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K League 1· South-Korea · Regular Season - 31
Incheon United logo

Incheon United

3-0
FT
Pohang Steelers logo

Pohang Steelers

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers prediction

📅 Fri 9 Oct 2026 🏟️ Incheon Football Stadium, Incheon 🧑‍⚖️ Ko Hyung-jin

Prediction

● Live data
23%
Incheon United
37%
Draw
40%
Pohang Steelers

Incheon United 23% · draw 37% · Pohang Steelers 40%. We pick X2 (Double Chance). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 36%, BTTS at 43%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost
Double Chance · X2
X2 @ 1.53 Confidence 62%
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All prediction categories

1X2

✕
240%
Fair 2.52Odds 1.36

Home win

✓
Home win23%
Fair 4.36Odds 3.00

Away win

✕
Away win40%
Fair 2.52Odds 1.36

Double chance

✕
X277%
Fair 1.30Odds 1.53

Draw no bet

✕
Away DNB63%
Fair 1.58Odds —

Win either half

✓
Home WEH48%
Fair 2.08Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓
Over 1.563%
Fair 1.59Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕
Under 2.564%
Fair 1.56Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✓
Under 3.583%
Fair 1.20Odds —

Both teams to score

✓
NG (No)57%
Fair 1.75Odds 1.80

Correct score

✕
1-113%
Fair 7.42Odds 5.50

Banker tip

✓
Under 3.583%
Fair 1.20Odds —

Super single

✕
X277%
Fair 1.30Odds 1.53

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner
12.40
X2.90
23.00
Double chance
1X1.35
121.36
X21.53
Both teams to score
Yes1.95
No1.80

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2240%2.521.36
Home winHome win23%4.363.00
Away winAway win40%2.521.36
Double chanceX277%1.301.53Value
Draw no betAway DNB63%1.58—
Win either halfHome WEH48%2.08—
Over 1.5Over 1.563%1.59—
Over 2.5Under 2.564%1.56—
Under 3.5Under 3.583%1.20—
BTTSNG (No)57%1.751.80
Correct score1-113%7.425.50
BankerUnder 3.583%1.20—
Super singleX277%1.301.53Value

Form & head to head

Incheon United

LWLDD
33%
Form
40%
Attack
50%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 5
Season W-D-L10-9-11
Clean sheets · failed to score8 · 7

Pohang Steelers

DLDDW
40%
Form
40%
Attack
50%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 5
Season W-D-L11-7-12
Clean sheets · failed to score10 · 12

Team comparison

Form
45%
55%
Attack
50%
50%
Defence
50%
50%
Poisson model
55%
45%
Head to head
15%
85%
Goals
25%
75%
Overall
40%
60%

Head to head

1
Home wins
4
Draws
5
Away wins
12 May 26 Incheon United 0 - 1 Pohang Steelers
15 Mar 26 Pohang Steelers 1 - 1 Incheon United
27 Sep 24 Pohang Steelers 1 - 0 Incheon United
23 Jun 24 Incheon United 1 - 3 Pohang Steelers
28 Apr 24 Pohang Steelers 0 - 0 Incheon United
20 Oct 23 Pohang Steelers 1 - 1 Incheon United

1.70 goals per meeting · BTTS in 4 of 10 · over 2.5 in 1 of 10.

Match statistics

52%Ball Possession48%
9Total Shots7
6Shots on Goal2
2Corner Kicks11
0Yellow Cards2

Key events

  1. 17'⚽ Lee Min-hyuk Normal Goal
  2. 40'⚽ Lee Chung-Yong Normal Goal
  3. 42'🟨 Jorge Luiz Barbosa Teixeira Yellow Card
  4. 45'+2⚽ Stefan Mugoša Normal Goal
  5. 65'🟨 Park Chan-yong Yellow Card

Match preview

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers: match preview

Incheon United host Pohang Steelers in the K League 1 (Regular Season - 31) at Incheon Football Stadium on Friday 9 October, kick-off 08:30. The match finished 3-0.

Form guide

Incheon United have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Pohang Steelers have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. At home this season Incheon United have 5 wins from 15 games, while Pohang Steelers have won 7 of 17 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.08 goals for Incheon United and 1.05 for Pohang Steelers, 2.13 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 63% chance, over 2.5 36% and both teams to score 43%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Incheon United won 1, Pohang Steelers won 5 and 4 ended level, with 1.7 goals per game and both teams scoring in 4.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) at 62% confidence, priced at 1.53. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (83%), X2 (77%), Under 2.5 (64%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: Incheon United 23%, draw 37%, Pohang Steelers 40%.
  • Expected goals: 1.08 vs 1.05.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Incheon United have 8 clean sheets this season; Pohang Steelers have 10.
  • API-Football model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Pohang Steelers and -3.5 goals.

See more K League 1 numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE
Written by Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

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By · Updated 9 Oct 14:10 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?
Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) with 62% confidence. Win probabilities are Incheon United 23%, draw 37% and Pohang Steelers 40%.
Will both teams score in Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?
Our model gives both teams to score a 43% chance, so the lean is NG (No).
How many goals will there be in Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 36% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.
When and where is Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?
Friday 9 October 2026 at 08:30, Incheon Football Stadium, Incheon.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.