Serie B· Brazil · Regular Season - 32

Ceara

23:30

🕒 23:30

Criciuma

Ceara vs Criciuma prediction

📅 Thu 8 Oct 2026 🏟️ Estadio Castelão, Fortaleza 🧑‍⚖️ Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho

Prediction

● Live data

44%

Ceara

36%

Draw

20%

Criciuma

Ceara 44% · draw 36% · Criciuma 20%. We pick 1X (Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 44%, BTTS at 49%.

🎯 Our pick

Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com · 1X

1X @ 1.33 Confidence 76%

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All prediction categories

1X2

Value

144%

Fair 2.27Odds 3.10

Home win

Value

Home win44%

Fair 2.27Odds 3.10

Away win

Away win20%

Fair 5.01Odds 1.36

Double chance

Value

1X80%

Fair 1.25Odds 1.33

Draw no bet

Home DNB69%

Fair 1.45Odds —

Win either half

Home WEH56%

Fair 1.80Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.570%

Fair 1.43Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.556%

Fair 1.78Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.577%

Fair 1.29Odds —

Both teams to score

NG (No)51%

Fair 1.96Odds 1.75

Correct score

1-113%

Fair 7.79Odds 5.80

Banker tip

Value

1X80%

Fair 1.25Odds 1.33

Super single

Under 2.556%

Fair 1.78Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

12.30

X2.90

23.10

Double chance

1X1.33

121.36

X21.55

Both teams to score

Yes1.95

No1.75

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	44%	2.27	3.10	Value
Home win	Home win	44%	2.27	3.10	Value
Away win	Away win	20%	5.01	1.36
Double chance	1X	80%	1.25	1.33	Value
Draw no bet	Home DNB	69%	1.45	—
Win either half	Home WEH	56%	1.80	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	70%	1.43	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	56%	1.78	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	77%	1.29	—
BTTS	NG (No)	51%	1.96	1.75
Correct score	1-1	13%	7.79	5.80
Banker	1X	80%	1.25	1.33	Value
Super single	Under 2.5	56%	1.78	—

Form & head to head

Ceara

LDWDW

53%

Form

64%

Attack

45%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)7 / 6

Season W-D-L10-9-12

Clean sheets · failed to score6 · 10

Criciuma

LLLWW

40%

Form

45%

Attack

27%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 8

Season W-D-L15-8-8

Clean sheets · failed to score14 · 8

Team comparison

Form

57%

43%

Attack

58%

42%

Defence

57%

43%

Poisson model

48%

52%

Head to head

85%

15%

Goals

67%

33%

Overall

62%

38%

Head to head

5

Home wins

3

Draws

2

Away wins

16 Jun 26 Criciuma 1 - 1 Ceara

2 Sep 23 Ceara 1 - 0 Criciuma

21 May 23 Criciuma 1 - 2 Ceara

18 Nov 17 Criciuma 1 - 1 Ceara

2 Aug 17 Ceara 3 - 1 Criciuma

8 Nov 16 Criciuma 2 - 3 Ceara

2.60 goals per meeting · BTTS in 7 of 10 · over 2.5 in 5 of 10.

Match preview

Ceara vs Criciuma: match preview

Ceara host Criciuma in the Serie B (Regular Season - 32) at Estadio Castelão on Thursday 8 October, kick-off 23:30.

Form guide

Ceara have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Criciuma have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. At home this season Ceara have 7 wins from 15 games, while Criciuma have won 6 of 15 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for Ceara and 1.08 for Criciuma, 2.43 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 70% chance, over 2.5 44% and both teams to score 49%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Ceara won 5, Criciuma won 2 and 3 ended level, with 2.6 goals per game and both teams scoring in 7.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com (1X) at 76% confidence, priced at 1.33. The model also leans towards 1X (80%), Under 3.5 (77%), Over 1.5 (70%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Ceara 44%, draw 36%, Criciuma 20%.
Expected goals: 1.35 vs 1.08.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Ceara have 6 clean sheets this season; Criciuma have 14.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : Ceara or draw.

See more Serie B numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 00:48 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ceara vs Criciuma?

Our main pick is Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com (1X) with 76% confidence. Win probabilities are Ceara 44%, draw 36% and Criciuma 20%.

Will both teams score in Ceara vs Criciuma?

Our model gives both teams to score a 49% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Ceara vs Criciuma?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Ceara vs Criciuma?

Thursday 8 October 2026 at 23:30, Estadio Castelão, Fortaleza.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.