Super League· China · Regular Season - 27

Qingdao Jonoon

0-3

76'

Beijing Guoan

Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan prediction

📅 Fri 9 Oct 2026 🏟️ Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Qingdao 🧑‍⚖️ Shan Dan'ao, China

Prediction

● Live data

11%

Qingdao Jonoon

36%

Draw

54%

Beijing Guoan

Qingdao Jonoon 11% · draw 36% · Beijing Guoan 54%. We pick Away Win (Away Win). Most likely score 1-2, over 2.5 at 62%, BTTS at 60%.

🎯 Our pick

Away Win · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.46 Confidence 68%

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All prediction categories

1X2

254%

Fair 1.87Odds 1.18

Home win

Home win11%

Fair 9.21Odds 1.40

Away win

Away win54%

Fair 1.87Odds 1.18

Double chance

X289%

Fair 1.12Odds 1.12

Draw no bet

Away DNB83%

Fair 1.20Odds —

Win either half

Away WEH70%

Fair 1.44Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.583%

Fair 1.20Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.562%

Fair 1.61Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.560%

Fair 1.67Odds —

Both teams to score

GG (Yes)60%

Fair 1.66Odds 1.50

Correct score

1-210%

Fair 10.19Odds 7.50

Banker tip

X289%

Fair 1.12Odds 1.12

Super single

Over 2.562%

Fair 1.61Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

16.00

X4.80

21.40

Double chance

1X2.62

121.18

X21.12

Both teams to score

Yes1.50

No2.40

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	54%	1.87	1.18
Home win	Home win	11%	9.21	1.40
Away win	Away win	54%	1.87	1.18
Double chance	X2	89%	1.12	1.12
Draw no bet	Away DNB	83%	1.20	—
Win either half	Away WEH	70%	1.44	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	83%	1.20	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	62%	1.61	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	60%	1.67	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	60%	1.66	1.50
Correct score	1-2	10%	10.19	7.50
Banker	X2	89%	1.12	1.12
Super single	Over 2.5	62%	1.61	—

Form & head to head

Qingdao Jonoon

LLLLL

0%

Form

25%

Attack

19%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 13

Season W-D-L6-3-17

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 7

Beijing Guoan

WWDDD

60%

Form

69%

Attack

63%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)11 / 6

Season W-D-L11-10-5

Clean sheets · failed to score9 · 2

Team comparison

Form

0%

100%

Attack

27%

73%

Defence

32%

68%

Poisson model

32%

68%

Head to head

38%

62%

Goals

36%

64%

Overall

33%

67%

Head to head

2

Home wins

2

Draws

3

Away wins

15 May 26 Beijing Guoan 4 - 2 Qingdao Jonoon

26 Oct 25 Beijing Guoan 2 - 4 Qingdao Jonoon

17 May 25 Qingdao Jonoon 1 - 1 Beijing Guoan

19 Oct 24 Beijing Guoan 6 - 0 Qingdao Jonoon

21 May 24 Qingdao Jonoon 1 - 1 Beijing Guoan

22 Jul 23 Beijing Guoan 2 - 0 Qingdao Jonoon

4.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 5 of 7 · over 2.5 in 4 of 7.

Match statistics

32%Ball Possession68%

7Total Shots11

2Shots on Goal6

0Corner Kicks4

4Fouls10

0Yellow Cards1

3Goalkeeper Saves2

Key events

5'⚽ F. Abreu Penalty
32'⚽ Serginho Normal Goal
40'🟨 U. Spajic Yellow Card
57'📺 Lin Liangming Goal Disallowed - Foul
62'⚽ F. Abreu Normal Goal
71'🟨 Gong Ruicong Yellow Card

Match preview

Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan: match preview

Qingdao Jonoon host Beijing Guoan in the Super League (Regular Season - 27) at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium on Friday 9 October, kick-off 12:35.

Form guide

Qingdao Jonoon have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Beijing Guoan have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. At home this season Qingdao Jonoon have 5 wins from 12 games, while Beijing Guoan have won 5 of 13 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.18 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 2.03 for Beijing Guoan, 3.21 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 83% chance, over 2.5 62% and both teams to score 60%. The single most likely score is 1-2.

Head to head

In their last 7 meetings, Qingdao Jonoon won 2, Beijing Guoan won 3 and 2 ended level, with 4.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 5.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Away Win (Away Win) at 68% confidence, priced at 1.46. The model also leans towards X2 (89%), Away DNB (83%), Over 1.5 (83%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Qingdao Jonoon 11%, draw 36%, Beijing Guoan 54%.
Expected goals: 1.18 vs 2.03.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 7 meetings.
Qingdao Jonoon have 2 clean sheets this season; Beijing Guoan have 9.
API-Football model advice: Winner : Beijing Guoan.

See more Super League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE

Written by EkeTips Editorial Team Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

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By EkeTips Editorial Team · Updated 9 Oct 14:11 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?

Our main pick is Away Win (Away Win) with 68% confidence. Win probabilities are Qingdao Jonoon 11%, draw 36% and Beijing Guoan 54%.

Will both teams score in Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?

Our model gives both teams to score a 60% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance and the most likely score is 1-2.

When and where is Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?

Friday 9 October 2026 at 12:35, Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Qingdao.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.