ekibastuz have 4 clean sheets this season; Khan Tengri have 5.
API-Football model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Khan Tengri and +1.5 goals.

See more 1. Division numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE

Written by EkeTips Editorial Team Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

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By EkeTips Editorial Team · Updated 9 Oct 14:10 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ekibastuz vs Khan Tengri?

Our main pick is 3 5 Goal (Over 3.5) with 57% confidence. Win probabilities are Ekibastuz 21%, draw 32% and Khan Tengri 47%.

Will both teams score in Ekibastuz vs Khan Tengri?

Our model gives both teams to score a 79% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Ekibastuz vs Khan Tengri?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 82% chance and the most likely score is 2-2.

When and where is Ekibastuz vs Khan Tengri?

Friday 9 October 2026 at 11:00.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.