Meistriliiga· Estonia · Regular Season - 31

Vaprus

16:00

🕒 16:00

Kalju Nomme

Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme prediction

📅 Tue 13 Oct 2026 🏟️ Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu

Prediction

● Live data

19%

Vaprus

34%

Draw

47%

Kalju Nomme

Vaprus 19% · draw 34% · Kalju Nomme 47%. We pick X2 (Double Chance). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 58%, BTTS at 59%.

🎯 Our pick

Double Chance · X2

X2 @ 1.22 Confidence 85%

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All prediction categories

1X2

247%

Fair 2.12Odds 1.25

Home win

Home win19%

Fair 5.35Odds 1.75

Away win

Away win47%

Fair 2.12Odds 1.25

Double chance

X281%

Fair 1.23Odds 1.22

Draw no bet

Away DNB72%

Fair 1.40Odds —

Win either half

Away WEH63%

Fair 1.59Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.580%

Fair 1.25Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.558%

Fair 1.73Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.565%

Fair 1.55Odds —

Both teams to score

GG (Yes)59%

Fair 1.70Odds 1.44

Correct score

1-111%

Fair 9.18Odds 7.50

Banker tip

X281%

Fair 1.23Odds 1.22

Super single

Under 3.565%

Fair 1.55Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

13.80

X3.60

21.75

Double chance

1X1.95

121.25

X21.22

Both teams to score

Yes1.44

No2.50

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	47%	2.12	1.25
Home win	Home win	19%	5.35	1.75
Away win	Away win	47%	2.12	1.25
Double chance	X2	81%	1.23	1.22
Draw no bet	Away DNB	72%	1.40	—
Win either half	Away WEH	63%	1.59	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	80%	1.25	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	58%	1.73	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	65%	1.55	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	59%	1.70	1.44
Correct score	1-1	11%	9.18	7.50
Banker	X2	81%	1.23	1.22
Super single	Under 3.5	65%	1.55	—

Form & head to head

Vaprus

WLLLD

27%

Form

58%

Attack

0%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)7 / 13

Season W-D-L10-5-15

Clean sheets · failed to score6 · 6

Kalju Nomme

LLWWL

40%

Form

58%

Attack

50%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)7 / 6

Season W-D-L15-5-10

Clean sheets · failed to score10 · 5

Team comparison

Form

40%

60%

Attack

50%

Defence

32%

68%

Poisson model

29%

71%

Head to head

60%

40%

Goals

53%

47%

Overall

44%

56%

Head to head

3

Home wins

1

Draws

6

Away wins

16 Aug 26 Kalju Nomme 3 - 1 Vaprus

30 May 26 Vaprus 3 - 1 Kalju Nomme

26 Apr 26 Kalju Nomme 1 - 2 Vaprus

5 Oct 25 Kalju Nomme 1 - 0 Vaprus

10 Aug 25 Kalju Nomme 1 - 2 Vaprus

27 Jun 25 Vaprus 2 - 2 Kalju Nomme

3.30 goals per meeting · BTTS in 7 of 10 · over 2.5 in 9 of 10.

Match preview

Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme: match preview

Vaprus host Kalju Nomme in the Meistriliiga (Regular Season - 31) at Parnu Rannastaadion on Tuesday 13 October, kick-off 16:00.

Form guide

Vaprus have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Kalju Nomme have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. At home this season Vaprus have 7 wins from 15 games, while Kalju Nomme have won 8 of 14 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Vaprus and 1.75 for Kalju Nomme, 3.00 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 80% chance, over 2.5 58% and both teams to score 59%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Vaprus won 3, Kalju Nomme won 6 and 1 ended level, with 3.3 goals per game and both teams scoring in 7.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) at 85% confidence, priced at 1.22. The model also leans towards X2 (81%), Over 1.5 (80%), Away DNB (72%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Vaprus 19%, draw 34%, Kalju Nomme 47%.
Expected goals: 1.25 vs 1.75.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of the last 10 meetings.
Vaprus have 6 clean sheets this season; Kalju Nomme have 10.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or Kalju Nomme.

See more Meistriliiga numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

PS

Written by Princewill Sunday Football Content Editor, Website Administrator & Football Prediction Platform Reviewer at Eketips

Princewill Sunday — Football Content Editor, Website Administrator & Football Prediction Platform Reviewer at Eketips Princewill Sunday is the Football Content Editor, Website Admi...

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By Princewill Sunday · Updated 13 Oct 07:00 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) with 85% confidence. Win probabilities are Vaprus 19%, draw 34% and Kalju Nomme 47%.

Will both teams score in Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?

Our model gives both teams to score a 59% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?

Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 16:00, Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.