Serie B· Brazil · Regular Season - 32

Goias

2-1

FT

Athletic Club

Goias vs Athletic Club prediction

📅 Wed 7 Oct 2026 🏟️ Estádio da Serrinha, Goiania 🧑‍⚖️ Flavio Rodrigues De Souza

Prediction

● Live data

22%

Goias

36%

Draw

42%

Athletic Club

Goias 22% · draw 36% · Athletic Club 42%. We pick X2 (Double Chance). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 45%, BTTS at 50%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost

Double Chance · X2

X2 @ 1.85 Confidence 71%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

242%

Fair 2.40Odds 1.33

Home win

✓

Home win22%

Fair 4.49Odds 4.00

Away win

✕

Away win42%

Fair 2.40Odds 1.33

Double chance

✕

X278%

Fair 1.29Odds 1.85

Draw no bet

✕

Away DNB65%

Fair 1.53Odds —

Win either half

✕

Away WEH52%

Fair 1.93Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.571%

Fair 1.41Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Under 2.555%

Fair 1.82Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✓

Under 3.576%

Fair 1.31Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)50%

Fair 1.98Odds 2.05

Correct score

✕

1-113%

Fair 7.77Odds 6.00

Banker tip

✕

X278%

Fair 1.29Odds 1.85

Super single

✕

X278%

Fair 1.29Odds 1.85

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

11.91

X3.10

24.00

Double chance

1X1.20

121.33

X21.85

Both teams to score

Yes2.05

No1.70

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	42%	2.40	1.33
Home win	Home win	22%	4.49	4.00
Away win	Away win	42%	2.40	1.33
Double chance	X2	78%	1.29	1.85	Value
Draw no bet	Away DNB	65%	1.53	—
Win either half	Away WEH	52%	1.93	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	71%	1.41	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	55%	1.82	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	76%	1.31	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	50%	1.98	2.05	Value
Correct score	1-1	13%	7.77	6.00
Banker	X2	78%	1.29	1.85	Value
Super single	X2	78%	1.29	1.85	Value

Form & head to head

Goias

LWWLL

40%

Form

56%

Attack

11%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 8

Season W-D-L12-6-13

Clean sheets · failed to score7 · 12

Athletic Club

LWDDL

33%

Form

67%

Attack

11%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)6 / 8

Season W-D-L10-12-9

Clean sheets · failed to score8 · 8

Team comparison

Form

55%

45%

Attack

45%

55%

Defence

50%

Poisson model

40%

60%

Head to head

29%

71%

Goals

43%

57%

Overall

43%

56%

Head to head

1

Home wins

2

Draws

1

Away wins

7 Oct 26 Goias 2 - 1 Athletic Club

14 Jun 26 Athletic Club 1 - 1 Goias

11 Oct 25 Athletic Club 1 - 1 Goias

24 Jun 25 Goias 1 - 2 Athletic Club

2.50 goals per meeting · BTTS in 4 of 4 · over 2.5 in 2 of 4.

Match statistics

63%Ball Possession37%

21Total Shots18

7Shots on Goal5

5Corner Kicks5

14Fouls10

3Yellow Cards1

4Goalkeeper Saves5

Key events

25'🟨 Lucas Lima Yellow Card
28'🟨 Diogo·Batista de Souza Yellow Card
43'🟨 Luiz Felipe Yellow Card
58'⚽ Luiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida Normal Goal
63'⚽ João Miguel Normal Goal
89'🟨 Djalma Silva Yellow Card
90'+1⚽ Lucas Rodrigues Normal Goal

Match preview

Goias vs Athletic Club: match preview

Goias host Athletic Club in the Serie B (Regular Season - 32) at Estádio da Serrinha on Wednesday 7 October, kick-off 00:30. The match finished 2-1.

Form guide

Goias have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Athletic Club have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. At home this season Goias have 8 wins from 15 games, while Athletic Club have won 4 of 15 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.2 goals for Goias and 1.28 for Athletic Club, 2.48 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 71% chance, over 2.5 45% and both teams to score 50%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 4 meetings, Goias won 1, Athletic Club won 1 and 2 ended level, with 2.5 goals per game and both teams scoring in 4.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) at 71% confidence, priced at 1.85. The model also leans towards X2 (78%), Under 3.5 (76%), Over 1.5 (71%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Goias 22%, draw 36%, Athletic Club 42%.
Expected goals: 1.2 vs 1.28.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 4 meetings.
Goias have 7 clean sheets this season; Athletic Club have 8.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or Athletic Club.

See more Serie B numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 01:28 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Goias vs Athletic Club?

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) with 71% confidence. Win probabilities are Goias 22%, draw 36% and Athletic Club 42%.

Will both teams score in Goias vs Athletic Club?

Our model gives both teams to score a 50% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Goias vs Athletic Club?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Goias vs Athletic Club?

Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 00:30, Estádio da Serrinha, Goiania.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.