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Virsliga· Latvia · Regular Season - 17
Ogre United logo

Ogre United

1-4
FT
Riga logo

Riga

Ogre United vs Riga prediction

📅 Sat 13 Jun 2026 🧑‍⚖️ V. Mordatenko

Prediction

● Live data
6%
Ogre United
33%
Draw
61%
Riga

Ogre United 6% · draw 33% · Riga 61%. We pick Over 2.5 (Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com). Most likely score 0-2, over 2.5 at 68%, BTTS at 56%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won
Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 Confidence 0%
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All prediction categories

1X2

✓
261%
Fair 1.63Odds —

Home win

✕
Home win6%
Fair 17.65Odds —

Away win

✓
Away win61%
Fair 1.63Odds —

Double chance

✓
X294%
Fair 1.06Odds —

Draw no bet

✓
Away DNB92%
Fair 1.09Odds —

Win either half

✓
Away WEH82%
Fair 1.22Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓
Over 1.587%
Fair 1.16Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓
Over 2.568%
Fair 1.47Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕
Under 3.553%
Fair 1.87Odds —

Both teams to score

✓
GG (Yes)56%
Fair 1.79Odds —

Correct score

✕
0-210%
Fair 10.05Odds —

Banker tip

✓
X294%
Fair 1.06Odds —

Super single

✓
261%
Fair 1.63Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2261%1.63—
Home winHome win6%17.65—
Away winAway win61%1.63—
Double chanceX294%1.06—
Draw no betAway DNB92%1.09—
Win either halfAway WEH82%1.22—
Over 1.5Over 1.587%1.16—
Over 2.5Over 2.568%1.47—
Under 3.5Under 3.553%1.87—
BTTSGG (Yes)56%1.79—
Correct score0-210%10.05—
BankerX294%1.06—
Super single261%1.63—

Form & head to head

Ogre United

LLLDL
7%
Form
33%
Attack
0%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 13
Season W-D-L0-4-12
Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 5

Riga

WDWWW
87%
Form
100%
Attack
67%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)14 / 4
Season W-D-L12-3-1
Clean sheets · failed to score6 · 0

Team comparison

Form
7%
93%
Attack
22%
78%
Defence
24%
76%
Poisson model
15%
85%
Head to head
0%
100%
Goals
0%
100%
Overall
17%
83%

Head to head

0
Home wins
0
Draws
3
Away wins
9 Aug 26 Riga 4 - 1 Ogre United
13 Jun 26 Ogre United 1 - 4 Riga
22 Apr 26 Riga 4 - 0 Ogre United

4.67 goals per meeting · BTTS in 2 of 3 · over 2.5 in 3 of 3.

Match preview

Ogre United vs Riga: match preview

Ogre United host Riga in the Virsliga (Regular Season - 17) on Saturday 13 June, kick-off 12:00. The match finished 1-4.

Form guide

Ogre United have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Riga have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. At home this season Ogre United have 0 wins from 8 games, while Riga have won 6 of 8 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.93 goals for Ogre United and 2.58 for Riga, 3.51 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 87% chance, over 2.5 68% and both teams to score 56%. The single most likely score is 0-2.

Head to head

In their last 3 meetings, Ogre United won 0, Riga won 3 and 0 ended level, with 4.7 goals per game and both teams scoring in 2.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com (Over 2.5) at 0% confidence. The model also leans towards X2 (94%), Away DNB (92%), Over 1.5 (87%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: Ogre United 6%, draw 33%, Riga 61%.
  • Expected goals: 0.93 vs 2.58.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 3 meetings.
  • Ogre United have 0 clean sheets this season; Riga have 6.
  • API-Football model advice: Combo Winner : Riga and +1.5 goals.

See more Virsliga numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 00:48 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ogre United vs Riga?
Our main pick is Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com (Over 2.5) with 0% confidence. Win probabilities are Ogre United 6%, draw 33% and Riga 61%.
Will both teams score in Ogre United vs Riga?
Our model gives both teams to score a 56% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).
How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs Riga?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 68% chance and the most likely score is 0-2.
When and where is Ogre United vs Riga?
Saturday 13 June 2026 at 12:00.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.

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